25A
SHORT RUN: KEYNISS MODEL
AGREGATED EXPENDITURE + CURVE +
MULTIPLER + SOME ECONOMIC SHIT
In
the very short run, firm set their prices and hold them fixed and the
quantities they sell depend on demand, not supply.
Fixed
prices
have two implications for the economy as a whole:
1.Because each
firm’s price is fixed, the price level is fixed
2.Aggregate
demand determines the aggregate quantity of goods sold real GDP.
Expenditure
Plans
The
four
components of aggregate expenditure
consumption expenditure, investment, government expenditures on
goods and services, and net exports sum to real GDP.
Aggregate
planned expenditure equals
planned consumption expenditure plus planned investment plus planned
government expenditures plus planned exports minus planned imports
Other
things remaining the same,
1.An increase in real GDP increases
aggregate expenditure
2.An increase in aggregate expenditure
increases real GDP
This two-way link determines real GDP when
the price level is fixed
C
onsumption
and saving
are influenced by:
1.Disposable income
2.The real interest
rate
3.Wealth
4.Expected future income
Disposable
income is aggregate income
(GDP) minus taxes plus transfer payments
The
marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
is the fraction of a change in disposable income spent on
consumption.
It is calculated as the change in consumption
expenditure, C, divided by the change in disposable income, YD,
that brought it about. That is:
MPC = C/YD
The
marginal propensity to save (MPS)
is the fraction of a change in disposable income that is saved. It is
calculated as the change in saving, S, divided by the change in
disposable income, YD, that brought it about. That is:
MPS =
S/YD
Example:
If
investment increases by €200 and, in response, equilibrium
expenditure increases by €800 the
multiplier is 4.0
The
MPC
plus
the MPS
equals
one.
W
MIEJSCACH W KTÓRYCH JEST ,
STOI ZNAK DELTY ( MÓJ KOMP TEGO NIE ODCZYTUJE)
In
the short run, home imports are influenced primarily by home real
GDP.
The
marginal propensity to import
is the fraction of an increase in real GDP spent on imports.
For
example, if a €100 billion increase in real GDP increases imports
by €30 billion, the marginal propensity to import is 0.3.
Consumption
expenditure minus imports, which varies with real GDP, is induced
expenditure..
Consumption
expenditure and imports can have an autonomous component.
The relationship between aggregate planned expenditure and real GDP can be described by an aggregate expenditure schedule, which lists the level of aggregate expenditure planned at each level of real GDP.
The relationship can also be described by an aggregate expenditure curve(AE Curve), which is a graph of the aggregate expenditure schedule.
Consumption expenditure minus imports, which varies with real GDP, is induced expenditure.
The
sum of investment, government purchases, and exports, which does not
vary with GDP, is autonomous
expenditure.
An
increase in autonomous
expenditure
shifts the AE curve upward; a decrease shifts it downward.
When
autonomous expenditure
decreases, firms’ inventories pile up, so firms decrease production
and real GDP decreases.
Actual aggregate expenditure is always equal to real GDP.
Aggregate planned expenditure might differ from actual aggregate expenditure
Equilibrium expenditure is the level of aggregate expenditure that occurs when aggregate planned expenditure equals real GDP.
If aggregate planned expenditure is greater than real GDP (the AE curve is above 45 degrees line) there is an unplanned decrase in inventories.
If aggregate planned expenditure is less than real GDP (the AE curve is below the 45° line), firms have an unplanned increase in stocks or inventories
The
multiplier
is the amount by which a change in autonomous expenditure is
magnified or multiplied to determine the change in equilibrium
expenditure and real GDP.
The multiplier
equals the change in equilibrium expenditure divided by the change in
autonomous expenditure.
So the multiplier
= 1/(1 – MPC(or AE Curve))
or, alternatively, the multiplier = 1/MPS.
EXAMPLE:
Multiplier
= 4.0 if AE Curve = 0.75 because: 1/1-0,75=4
AE
CURVE + MULTIPLIER ACTIVITIES. (info
co zawierają dane czynniki powyżej w def.)
An
increase
in investment
(or any component of autonomous expenditure) increases aggregate
expenditure and real GDP
Increase
in real GDP
leads to an increase in induced expenditure.
Increase
in induced expenditure
leads to a further increase in aggregate expenditure and real GDP.
Income taxes decrase the size of the multiplier.
Income
taxes and imports both reduce
the slope of the AE
curve
and make the size of the multiplier smaller.
Increase
in autonomous expenditure
brings an unplanned decrease in stocks, which triggers an expansion.
Decrease in autonomous expenditure brings an unplanned increase in stocks, which triggers a recession.
The aggregate expenditure curve is the relationship between aggregate planned expenditure and real GDP, with all other influences on aggregate planned expenditure remaining the same.
The
aggregate
demand curve
is the relationship between the quantity of real GDP demanded and the
price level, with all other influences on aggregate demand remaining
the same.
Increase
in autonomous expenditure
shifts the aggregate expenditure curve upward and shifts the
aggregate demand curve rightward by the multiplied increase in
equilibrium expenditure.
Increase
in investment
shifts the AEcurve upward and shifts the ADcurve rightward.
Real
GDP increases
by less than the shift of the ADcurve because the price level
rises
Increase
in autonomous expenditure
in the short-run increases real GDP and the price level.
The
money wage rate starts to rise, the SAScurve starts to shift leftward
and the price level rises.
The AEcurve shifts downward and real GDP decreases until it is back at potential real GDP.
Starting from full employment, the multiplier in the long-run is zero.