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2. Materials and methods

2.2. Statistical analyses

Statistical analyses were conducted using Statitsica v 13 [TIBCO Software Inc. (2017). Statistica (data analysis software system), version 13. http://statistica.io.]. In order to determine the differences in mean values of natural and artificial re-occurrence of white mulberry (Morus alba) with regard to urbanization and thermal factors, variance analysis was conducted with relevance test between Tukey and Kruskal-Willis tests. Principal component analysis (PCA) was conducted to determine the relation between the variables.

In the statistical analyses normal distribution was tested using W Shapiro-Wilk test, whereas the homogeneity of variance - with Leven test. In the case of a lack of normal distribution or homogeneity of variance, non-parametric analyses were conducted, namely Kruskal-Wallis test. In the case of other variables, the significance of differences was tested using one-way ANOVA with post hoc testing of significance of differences using Tukey's test. Principal component analysis (PCA) was conducted using the correlation matrix. The interpretation was conducted in accordance with Kaiser criterion, analyzing eigenvalues only above 1.

3. Results

3.1. White mulberry population structure

The conducted research showed the occurrence of 1507 specimens of white mulberry in the Wrocław agglomeration. The most numerous group consisted of trees (1366), which constituted 90.6% of the population. Hedges were less numerous - 2.7% of the population (40 specimens); adult seedlings - 1.9% (28 specimens); young seedlings - 4% (61 specimens); and hedgerows - 0.8% (12 rows in the given square).

In the case of mean observations for each square, 20 trees had the breast height diameter between 100 and 150 cm, for 16 trees the diameter was between 50 and 100 cm, and 7 trees - between 150 and 200 cm (Fig. 1).

0x01 graphic

Fig. 1. The distribution of Morus alba circumference. Percentage values represented the proportion of individuals trees of Morus alba in given circumference ranges (test W Shapiro Wilka = 0.845; p ≤ 0.0001). Number observations were calculated as mean for each square.

3.2. The influence of urbanization on the natural and artificial renewal of Morus alba

The conducted variance analysis did not show any differences in the mean values of natural or artificial renewal of Morus alba in 5 types of urban housing (Tab. 1).

Table 1. Mean values along with standard errors of parameters describing the natural (self-seeding) and artificial (intentional planting) of Morus alba. Different letters indicate significant differences obtained after the Tukey's test or Kruskal-Wallis test (p ≤ 0.05).

Green areas

Dense housing up to 5 stores

Loose housing up to 5 stores

5-10 story housing

Service, industrial and railroad areas

x

SD

x

SD

x

SD

x

SD

x

SD

Number of Morus alba specimens

21.07a

5.31

29.75a

12.51

20.14a

6.89

31.40a

21.14

34.27a

15.41

intentional planting

Number of trees (excluding adult seedlings)

18.27a

5.22

27.25a

12.24

18.00a

6.66

27.60a

21.69

32.27a

15.34

Mean tree circumference [cm]

149.94a

17.15

149.73a

36.25

121.22a

15.27

107.11a

20.30

117.53a

18.55

Hedges [number]

0.73a

0.21

0.88a

0.52

1.00a

0.36

0.40a

0.24

0.40a

0.16

Hedges length [m]

20.93a

10.34

49.50a

32.83

27.89a

14.51

11.60a

11.60

43.93a

27.81

Hedgerow lines

0.20a

0.14

0.50a

0.19

0.14a

0.10

0.60a

0.40

0.00a

0.00

Hedgerow length [m]

4.40a

3.01

39.13a

21.86

3.43a

2.65

142.40a

139.42

0.00a

0.00

self-seeding

Number of adult seedlings

0.53a

0.29

0.25a

0.25

0.29a

0.29

1.60a

1.60

0.40a

0.19

Number of young seedlings

1.33a

0.30

0.88a

0.40

0.71a

0.27

1.20a

0.97

1.20a

0.46

The results of the principal components analysis (PCA) showed that the first two axes explain, respectively, 28.76 and 25.59 of the total variance (Tab. 2). Taking into consideration the Kaiser criterion for 3, eigenvalues were determined as above 1. They are decisive for the results of the analysis and explain 72.93% of the total variance.

Table 2. The results of PCA main components analysis conducted for an additional variable representing urbanization level.

Value number

Eigenvalue

% of total variance

Accumulated eigenvalues

Accumulated eigenvalues [%]

1

2.59

28.76

2.59

28.76

2

2.30

25.59

4.89

54.34

3

1.67

18.59

6.56

72.93

4

0.80

8.85

7.36

81.78

5

0.76

8.39

8.12

90.18

6

0.45

5.04

8.57

95.21

7

0.26

2.87

8.83

98.08

8

0.17

1.92

9.00

100.00

In the PCA analysis (Fig. 2) the second axis is correlated with the urbanization level (r = -0.098) and connected with the number of Morus alba specimens (r = -0.847), number of trees (r = -0.867), hedges (r= -0.328) and length (r = -0.242).

0x01 graphic

Figure 2. Principal component analysis conducted for parameters characterizing natural and artificial renewal of Morus alba. The level of urbanization was introduced into analyses as an additional variable.

3.3. The influence of thermal factor on the natural and artificial renewal of Morus alba

Conducted calculations determined a significant difference in the number of trees within thermal categories in Wrocław. The highest quantity of Morus alba (H = 9.457; p = 0.024) and trees (H = 11.486; p = 0.009) was determined for thermal factor between 4.1 and 6.9°C, whereas the lowest - in the case of surfaces located in areas where the temperature is below 4°C. In the case of the other variables representing both natural and artificial seeding no significant differences were found in mean values (Table 3).

Table 3. Mean values along with standard statistical errors of parameters describing natural (self-seeding) and artificial (intentional planting) renewal of Morus alba with regard to thermal variable. Different letters indicate significant differences obtained after the Tukey's test or Kruskal-Wallis test (p ≤ 0.05).

<4

4.1-6.9

7-9.9

10-10.9

x

SD

x

SD

x

SD

x

SD

Number of Morus alba specimens

8.57b

4.09

48.76a

14.47

20.25ab

4.17

30.20ab

12.83

Intentional planting

Number of trees (excluding adult seedlings)

6.14a

3.88

46.47b

14.49

18.05ab

4.01

25.80ab

11.93

Mean tree circumference [cm]

85.35a

15.66

106.48a

15.57

146.55a

18.05

151.65a

34.32

Hedges [number]

0.57a

0.2

0.53a

0.26

0.85a

0.26

1.00a

0.45

Hedges length [m]

28.04a

15.21

9.18a

4.69

29.15a

13.76

56.00a

33.88

Hedgerow lines

0.29a

0.16

0.24a

0.14

0.10a

0.07

0.40a

0.24

Hedgerow length [m]

53.43a

49.81

4.00a

2.4

13.45a

9.52

10.80a

6.68

Self-seeding

Number of adult seedlings

0.86a

0.62

0.35a

0.17

0.30a

0.21

0.80a

0.49

Number of young seedlings

0.71a

0.4

1.18a

0.32

0.95a

0.27

2.20a

0.86

In the case of PCA, the two first axes explain 27.08 and 24.68 percent of total variation (Tab. 3). Taking into consideration Kaiser criterion for 4, eigenvalues were above or equal to 1. They explain 80.63% of total variance.

Table 3. The results of PCA conducted for an additional variable - thermal factor.

Eigenvalue

% of total variance

Accumulated eigenvalues

Accumulated eigenvalues [%]

1

2.44

27.08

2.44

27.08

2

2.22

24.68

4.66

51.76

3

1.59

17.71

6.25

69.47

4

1.00

11.16

7.26

80.63

5

0.76

8.45

8.02

89.07

6

0.48

5.30

8.49

94.37

7

0.30

3.38

8.80

97.75

8

0.20

2.25

9.00

100.00

In the PCA analysis (Fig. 3), the second axis is correlated with the thermal factor (r = -0.116), the number of trees (r = -0.903), the number of Morus alba specimens (r = -0.899), hedges (r = -0.460) and their length (r = -0.325).

0x01 graphic

Fig. 3. PCA conducted for parameters characterizing the natural and artificial renewal of Morus alba. The thermal factor was introduced into the analysis as an additional variable.



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