Europe's population worries
By Mohammed A. R. Galadari
21 January 2006
DEVELOPED Europe's problem is its population; rather, its fall. So much so, they grudgingly rely on immigrants, and even bear the brunt of illegal immigration. The trend or the tendency is mostly not to get married and not to give births. Where would it take these nations to?
Dear readers, reports are that natural population growth is slowing year on year across the 25-member European Union, while the continent grapples with the problems of an ageing population. That's a problem for the developed world outside Europe too, and the scenario is more worrisome for countries like Japan, which have strict policies against immigrations. They want to jealously preserve their traditions and culture from onslaughts by outsiders.
The problem of population fall has mainly to do with the weakening of, or the withering away, of family values and traditions that were once considered important. Marriage as an institution is facing major strains, especially in the West. Many men and women do not want to get married for the reason that they want to fully concentrate on their career to make a mark there; or live their own lives in full, and seek pleasures without other botherations.
What is required is a social correction. Some governments are already stepping in with new plans. It is appreciable that the Conservatives in Germany, or Poland for that matter, are seriously addressing the issue in recent times. Merkel, for instance, has initiated action to strengthen the childcare systems in a way as to reverse the negative demographic trends. Germany has shown its seriousness also in the recent appointment of a new minister for family affairs. She is a mother of seven; an unsually high figure there. The conservative government in Poland has gone a step further, and announced cash rewards for women for every delivery.
Statistics show that across EU, last year, population growth fell by one-fourth, from 447,000 to 327,000. Unless the governments show seriousness in tackling the issue, the scenario would further worsen. The writing is already on the wall: Deaths have exceeded births in Germany for the past 15 years at a stretch, that is set to further increase the nation's reliance on immigrants.
Nations must be able to stand on their own, at least in the matter of population; especially the nations that can afford to feel their peoples. It is an irony that those nations that have the means to feed are facing the problem of population fall, whereas those who do not have the means to feed their peoples-the Third World countries-are producing more and more, and turning them onto the developed world, either through normal channels of immigration or through illegal ways.
It does not need any economic insight to see that ageing nations will, in due course, lose out in respect of their productive power. The youths are the most productive in any society, and they are the ones who make a major difference for any economy. It is so even in the age of technology and machines.
Population Distribution
Population distribution means the pattern of where people live. World population distribution is uneven. Places which are sparsely populated contain few people. Places which are densely populated contain many people. Sparsely populated places tend to be difficult places to live. These are usually places with hostile environments e.g. Antarctica. Places which are densely populated are habitable environments e.g. Europe.
Population Density
Population density is a measurement of the number of people in an area. It is an average number. Population density is calculated by dividing the number of people by area. Population density is usually shown as the number of people per square kilometer. The map below is a choropleth (shading) map and illustrates population density. The darker the colour the greater the population density.
Source: Columbia University's Center for International Earth Science Information Network
Page URL: http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/plue/gpw/index.html?main.html&2
The map above shows that world population distribution is uneven. Some areas have a high population density while others have a low population density. Areas of high population density tend to be located between 20° and 60°N. This area contains a large land area and a relatively temperate climate.
Factors Affecting Population Density
There are a range of human and natural factors that affect population density. The tables below illustrate this.
Physical Factors |
High Density |
Low Density |
Relief |
Low land which is flat e.g. Ganges Valley in India |
High land that is mountainous e.g. Himalayas |
Resources |
Areas rich in resources (e.g. coal, oil, wood, fishing etc.) tend to densely populated e.g. Western Europe |
Areas with few resources tend to be sparsely populated e.g. The Sahel |
Climate |
Areas with temperate climates tend to be densely populated as there is enough rain and heat to grow crops e.g. UK |
Areas with extreme climates of hot and cold tend to be sparsely populated e.g. the Sahara Desert |
Human Factors |
High Density |
Low Density |
Political |
Countries with stable governments tend to have a high population density e.g. Singapore |
Unstable countries tend to have lower population densities as people migrate e.g. Afghanistan. |
Social |
Groups of people want to live close to each other for security e.g. USA |
Other groups of people prefer to be isolated e.g. Scandinavians |
Economic |
Good job opportunities encourage high population densities, particularly in large cities in MEDCs and LEDCs around the world. |
Limited job opportunities cause some areas to be sparsely populated e.g. Amazon Rainforest |
Population Change
The world's population is growing very rapidly. In 1820 the world's population reached 1 billion. In 1990 it reached 6 billion people.
This rapid growth in population has been called a population explosion.
The major reason for population changes, whether in an individual country or for the whole world, is the change in birth and death rates. The birth rate is the number of live babies born in a year for every 1000 people in the total population. Death rates are number of people dying per 1000 people. When birth rates are higher than death rates the population of an area will increase.
Over the past 150 years improvements in health care and sanitation around the world have led to a drop in the death rate. While birth rates have dropped in MEDCs, birth rates are still high in LEDCs. Therefore the number of people in the world has grown rapidly.
Life Expectancy
Life expectancy is the average age a person can expect to live to in a particular area. Life expectancy can be used as an indicator of the overall 'health' of a country. From this figure you can determine many features of a country e.g. standard of living. As a general rule the higher the life expectancy the more healthy (or developed) a country is.
The Demographic Transition Model
The Demographic Transition Model attempts to show how population changes as a country develops.
The model is divided into four stages.
Stage 1
Birth rate and death rate are high - low natural increase - low total population
Stage 2
Birth rate is high - death rate is falling - high natural increase (population growth)
Stage 3
Falling birth rate - low death rate - high natural increase (population growth)
Stage 4
Birth rate and death rate is low - low natural increase - high total population
The Demographic Transition Model does not take into account migration.
Population Structure / Population Pyramids
The population structure for an area shows the number of males and females within different age groups in the population. This information is displayed as an age-sex or population pyramid. Population pyramids of LEDCs (Less Economically Developed Countries) typically have a wide base and a narrow top. This represents a high birth rate and high death rate. Population pyramids of MEDCs (More Economically Developed Countries) typically have a roughly equal distribution of population throughout the age groups. The top obviously gets narrower as a result of deaths. Population pyramids for every country in the world can be found here. Population pyramids are used to show the structure of the population according to age and sex. Click here to see the three major types of population pyramid.
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