PROGNOZOWANIE na ćwiczenia zaoczne


Overview

średnia arytmetyczna
średnia ruchoma
średnia ruchoma ważona
model Browna I
model Holta
ekstrapolacja funkcji trendu I
ekstrapolacja funkcji trendu II
m wskaźników sez I
m.wsk sez II
m wsk z wah cyklicznymi
model przyczynowo skutkowy
dyn m przyczynowo skutkowy
analogie
ARIMA I
ARIMA II
inne dane


Sheet 1: średnia arytmetyczna

dane tygodniowe
nowo otwarte rachunki bankowe






Barley production in Poland

czas Dane Wart teoretyczne reszty




rok czas Dane Wart teoretyczne reszty




t Yt Yt^ et MAE MAPE MSE


t Yt Yt^ et MAE MAPE MSE

1 40 38.82 1.18 1.18 2.94 1.38

1992 1 2819 3265.53 -446.53 446.53 15.84 199,392

2 37 38.82 -1.82 1.82 4.93 3.33

1993 2 3255 3265.53 -10.53 10.53 0.32 111

3 28 38.82 -10.82 10.82 38.66 117.15

1994 3 2686 3265.53 -579.53 579.53 21.58 335,859

4 40 38.82 1.18 1.18 2.94 1.38

1995 4 3279 3265.53 13.47 13.47 0.41 181

5 45 38.82 6.18 6.18 13.73 38.15

1996 5 3437 3265.53 171.47 171.47 4.99 29,401

6 43 38.82 4.18 4.18 9.71 17.44

1997 6 3866 3265.53 600.47 600.47 15.53 360,560

7 35 38.82 -3.82 3.82 10.92 14.62

1998 7 3612 3265.53 346.47 346.47 9.59 120,039

8 38 38.82 -0.82 0.82 2.17 0.68

1999 8 3401 3265.53 135.47 135.47 3.98 18,351

9 30 38.82 -8.82 8.82 29.41 77.85

2000 9 2783 3265.53 -482.53 482.53 17.34 232,838

10 40 38.82 1.18 1.18 2.94 1.38

2001 10 3330 3265.53 64.47 64.47 1.94 4,156

11 47 38.82 8.18 8.18 17.40 66.85

2002 11 3370 3265.53 104.47 104.47 3.10 10,913

12 37 38.82 -1.82 1.82 4.93 3.33

2003 12 2832 3265.53 -433.53 433.53 15.31 187,951

13 50 38.82 11.18 11.18 22.35 124.91

2004 13 3571 3265.53 305.47 305.47 8.55 93,310

14 43 38.82 4.18 4.18 9.71 17.44

2005 14 3581 3265.53 315.47 315.47 8.81 99,519

15 40 38.82 1.18 1.18 2.94 1.38

2006 15 3161 3265.53 -104.53 104.53 3.31 10,927

16 31 38.82 -7.82 7.82 25.24 61.21

2007 16
3265.53
4114.40 130.60 1703509.73 RMSE

17 36 38.82 -2.82 2.82 7.84 7.97

2008 17
3265.53
274.29 8.71 113567.32 336.997500814999

18
38.82
77.18 208.76 556.47 RMSE
2009 18
3265.53





19
38.82
4.54 12.28 32.73 5.721










20
38.82



































































































































Sheet 2: średnia ruchoma



np.













długość 4













nowo otwarte rachunki bankowe













czas Dane prognozy błędy prognoz











t Yt Yt^ Et MAE MAPE MSE
n-k+1 = 14




1 40





n(czas) = 17




2 37





k(długość) = 4




3 28













4 40













5 45 36.25 8.75 8.75 24.14 76.56








6 43 37.50 5.50 5.50 14.67 30.25








7 35 39.00 -4.00 4.00 10.26 16.00








8 38 40.75 -2.75 2.75 6.75 7.56








9 30 40.25 -10.25 10.25 25.47 105.06








10 40 36.50 3.50 3.50 9.59 12.25








11 47 35.75 11.25 11.25 31.47 126.56








12 37 38.75 -1.75 1.75 4.52 3.06








13 50 38.50 11.50 11.50 29.87 132.25








14 43 43.50 -0.50 0.50 1.15 0.25








15 40 44.25 -4.25 4.25 9.60 18.06








16 31 42.50 -11.50 11.50 27.06 132.25








17 36 41.00 -5.00 5.00 12.20 25.00








18
37.50
80.50 206.73 685.13 RMSE







19
37.50
5.75 14.77 48.94 7.00







20
37.50






























Sheet 3: średnia ruchoma ważona

dane tygodniowe
nowo otwarte rachunki bankowe






czas Dane Wart teoretyczne reszty




t Yt Yt^ et MAE MAPE MSE

1 40 38.82 1.18 1.18 3.03 1.38

2 37 38.75 -1.75 1.75 4.52 3.06

3 28 38.87 -10.87 10.87 27.96 118.08

4 40 39.64 0.36 0.36 0.90 0.13

5 45 39.62 5.38 5.38 13.59 28.99

6 43 39.17 3.83 3.83 9.79 14.69

7 35 38.82 -3.82 3.82 9.84 14.58

8 38 39.20 -1.20 1.20 3.06 1.44

9 30 39.33 -9.33 9.33 23.73 87.11

10 40 40.50 -0.50 0.50 1.23 0.25

11 47 40.57 6.43 6.43 15.85 41.33

12 37 39.50 -2.50 2.50 6.33 6.25

13 50 40.00 10.00 10.00 25.00 100.00

14 43 37.50 5.50 5.50 14.67 30.25

15 40 35.67 4.33 4.33 12.15 18.78

16 31 33.50 -2.50 2.50 7.46 6.25

17 36 36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

18


69.48 179.10 472.58 RMSE

19


4.09 10.54 27.80 5.27

20







Sheet 4: model Browna I


alfa 0































nowo otwarte rachunki bankowe














czas Dane prognozy błędy prognoz





t Yt Yt^ Et MAE MAPE MSE RMSE
1 40 38.50 1.50 1.50 3.75 2.25

2 37 38.50 -1.50 1.50 4.05 2.25

3 28 38.50 -10.50 10.50 37.50 110.25

4 40 38.50 1.50 1.50 3.75 2.25

5 45 38.50 6.50 6.50 14.44 42.25

6 43 38.50 4.50 4.50 10.47 20.25

7 35 38.50 -3.50 3.50 10.00 12.25

8 38 38.50 -0.50 0.50 1.32 0.25

9 30 38.50 -8.50 8.50 28.33 72.25

10 40 38.50 1.50 1.50 3.75 2.25

11 47 38.50 8.50 8.50 18.09 72.25

12 37 38.50 -1.50 1.50 4.05 2.25

13 50 38.50 11.50 11.50 23.00 132.25

14 43 38.50 4.50 4.50 10.47 20.25

15 40 38.50 1.50 1.50 3.75 2.25

16 31 38.50 -7.50 7.50 24.19 56.25

17 36 38.50 -2.50 2.50 6.94 6.25









18
38.50
77.50 207.86 558.25









19
38.50
4.56 12.23 32.84 5.73








20
38.50

































MAE 4.56 błąd






























MAPE 12.23































MSE 32.84































RMSE 5.73


















































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































Sheet 5: model Holta






alfa





Eksport w Turcji [mln euro]


Beta





rok czas dane poziom trendu zmiany trendu prognoza błąd prognozy




t Yt Lt Tt Yt^ Et MAE MAPE MSE

1990 1 10176.75







1991 2 10969.88







1992 3 11335.49







1993 4 13107.56







1994 5 15221.29







1995 6 16512.61







1996 7 18151.4







1997 8 23142.66







1998 9 23977.93







1999 10 24964.02







2000 11 30181.9







2001 12 35062.22







2002 13 38137.06







2003 14 41515.92







2004 15 50891.09







2005 16 58849.47







2006 17








2007 18








2008 19








2009 20
























































































































































































































































































































Sheet 6: ekstrapolacja funkcji trendu I

Zużycie pszenicy Durum w Niemczech








year time Dane wartośći teoretyczne i prognozy reszty


t Yt Yt^ Et MAE MAPE MSE Et^2 Se
1990 1 478






1991 2 491






1992 3 530






1993 4 641






1994 5 576






1995 6 590






1996 7 636






1997 8 619






1998 9 657






1999 10 721






2000 11 780






2001 12 798






2002 13 844






2003 14 884






2004 15 853






2005 16 953






2006 17







2007 18







2008 19







2009 20








Sheet 7: ekstrapolacja funkcji trendu II

Chesse per cap. Consumpton in Germany









rik czas zmienna czasowa do kwadratu

Dane wartośći teoretyczne i prognozy reszty

t t^2 lnt 1/t Yt Yt^ Et MAE MAPE MSE
1990 1


10176.75




1991 2


10969.88




1992 3


11335.49




1993 4


13107.56




1994 5


15221.29




1995 6


16512.61




1996 7


18151.4




1997 8


23142.66




1998 9


23977.93




1999 10


24964.02




2000 11


30181.9




2001 12


35062.22




2002 13


38137.06




2003 14


41515.92




2004 15


50891.09




2005 16


58849.47




2006 17








2007 18








2008 19








2009 20









Sheet 8: m wskaźników sez I




Przewozy








pasażerówb





rok kwartał czas dane średnia ruchoma centrowana
surowe wskaźniki oczyszczone wskaźniki czynnik sezonowy szereg skorygowany z wahań sezonowych


t Yt SRc=Tt Yt-SRc St^ St St Yt-St
1999 03 I 1 124413.7





1999 06 II 2 121834.3





1999 09 III 3 103333.3





1999 12 IV 4 124048.0





2000 03 I 5 117524.0





2000 06 II 6 118104.0





2000 09 III 7 98728.3





2000 12 IV 8 117510.7





2001 03 I 9 114964.7





2001 06 II 10 109597.7





2001 09 III 11 92808.7





2001 12 IV 12 108014.3





2002 03 I 13 106075.3





2002 06 II 14 99290.7





2002 09 III 15 85653.3





2002 12 IV 16 98892.0





2003 03 I 17 98997.7





2003 06 II 18 94375.7





2003 09 III 19 77811.3





2003 12 IV 20 102296.7





2004 03 I 21






2004 06 II 22






2004 09 III 23






2004 12 IV 24






2005 03 I 25






2004 03 II 26






2004 06 III 27






2004 09 IV 28







Sheet 9: m.wsk sez II


czas PKB w Polsce mln zł

t Yt
2001 VII-IX 1 186209.60
2001 X-XII 2 207703.80
2002 I-III 3 177852.30
2002 IV-VI 4 189073.40
2002 VII-IX 5 191049.50
2002 X-XII 6 212518.20
2003 I-III 7 mariusz: 184541.60 mariusz:
2003 IV-VI 8 200288.10
2003 VII-IX 9 201389.60
2003 X-XII 10 226098.80
2004 I-III 11 203771.00
2004 IV-VI 12 225232.30
2004 VII-IX 13 228690.40
2004 X-XII 14 255615.20
2005 I-III 15 226220.40
2005 IV-VI 16 237271.20
2005 VII-IX 17 240966.90
2005 X-XII 18 273594.00
2006 I-III 19 240871.80
2006 IV-VI 20 251736.00
2006 VII-IX 21 258611.10
2006 X-XII 22 300238.50
2007 I-III 23 267741.40
2007 IV-VI 24 281485.50
2007 VII-IX 25 288454.50
2007 X-XII 26 330114.20
2008 I-III 27 294053.80
2008 IV-VI 28

2008 VII-IX 29


Sheet 10: m wsk z wah cyklicznymi

lata czas Ceny żywca drobiowego

t Yt
Jan-99 1 3.07
Feb-99 2 3.03
Mar-99 3 2.88
Apr-99 4 2.69
May-99 5 2.72
Jun-99 6 2.80
Jul-99 7 3.07
Aug-99 8 3.36
Sep-99 9 3.31
Oct-99 10 3.04
Nov-99 11 3.01
Dec-99 12 2.94
Jan-00 13 2.99
Feb-00 14 3.00
Mar-00 15 3.08
Apr-00 16 3.11
May-00 17 3.20
Jun-00 18 3.31
Jul-00 19 3.41
Aug-00 20 3.44
Sep-00 21 3.37
Oct-00 22 3.35
Nov-00 23 3.30
Dec-00 24 3.37
Jan-01 25 3.42
Feb-01 26 3.48
Mar-01 27 3.47
Apr-01 28 3.48
May-01 29 3.45
Jun-01 30 3.53
Jul-01 31 3.62
Aug-01 32 3.51
Sep-01 33 3.39
Oct-01 34 3.25
Nov-01 35 3.18
Dec-01 36 3.00
Jan-02 37 2.85
Feb-02 38 2.83
Mar-02 39 2.90
Apr-02 40 2.82
May-02 41 2.87
Jun-02 42 2.95
Jul-02 43 3.03
Aug-02 44 3.15
Sep-02 45 3.32
Oct-02 46 3.12
Nov-02 47 2.85
Dec-02 48 2.74
Jan-03 49 2.70
Feb-03 50 2.75
Mar-03 51 2.76
Apr-03 52 2.79
May-03 53 2.89
Jun-03 54 2.98
Jul-03 55 3.27
Aug-03 56 3.26
Sep-03 57 3.32
Oct-03 58 3.33
Nov-03 59 3.19
Dec-03 60 3.06
Jan-04 61 2.99
Feb-04 62 3.07
Mar-04 63 3.14
Apr-04 64 3.16
May-04 65 3.28
Jun-04 66 3.60
Jul-04 67 3.68
Aug-04 68 3.50
Sep-04 69 3.48
Oct-04 70 3.44
Nov-04 71 3.37
Dec-04 72 3.22
Jan-05 73 3.02
Feb-05 74 3.02
Mar-05 75 3.04
Apr-05 76 3.00
May-05 77 3.25
Jun-05 78 3.35
Jul-05 79 3.45
Aug-05 80 3.50
Sep-05 81 3.49
Oct-05 82 3.10
Nov-05 83 2.88
Dec-05 84 2.74
Jan-06 85 2.61
Feb-06 86 2.65
Mar-06 87 2.54
Apr-06 88 2.55
May-06 89 2.64
Jun-06 90 2.76
Jul-06 91 2.91
Aug-06 92 3.10
Sep-06 93 3.06
Oct-06 94 2.93
Nov-06 95 2.78
Dec-06 96 2.73
Jan-07 97 2.99
Feb-07 98 3.27
Mar-07 99 3.41
Apr-07 100 3.27
May-07 101 3.39
Jun-07 102 3.61
Jul-07 103 3.79
Aug-07 104 3.83
Sep-07 105 3.80
Oct-07 106 3.76
Nov-07 107 3.66
Dec-07 108 3.30
Jan-08 109 3.21
Feb-08 110 3.37
Mar-08 111 3.43
Apr-08 112 3.4
May-08 113 3.53
Jun-08 114 3.65
Jul-08 115 3.78

Sheet 11: model przyczynowo skutkowy

czas Zysk cena z sztukę zatrudnienie PKB teoretyczne i prognozy reszty

t Yt X1t X2t X3t Yt^ et MAE MAPE MSE RMSE
1 25.5 184.5 44 2.47





2 26.1 183 45 2.73





3 28.8 186 44 3.9





4 29.5 187.5 44 4.29





5 27.7 189 43 2.99





6 27.9 187.5 42 2.08





7 28.9 193.5 41 2.47





8 31.6 198 42 3.25





9 34.9 201 43 4.42





10 34.5 205.5 43 3.64





11 33.3 202.5 42 2.47





12 35.2 205.5 43 3.9





13 37.3 210 41 4.68





14 36.1 204 41 3.77





15









16









17










Sheet 12: dyn m przyczynowo skutkowy



Produkt krajowy brutto (ceny bieżące) Eksport towarów i usług (ceny bieżące) spożycie indywidualne (z dochodów osobistych) w sektorze gospodarstw domowych nakłady brutto na środki trwałe

w mln zł w mln zł w mln zł w mln zł
Yt X1t X2t X3t
1995 I kw. 76012.10 18027.80 45971.10 11094.50
II kw. 81778.20 19230.60 49409.90 12654.70
III kw. 86713.70 20069.70 51571.10 15077.40
IV kw. 92717.90 20905.80 53728.60 20909.90
1996 I kw. 93207.80 23996.50 60644.70 11389.40
II kw. 101404.50 22928.60 64492.00 16726.70
III kw. 107274.00 23042.70 66107.60 21826.60
IV kw. 120549.50 24271.90 67740.10 33729.00
1997 I kw. 113958.30 28126.40 75458.70 16375.70
II kw. 124055.80 28848.20 79598.60 24332.10
III kw. 129974.60 30527.10 81769.50 28260.30
IV kw. 147364.50 33133.00 81357.10 46510.70
1998 I kw. 134931.90 38026.50 90832.90 22333.70
II kw. 144618.70 38961.80 90646.60 30552.20
III kw. 151670.50 39589.80 94410.40 34600.80
IV kw. 169680.80 39544.00 93809.90 57184.10
1999 I kw. 146070.00 36466.50 100326.70 24679.10
II kw. 158884.80 37573.70 102610.90 34182.50
III kw. 167797.90 41425.10 104425.60 38989.50
IV kw. 192935.70 45574.80 107256.80 64607.00
2000 I kw. 166983.00 43707.60 116664.20 27796.90
II kw. 180336.10 49395.40 117747.50 38212.50
III kw. 187089.30 52148.80 118588.90 42078.70
IV kw. 209969.60 56656.00 116792.80 68650.90
2001 I kw. 179169.10 49704.70 124475.00 29131.00
II kw. 191140.70 49269.60 124543.80 35422.50
III kw. 194062.70 55839.20 124976.20 36924.70
IV kw. 215191.30 56105.60 124986.70 59798.60
2002 I kw. 187640.40 48135.20 135560.40 25942.80
II kw. 198114.30 55817.40 132153.00 32858.90
III kw. 200319.30 62810.90 132186.70 35023.00
IV kw. 222504.40 64771.50 133025.20 57647.20
2003 I kw. 193842.50 58932.40 136094.40 25309.90
II kw. 207307.10 67486.10 136057.00 33073.30
III kw. 208268.40 74262.20 135955.10 36305.90
IV kw. 233738.20 80206.90 138134.00 59069.00
2004 I kw. 213035.60 78430.70 144814.80 26444.80
II kw. 224806.10 90542.50 147569.20 35192.90
III kw. 228044.80 87610.10 148369.70 39204.30
IV kw. 258651.10 90047.50 148636.10 66316.20
2005 I kw. 229395.80 81584.40 151739.80 28057.30
II kw. 238094.50 91920.40 153190.20 37211.20
III kw. 241759.80 92335.00 154220.10 41815.40
IV kw. 274052.20 98817.80 155144.50 72096.10
2006 I kw. 242784.90 96665.60 161125.30 30486.90
II kw. 255497.10 105760.50 162867.60 43470.10
III kw. 261510.90 109223.40 165083.90 49632.40
IV kw. 300238.50 116126.80 163749.60 84719.00
2007 I kw. 270132.10 114017.90 175765.50 38501.10
II kw. 282921.90 116988.80 174791.00 53322.60
III kw. 291058.50 121914.20 176216.70 60030.70
IV kw. 332624.20 126685.20 174783.10 101874.10
2008 I kw. 299147.70 126584.30 195669.50 45771.80
II kw. 310884.30 129523.00 192868.70 63849.70
III kw. 314741.70 127824.90 194676.40 65386.90
IV kw. 350734.60 124955.30 190607.50 108897.60
2009 I kw. 313058.10 128726.50 206491.40 46569.40
II kw. 325485.60 132114.80 199539.80 63505.80
III kw. 332478.90 132451.10 205694.50 66033.50
IV kw. 373482.50 136986.00 198011.10 108540.20
2010 I kw. 323206.60 134656.20 216332.20 40031.90
II kw. 344700.00 151861.80 211099.50 62237.30
III kw. 350607.20 154070.90 217714.90 67223.30
IV kw. 398071.50 157780.70 211037.60 111827.80
2011 I kw. 348858.90 158737.70 233643.90 42270.60
II kw. 369749.90 168663.10 228861.50 67067.60
III kw. 377079.80 175951.60 233154.40 73676.40
IV kw. 432438.60 185385.70 225900.50 125677.90
2012 I kw. 370787.20 180550.90 248947.00 45847.10
II kw. 389378.10 186312.20 242629.40 69152.50
III kw. 394410.80 187424.10 243030.70 72754.90
IV kw. 441802.40 190461.00 232843.50 118800.20
2013 I kw. 378350.20 182605.40 250586.70 44180.20
II kw. 396313.80 194161.30 243482.00 65721.00
III kw. 405554.00 202536.40 247879.00 72064.10
IV kw. 455527.80 202513.30 239229.50 119257.50
2014 I kw. 397428.70 198927.30 259365.20 48348.50
II kw. 413456.90 205328.20 250715.60 70064.10
III kw.



IV kw.




Sheet 13: analogie


czas Produkt I Produkt II
Okres t Yt Xt
I 1 68 157
II 2 58 193
III 3 48 240
IV 4 89 281
I 5 118 246
II 6 156 236
III 7 232 289
IV 8 223 366
I 9 208 360
II 10 206 400
III 11 248 463
IV 12 336 585
I 13 318 550
II 14 368 405
III 15 418 401
IV 16 530 355
I 17 512 321
II 18 399 296
III 19 363 262
IV 20 320 242
I 21 283 215
II 22 258 200
III 23 228 191
IV 24 204 165
I


II


III


IV



Sheet 14: ARIMA I



notowania korona norweska

t Yt
Jan-97 1 0.455
Feb-97 2 0.457
Mar-97 3 0.453
Apr-97 4 0.447
May-97 5 0.449
Jun-97 6 0.449
Jul-97 7 0.457
Aug-97 8 0.457
Sep-97 9 0.473
Oct-97 10 0.484
Nov-97 11 0.495
Dec-97 12 0.487
Jan-98 13 0.471
Feb-98 14 0.468
Mar-98 15 0.456
Apr-98 16 0.454
May-98 17 0.459
Jun-98 18 0.459
Jul-98 19 0.454
Aug-98 20 0.463
Sep-98 21 0.475
Oct-98 22 0.470
Nov-98 23 0.463
Dec-98 24 0.459
Jan-99 25 0.474
Feb-99 26 0.491
Mar-99 27 0.505
Apr-99 28 0.514
May-99 29 0.508
Jun-99 30 0.501
Jul-99 31 0.491
Aug-99 32 0.507
Sep-99 33 0.522
Oct-99 34 0.531
Nov-99 35 0.535
Dec-99 36 0.521
Jan-00 37 0.512
Feb-00 38 0.504
Mar-00 39 0.487
Apr-00 40 0.491
May-00 41 0.496
Jun-00 42 0.506
Jul-00 43 0.497
Aug-00 44 0.487
Sep-00 45 0.488
Oct-00 46 0.496
Nov-00 47 0.487
Dec-00 48 0.477
Jan-01 49 0.469
Feb-01 50 0.459
Mar-01 51 0.453
Apr-01 52 0.443
May-01 53 0.436
Jun-01 54 0.427
Jul-01 55 0.452
Aug-01 56 0.475
Sep-01 57 0.481
Oct-01 58 0.469
Nov-01 59 0.459
Dec-01 60 0.449
Jan-02 61 0.453
Feb-02 62 0.468
Mar-02 63 0.470
Apr-02 64 0.471
May-02 65 0.494
Jun-02 66 0.519
Jul-02 67 0.551
Aug-02 68 0.549
Sep-02 69 0.553
Oct-02 70 0.551
Nov-02 71 0.540
Dec-02 72 0.546
Jan-03 73 0.555
Feb-03 74 0.552
Mar-03 75 0.553
Apr-03 76 0.549
May-03 77 0.550
Jun-03 78 0.543
Jul-03 79 0.535
Aug-03 80 0.529
Sep-03 81 0.545
Oct-03 82 0.558
Nov-03 83 0.564
Dec-03 84 0.565
Jan-04 85 0.548
Feb-04 86 0.553
Mar-04 87 0.558
Apr-04 88 0.573
May-04 89 0.575
Jun-04 90 0.554
Jul-04 91 0.527
Aug-04 92 0.532
Sep-04 93 0.523
Oct-04 94 0.525
Nov-04 95 0.523
Dec-04 96 0.503
Jan-05 97 0.497
Feb-05 98 0.479
Mar-05 99 0.491
Apr-05 100 0.508
May-05 101 0.517
Jun-05 102 0.514
Jul-05 103 0.517
Aug-05 104 0.511
Sep-05 105 0.502
Oct-05 106 0.500
Nov-05 107 0.507
Dec-05 108 0.483
Jan-06 109 0.475
Feb-06 110 0.471
Mar-06 111 0.490
Apr-06 112 0.500
May-06 113 0.500
Jun-06 114 0.512
Jul-06 115 0.504
Aug-06 116 0.488
Sep-06 117 0.481
Oct-06 118 0.465
Nov-06 119 0.465
Dec-06 120 0.467
Jan-07 121 0.469
Feb-07 122 0.482
Mar-07 123 0.478
Apr-07 124 0.470
May-07 125 0.465
Jun-07 126 0.473
Jul-07 127 0.475
Aug-07 128 0.478
Sep-07 129 0.484
Oct-07 130 0.482
Nov-07 131 0.461
Dec-07 132 0.450
Jan-08 133 0.454
Feb-08 134 0.450
Mar-08 135 0.444
Apr-08

May-08

Jun-08

Jul-08


Sheet 15: ARIMA II

lata
GDP (bil. € 95) Holandia

t Yt
1973 1 206
1974 2 215
1975 3 215
1976 4 225
1977 5 231
1978 6 236
1979 7 241
1980 8 245
1981 9 243
1982 10 240
1983 11 245
1984 12 252
1985 13 259
1986 14 267
1987 15 272
1988 16 281
1989 17 294
1990 18 306
1991 19 313
1992 20 319
1993 21 323
1994 22 332
1995 23 343
1996 24 354
1997 25 370
1998 26 384
1999 27 402
2000 28 418
2001 29 426
2002 30 426
2003 31 428
2004 32 436
2005 33 443
2006 34 456

Sheet 16: inne dane

struktura danych








































































lata mies produkcja masła w tys. ton


Vegetable consumption in Poland (in kg/cap.)

Wyjazdy Polaków (przekroczenia granic w ruchu wyjazdowym) ceny trzody chlewej w USA USA kwartalne
eksport/mln euro ro tr
CPI analogiczny miesiąc poprzedniego roku = 100
CPI Żywność i napoje bezalkoholowe mies poprzedni=100 indeks analogiczny okres roku poprzedniego =100


przyjazdy turystów do wielkiej brytanii
Date
Late Arrivals %


Mieszkania oddane do użytkowania w poszczególnych miesiącach lat 1991-2008
Prices All Houses (UK)


hyndman bank data multiple regression

Sales and advertising expenditure for an automotive parts company.

Employed persons by full-time / part-time activity
geo/time Belgium Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Ireland Greece Spain Italy Hungary Netherlands Austria Poland Portugal Romania Finland Sweden Iceland Norway
1996 I 7.9
1997 I 3.52
Jan-99 3.212
Mar-90 48.93
time Romania Turkey
Jan 98 113.567
Jan-99 100.2 100


1980 01 739
Sep-88 1988-9 14.3726935094028
1991 Jan-91 8826
1952 Q4 = 100 Index Price Annual Change



depozyty bankowe oprocentowanie bonów skarbowych AAA oprocentowanie bonów skarbowych rządowych 4 letnich
advertising sales
Employment in the tourism sector
2000Q01 4046 4658 2693 565 1649 4026 14988 20617 3778 7725 3684 14319 4972 10028 2241

2233
II 6.8

II 3.77
Feb-99 2.949
Jun-90 58.43
1990 4602.08 10176.75
Feb 98 114.247
Feb-99 100.0 99.995


1980 02 602
Oct-88 1988-10 16.5956483347296
Feb-91 8239


£ %



360.071 5.94 5.31
25 92.8
15 years and over
2000Q02 4120 4675 2716 568 1671 4098 15306 20930 3807 7860 3712 14518 5003 10898 2367 4125 157 2271
III 8.2

III 8.2
Mar-99 3.701
Sep-90 57.00
1991 3442.37 10969.88
Mar 98 113.915
Mar-99 100.5 100.5189738


1980 03 740
Nov-88 1988-11 22.3382541979418
Mar-91 7173
Q4 1952 100.0 1891
7.54472344074447


361.217 6 5.6
0 79.2
Total
2000Q03 4133 4692 2715 585 1736 4126 15542 21322 3855 7925 3736 14727 5048 11129 2409

2268
IV 8.1

IV 5.51
Apr-99 3.764
Dec-90 51.60
1992 3361.34 11335.49
Apr 98 113.687
Apr-99 100.5 101.04669841245


1980 04 1028
Dec-88 1988-12 23.8631646649363
Apr-91 8586
Q1 1953 100.0 1891
7.54472344074447


358.774 6.08 5.49
15 84.5
Thousands
2000Q04 4071 4701 2729 572 1713 4105 15643 21450 3877 7971 3721 14540 5060 10556 2324

2248
V 10
1998 I 3.35
May-99 4.473
Mar-91 51.23
1993 4177.77 13107.56
May 98 113.329
May-99 100.6 101.661062338798


1980 05 1088
Jan-89 1989-1 23.3179250128403
May-91 8724
Q2 1953 100.0 1891
7.54472344074447


360.271 6.17 5.8
10 83


2001Q01 4062 4676 2711 564 1711 4076 15713 21273 3860 7995 3697 14147 5085 10100 2294 4242
2247
VI 11.9

II 3.72
Jun-99 4.89
Jun-91 53.23
1994 5171.2 15221.29
Jun 98 112.169
Jun-99 99.3 100.979933221128


1980 06 1124
Feb-89 1989-2 27.5788509423649
Jun-91 11795
Q3 1953 99.5 1881
7.53978515910389


360.139 6.14 5.61
20 88.1


2001Q02 4039 4681 2717 576 1722 4103 15877 21373 3859 8065 3745 14252 5101 10807 2403 4339 158 2276
VII 15.3

III 8.57
Jul-99 6.711
Sep-91 50.60
1995 6047.39 16512.61
Jul 98 111.889
Jul-99 97.7 98.6220517804145


1980 07 1699
Mar-89 1989-3 30.3827602767584
Jul-91 10358
Q4 1953 99.0 1872 -1.0 7.53482236976176


362.164 6.09 5.28
10 83.9


2001Q03 4093 4683 2760 588 1789 4114 16072 21713 3891 8092 3755 14383 5122 11116 2420 4389
2273
VIII 14.9

IV 5.67
Aug-99 7.989
Dec-91 40.07
1996 6366.97 18151.4
Aug 98 111.25
Aug-99 99.9 98.5549887852038


1980 08 1839
Apr-89 1989-4 16.6051123756176
Aug-91 8618
Q1 1954 98.5 1863 -1.5 7.52983482825072


362.901 5.87 5.19
5 79.9


2001Q04 4029 4696 2761 583 1760 4052 16121 21698 3863 8123 3748 14043 5139 10388 2352 4302
2265
IX 14.3
1999 I 3.3
Sep-99 4.775
Mar-92 38.70
1997 7434.53 23142.66
Sep 98 110.556
Sep-99 102.5 100.971557110217


1980 09 1200
May-89 1989-5 20.5387351018839
Sep-91 10104
Q2 1954 99.0 1872 -1.0 7.53482236976176


361.878 5.84 5.18
5 81.1


2002Q01 4045 4686 2701 575 1753 4076 16055 21644 3840 8091 3669 13697 5132 9119 2313 4262
2266
X 13

II 3.97
Oct-99 4.307
Jun-92 44.27
1998 7404.34 23977.93
Oct 98 109.858
Oct-99 101.8 102.752695377641


1980 10 963
Jun-89 1989-6 27.8235165262508
Oct-91 10712
Q3 1954 98.5 1863 -1.0 7.52983482825072


360.922 5.99 5.3
15 86.4


2002Q02 4052 4733 2741 581 1764 4190 16241 21757 3868 8176 3716 13820 5158 9768 2406 4348 156 2293
XI 9.8

III 8.19
Nov-99 4.138
Sep-92 43.60
1999 7992.23 24964.02
Nov 98 109.219
Nov-99 101.5 104.333031832549


1980 11 755
Jul-89 1989-7 23.1258060340488
Nov-91 12695
Q4 1954 98.0 1853 -1.0 7.52482228642718


361.307 6.12 5.23
15 86.3


2002Q03 4105 4749 2736 597 1808 4224 16357 21984 3886 8210 3737 13888 5164 9992 2427 4387
2287
XII 9.5

IV 4.9
Dec-99 4.186
Dec-92 41.60
2000 11273.26 30181.9
Dec 98 108.598
Dec-99 101.4 105.823950857436


1980 12 642
Aug-89 1989-8 25.3686471009306
Dec-91 30960
Q1 1955 100.5 1900 2.0 7.5496374555469


362.29 6.42 5.64
5 79.9


2002Q04 4077 4757 2717 589 1782 4213 16377 21932 3889 8194 3727 13722 5095 9485 2343 4299
2256
1997 I 8.4
2000 I 3.31
Jan-00 3.68
Mar-93 43.90
2001 12722.02 35062.22
Jan 99 106.886
Jan-00 101.4 107.338291594206 107.338291594206

1981 01 695
Sep-89 1989-9 20.3862981487371
1992 Jan-92 9009
Q2 1955 102.5 1937 3.5 7.569055541404


367.382 6.48 5.62
20 86.6


2003Q01 4028 4706 2686 577 1784 4224 16924 21824 3860 8108 3745 13348 5105 8730 2319 4251 150 2250
II 7.4

II 3.93
Feb-00 3.874
Jun-93 46.80
2002 14674.87 38137.06
Feb 99 105.642
Feb-00 101.1 108.550140906305 108.555568684739

1981 02 540
Oct-89 1989-10 20.5396972095513
Feb-92 9400
Q3 1955 102.5 1937 4.0 7.569055541404


371.031 6.52 5.67
15 85.4


2003Q02 4055 4703 2704 589 1793 4287 17241 22057 3924 8125 3801 13657 5118 9368 2401 4352 157 2265
III 8.7

III 8.4
Mar-00 3.996
Sep-93 46.93
2003 15613.75 41515.92
Mar 99 106.153
Mar-00 100.9 109.485843120917 108.920573879672

1981 03 685
Nov-89 1989-11 21.9780719494712
Mar-92 28833
Q4 1955 102.5 1937 4.5 7.569055541404


373.734 6.64 5.83
5 80.5


2003Q03 4074 4698 2732 609 1836 4309 17459 22215 3952 8151 3829 13744 5130 9547 2416 4380 160 2267
IV 9.7

IV 5.78
Apr-00 4.664
Dec-93 43.27
2004 18934.97 50891.09
Apr 99 106.277
Apr-00 100.8 110.320125245499 109.1773674734

1981 04 962
Dec-89 1989-12 29.8013923490652
Apr-92 4975
Q1 1956 104.4 1975 3.9 7.5881037363747


373.463 6.75 5.53
10 83.5


2003Q04 4125 4697 2707 603 1829 4278 17560 22121 3952 8102 3799 13718 5118 8975 2324 4275 152 2249
V 11.4
2001 I 4.19
May-00 4.74
Mar-94 45.27
2005 22255.07 58849.47
May 99 106.444
May-00 100.4 110.736032117674 108.926691862252

1981 05 1007
Jan-90 1990-1 22.3962051050373
May-92 6275
Q2 1956 105.9 2003 3.4 7.60215548983035


375.518 6.73 5.76
25 92.5


2004Q01 4111 4653 2696 589 1836 4249 17600 22065 3891 8059 3654 13465 5107 8755 2301 4226 151 2244
VI 14.5

II 4.17
Jun-00 4.907
Jun-94 42.70




Jun 99 106.536
Jun-00 100.6 111.384945265884 110.304039340144

1981 06 1039
Feb-90 1990-2 26.7795508482689
Jun-92 8396
Q3 1956 105.9 2003 3.4 7.60215548983035


374.804 6.89 6.09
15 89.5


2004Q02 4144 4682 2742 595 1836 4331 17866 22438 3894 8101 3742 13682 5125 9283 2384 4311 156 2273
VII 15.2

III 8.88
Jul-00 6.642
Sep-94 39.80




Jul 99 106.277
Jul-00 100.7 112.14570444205 113.712605261698

1981 07 1430
Mar-90 1990-3 23.4560676989557
Jul-92 7939
Q4 1956 105.9 2003 3.4 7.60215548983035


375.457 6.98 6.52
5 83.6


2004Q03 4140 4704 2774 597 1894 4342 18129 22485 3907 8150 3808 13970 5125 9343 2425 4364 157 2282
VIII 14.3

IV 6.15
Aug-00 6.814
Dec-94 30.23




Aug 99 107.205
Aug-00 98.9 110.900887122743 112.526913644571

1981 08 1650
Apr-90 1990-4 17.7864427114577
Aug-92 7282
Q1 1957 106.9 2021 2.4 7.61141481524314


375.423 6.98 6.68
15 89.1


2004Q04 4161 4723 2740 601 1894 4331 18288 22630 3909 8113 3771 14058 5134 9032 2349 4259 155 2267
IX 14
2002 I

Sep-00 4.644
Mar-95 37.90




Sep 99 108.003
Sep-00 101.4 112.477897737628 111.395625616481

1981 09 1181
May-90 1990-5 19.1577013261924
Sep-92 7240
Q2 1957 106.9 2021 0.9 7.61141481524314


374.365 7.1 7.07
20 90.9


2005Q01 4217 4704 2721 595 1908 4325 18493 22373 3871 8028 3756 13767 5094 8909 2337 4219 155 2260
X 12.9

II

Oct-00 4.3
Jun-95 38.30




Oct 99 108.68
Oct-00 100.8 113.360849234869 110.323966508363

1981 10 954
Jun-90 1990-6 19.9378136467038
Oct-92 10375
Q3 1957 107.4 2030 1.4 7.61601252449177


372.314 7.19 7.12
25 92.7


2005Q02 4212 4751 2738 609 1929 4382 18895 22651 3891 8113 3803 13947 5132 9303 2425 4359 163 2281
XI 9.5

III

Nov-00 3.946
Sep-95 47.77




Nov 99 109.205
Nov-00 100.3 113.687328480665 108.965805444175

1981 11 689
Jul-90 1990-7 18.9418028950219
Nov-92 9850
Q4 1957 107.4 2030 1.4 7.61601252449177


373.765 7.29 7.25
15 88.1


2005Q03 4245 4797 2763 611 1990 4386 19191 22542 3928 8152 3893 14358 5130 9191 2444 4416 162 2299
XII 10

IV

Dec-00 4.473
Dec-95 43.03




Dec 99 109.764
Dec-00 101.0 114.843528611314 108.523191282121

1981 12 619
Aug-90 1990-8 21.4632026312226
Dec-92 23395
Q1 1958 108.4 2049 1.4 7.62514500805505


372.776 7.65 7.85
0 79.5


2005Q04 4267 4804 2787 615 1981 4383 19314 22685 3916 8150 3845 14389 5134 9056 2397 4352 160 2291
1998 I 9
2003 I

Jan-01 3.791
Mar-96 45.93




Jan 00 110.099
Jan-01 100.6 115.549816312273 107.650135469931

1982 01 789
Sep-90 1990-9 15.5858763468752
1993 Jan-93 8513
Q2 1958 108.4 2049 1.4 7.62514500805505


374.134 7.75 8.02
5 82.9


2006Q01 4207 4785 2768 635 1998 4400 19400 22747 3885 8165 3818 14098 5127 9001 2381 4310 162 2313
II 7.8

II

Feb-01 3.665
Jun-96 54.30




Feb 00 110.437
Feb-01 99.8 115.3452931374 106.259920230745

1982 02 578
Oct-90 1990-10 17.580601564234
Feb-93 6943
Q3 1958 108.9 2058 1.4 7.62968016322044


374.88 7.72 7.87





2006Q02 4216 4826 2792 650 2017 4453 19693 23187 3934 8241 3917 14459 5181 9449 2461 4426 170 2346
III 8.9

III

Mar-01 3.748
Sep-96 57.67




Mar 00 110.251
Mar-01 100.5 115.895490185666 105.854315847639

1982 03 646
Nov-90 1990-11 15.4283888511851
Mar-93 6810
Q4 1958 109.4 2068 1.8 7.63419484357496


376.735 7.67 7.14





2006Q03 4277 4839 2836 650 2073 4494 19896 23001 3948 8295 4025 14905 5187 9634 2494 4530 171 2374
IV 9.8

IV

Apr-01 3.992
Dec-96 55.20




Apr 00 109.816
Apr-01 101.5 117.586405387475 106.586540874393

1982 04 1071
Dec-90 1990-12 29.6968960838956
Apr-93 5965
Q1 1959 109.9 2077 1.4 7.6386892331628


374.841 7.66 7.2





2006Q04 4356 4862 2825 651 2066 4462 20002 23018 3953 8343 3952 14911 5143 9081 2438 4452 168 2379
V 13




May-01 4.652
Mar-97 52.00




May 00 109.958
May-01 101.6 119.440743000435 107.860775500346

1982 05 1034
Jan-91 1991-1 26.1671940533253
May-93 5982
Q2 1959 111.3 2105 2.7 7.65205246097497


375.622 7.89 7.59





2007Q01 4348 4865 2789 647 2073 4461 20069 22846 3905 8362 3948 14839 5136 9106 2415 4432 171 2386
VI 13.5




Jun-01 4.875
Jun-97 56.60




Jun 00 110.242
Jun-01 99.5 118.806512655103 106.662989663014

1982 06 1069
Feb-91 1991-2 18.1504443066749
Jun-93 7847
Q3 1959 112.3 2124 3.2 7.66086309065712


375.461 8.14 7.74





2007Q02 4345 4914 2816 659 2095 4520 20367 23298 3942 8469 4035 15152 5155 9443 2524 4543 177 2426
VII 15.2




Jul-01 6.072
Sep-97 54.87




Jul 00 111.612
Jul-01 97.6 115.964660872393 103.405352393427

1982 07 1471
Mar-91 1991-3 19.9939904126117
Jul-93 7605
Q4 1959 114.8 2170 5.0 7.68255591526838


377.694 8.21 7.51





2007Q03 4385 4942 2806 662 2141 4539 20511 23417 3947 8513 4095 15432 5200 9691 2542 4639 178 2451
VIII 14.4




Aug-01 6.476
Dec-97 44.67




Aug 00 110.658
Aug-01 98.7 114.421171236181 103.174261455224

1982 08 1629
Apr-91 1991-4 16.6242692967247
Aug-93 6530
Q1 1960 115.8 2189 5.4 7.69110297584684


380.119 8.05 7.46





2007Q04 4443 4967 2804 654 2139 4519 20477 23326 3909 8511 4033 15538 5188 9174 2485 4549 175 2474
IX 14.5




Sep-01 4.275
Mar-98 35.60




Sep 00 110.271
Sep-01 100.7 115.168341484354 102.391975491044

1982 09 1155
May-91 1991-5 16.4983399827023
Sep-93 5897
Q2 1960 118.2 2235 6.2 7.71215638504467


382.288 7.94 7.09





2008Q01 4450 4958 2816 656 2135 4512 20402 23170 3844 8502 4016 15515 5191 9119 2474 4520 173 2488
X 13.6




Oct-01 4.002
Jun-98 40.17




Oct 00 109.861
Oct-01 100.6 115.810980829836 102.161356069141

1982 10 943
Jun-91 1991-6 14.7189399631173
Oct-93 6526
Q3 1960 121.7 2301 8.3 7.74090579833066


383.27 7.88 6.82





2008Q02 4414 5003 2871 657 2108 4583 20425 23581 3868 8580 4108 15689 5228 9493 2574 4624 180 2523
XI 10.4




Nov-01 3.525
Sep-98 33.87




Nov 00 109.294
Nov-01 100.2 116.000910838397 102.035039778532

1982 11 661
Jul-91 1991-7 15.5056877689165
Nov-93 8273
Q4 1960 123.2 2328 7.3 7.75297837956493


387.978 7.79 6.22





2008Q03 4465 5015 2868 661 2116 4590 20346 23518 3924 8624 4138 15990 5196 9627 2566 4674 181 2532
XII 11.1




Dec-01 4.049
Dec-98 20.57




Dec 00 108.492
Dec-01 100.6 116.714316440053 101.628988460526

1982 12 592
Aug-91 1991-8 16.7298107037635
Dec-93 17558
Q1 1961 127.1 2403 9.8 7.7844770466243


394.041 7.41 5.61





2008Q04 4455 5033 2860 653 2045 4554 19857 23349 3881 8665 4097 16005 5176 9237 2509 4554 174 2513
1999 I 9.4




Jan-02 3.013
Mar-99 27.40




Jan 01 107.399
Jan-02 101.2 118.12189109632 102.225944502669

1983 01 723
Sep-91 1991-9 12.0960271162422
1994 Jan-94 6327
Q2 1961 129.1 2440 9.2 7.79986196546378


403.423 7.18 5.48
























II 9




Feb-02 3.372
Jun-99 33.60




Feb 01 106.629
Feb-02 100.1 118.20693885791 102.480938443756

1983 02 550
Oct-91 1991-10 16.6077502065153
Feb-94 5676
Q3 1961 130.5 2468 7.3 7.81124728768891


412.727 7.15 4.78
























III 10.2




Mar-02 3.591
Sep-99 33.90




Mar 01 106.214
Mar-02 100.4 118.737688013382 102.452380004746

1983 03 740
Nov-91 1991-11 17.2848360910018
Mar-94 4646
Q4 1961 134.5 2543 9.2 7.84098925688764


423.417 7.27 4.14
























IV 10.5




Apr-02 3.524
Dec-99 34.43




Apr 01 106.638
Apr-02 100.5 119.34562497601 101.496107975015

1983 04 1023
Dec-91 1991-12 20.0433803286894
Apr-94 4504
Q1 1962 135.0 2552 6.2 7.84464556809075


429.948 7.37 4.64
























V 13.1




May-02 4.392
Mar-00 39.47




May 01 106.943
May-02 99.1 118.211841538738 98.9711203808465

1983 05 988
Jan-92 1992-1 18.6081822412553
May-94 4500
Q2 1962 137.4 2599 6.5 7.86272924352405


437.821 7.54 5.52
























VI 12.7




Jun-02 4.19
Jun-00 48.20




Jun 01 106.225
Jun-02 98.6 116.529687033642 98.0835851751068

1983 06 1189
Feb-92 1992-2 16.5733008129261
Jun-94 6028
Q3 1962 139.9 2645 7.2 7.88049169986389


441.703 7.58 5.95
























VII 12.9




Jul-02 5.314
Sep-00 44.57




Jul 01 105.179
Jul-02 97.1 113.096722453631 97.5268858657571

1983 07 1697
Mar-92 1992-3 19.0991704365223
Jul-94 4360
Q4 1962 141.4 2673 5.1 7.8909996774623


446.663 7.62 6.2
























VIII 13.2




Aug-02 5.271
Dec-00 39.30




Aug 01 105.084
Aug-02 98.6 111.515630273729 97.4606614046497

1983 08 1748
Apr-92 1992-4 13.4028073058176
Aug-94 5191
Q1 1963 145.3 2748 7.7 7.9184928180425


447.964 7.58 6.03
























IX 12.4




Sep-02 3.795
Mar-01 40.77




Sep 01 104.331
Sep-02 100.8 112.370955157929 97.5710457488831

1983 09 1269
May-92 1992-5 13.4458757678154
Sep-94 4704
Q2 1963 149.3 2822 8.6 7.94525026721205


449.118 7.48 5.6
























X 11.7




Oct-02 3.063
Jun-01 50.13




Oct 01 104.001
Oct-02 101.0 113.536241962916 98.0358176309185

1983 10 1051
Jun-92 1992-6 18.9626565768137
Oct-94 5568
Q3 1963 150.7 2850 7.7 7.95510256365506


449.234 7.35 5.26
























XI 9




Nov-02 2.808
Sep-01 49.23




Nov 01 103.605
Nov-02 99.7 113.199039324286 97.5846124880743

1983 11 796
Jul-92 1992-7 20.2223938574771
Nov-94 6356
Q4 1963 155.7 2943 10.1 7.9872596752896


454.162 7.19 4.96
























XII 8.9




Dec-02 2.709
Dec-01 36.17




Dec 01 103.551
Dec-02 100.3 113.580520086809 97.3149854715093

1983 12 690
Aug-92 1992-8 19.6613673323065
Dec-94 18220
Q1 1964 158.6 2999 9.2 8.00606900724709


456.692 7.19 5.28
























2000 I 8.9




Jan-03 2.763
Mar-02 37.37




Jan 02 103.415
Jan-03 100.4 114.02575572555 96.5322809068213

1984 01 745
Sep-92 1992-9 14.8078206420651
1995 Jan-95 4961
Q2 1964 163.5 3092 9.6 8.03665243061917


465.117 7.11 5.37
























II 8




Feb-03 2.693
Jun-02 33.57




Feb 02 103.467
Feb-03 99.8 113.803405501885 96.27472515694

1984 02 580
Oct-92 1992-10 14.1853152470793
Feb-95 3826
Q3 1964 166.0 3139 10.1 8.05160039205505


470.408 7.16 5.53
























III 8.6




Mar-03 2.797
Sep-02 32.53




Mar 02 103.261
Mar-03 100.3 114.193751182756 96.1731301100343

1984 03 828
Nov-92 1992-11 17.3197871311079
Mar-95 4383
Q4 1964 168.5 3185 8.2 8.06632819876529


475.6 7.22 5.72
























IV 9.2




Apr-03 2.796
Dec-02 29.63




Apr 02 103.012
Apr-03 100.6 114.93372669042 96.3032593055031

1984 04 1170
Dec-92 1992-12 26.1051366945977
Apr-95 3715
Q1 1965 172.9 3269 9.0 8.09230368516855


475.857 7.36 6.04
























V 10.8




May-03 3.444
Mar-03 33.97




May 02 101.868
May-03 100.4 115.370474851844 97.5963772749763

1984 05 1096
Jan-93 1993-1 22.3741883596882
May-95 4052
Q2 1965 176.8 3344 8.1 8.11483985019096


480.259 7.34 5.66
























VI 12.2




Jun-03 3.518
Jun-03 40.37




Jun 02 101.559
Jun-03 100.0 115.328941480897 98.9695796982636

1984 06 1316
Feb-93 1993-2 23.1470243521292
Jun-95 5627
Q3 1965 178.8 3381 7.7 8.12592029596753


483.432 7.3 5.75
























VII 14.7




Jul-03 4.345
Sep-03 40.67




Jul 02 101.295
Jul-03 98.1 113.088100147924 99.9923761665942

1984 07 1763
Mar-93 1993-3 26.3938288142639
Jul-95 4396
Q4 1965 180.8 3418 7.3 8.13687930975725


488.536 7.3 5.82
























VIII 14.8




Aug-03 4.787
Dec-03 35.20




Aug 02 101.233
Aug-03 98.2 111.098880466322 99.6262857445324

1984 08 2011
Apr-93 1993-4 17.0805449814427
Aug-95 4330
Q1 1966 183.3 3465 6.0 8.15041131597583


493.182 7.27 5.9
























IX 14.3




Sep-03 3.387







Sep 02 101.299
Sep-03 101.5 112.717591154716 100.308474726677

1984 09 1406
May-93 1993-5 12.8902681404512
Sep-95 4699
Q2 1966 188.2 3558 6.4 8.17693807030926


494.242 7.3 6.11
























X 13.9




Oct-03 2.918







Oct 02 101.097
Oct-03 101.5 114.461332289879 100.814797381849

1984 10 1093
Jun-93 1993-6 16.7536899521666
Oct-95 6491
Q3 1966 188.2 3558 5.2 8.17693807030926


493.484 7.31 6.05
























XI 11.2




Nov-03 2.679







Nov 02 100.887
Nov-03 100.8 115.429675161052 101.970543080648

1984 11 882
Jul-93 1993-7 13.9411693244306
Nov-95 5839
Q4 1966 189.7 3586 4.9 8.18476079599047


498.186 7.26 5.98
























XII 11.3




Dec-03 2.603







Dec 02 100.837
Dec-03 100.5 116.005669240105 102.135180532227

1984 12 752
Aug-93 1993-8 15.8777122548076
Dec-95 14753
Q1 1967 192.6 3642 5.1 8.20022502168805


500.064 7.24 6
























2001 I 10.4




Jan-04








Jan 03 100.474
Jan-04 100.5 116.572936962689 102.233864814955

1985 01 817
Sep-93 1993-9 15.3692624358423
1996 Jan-96 5342
Q2 1967 195.6 3698 3.9 8.21545374238987


506.684 7.25 6.24
























II 9.6




Feb-04








Feb 03 100.484
Feb-04 100.3 116.961124842775 102.77471427763

1985 02 652
Oct-93 1993-10 16.9605765550463
Feb-96 3827
Q3 1967 199.0 3763 5.8 8.23293233966383






























III 10.9




Mar-04








Mar 03 100.562
Mar-04 100.8 117.858216670319 103.208989502148

1985 03 867
Nov-93 1993-11 18.8244667810738
Mar-96 3233
Q4 1967 203.0 3837 7.0 8.25254081105221






























IV 11.6




Apr-04








Apr 03 100.251
Apr-04 102.1 120.340310713396 104.704088328693

1985 04 1208
Dec-93 1993-12 21.3889293894656
Apr-96 3205
Q1 1968 206.4 3903 7.2 8.26938838162482






























V 14.2




May-04








May 03 100.356
May-04 100.6 121.046708337284 104.920005307016

1985 05 1282
Jan-94 1994-1 29.5337386548892
May-96 3329
Q2 1968 211.3 3996 8.1 8.2929743806307






























VI 14.9




Jun-04








Jun 03 100.75
Jun-04 102.7 124.342810205308 107.815790736191

1985 06 1468
Feb-94 1994-2 26.1692604288882
Jun-96 4362
Q3 1968 214.3 4052 7.7 8.30686349279137






























VII 14.6




Jul-04








Jul 03 100.792
Jul-04 99.2 123.386613994829 109.106629109018

1985 07 1819
Mar-94 1994-3 17.4360987885635
Jul-96 4465
Q4 1968 216.3 4089 6.6 8.31601687477786






























VIII 13.9














Aug 03 100.698
Aug-04 98.4 121.419831367752 109.289878402113

1985 08 2139
Apr-94 1994-4 16.9728856637252
Aug-96 4418
Q1 1969 219.2 4145 6.2 8.32959174386892






























IX 14







Sep 03 100.911
Sep-04 100.4 121.88486932189 108.132961388956

1985 09 1447
May-94 1994-5 12.3693954613777
Sep-96 4818
Q2 1969 222.2 4201 5.1 8.34298480120536






























X 13.5






Oct 03 101.254
Oct-04 101.1 123.241447917443 107.670813760343

1985 10 1140
Jun-94 1994-6 18.2304391662173
Oct-96 5933
Q3 1969 223.6 4229 4.4 8.34961465974403






























XI 11.2






Nov 03 101.585
Nov-04 100.8 124.222449842866 107.617429980242

1985 11 802
Jul-94 1994-7 20.5469017614077
Nov-96 6362
Q4 1969 228.1 4312 5.5 8.36924451578892






























XII 10.8






Dec 03 101.682
Dec-04 100.6 124.998840154384 107.752354667826

1985 12 809
Aug-94 1994-8 16.2454609542305
Dec-96 12836
Q1 1970 231.5 4378 5.6 8.38425015640679






























2002 I 10.7






Jan 04 101.596
Jan-05 99.8 124.775092230507 107.036071563028 106.68
1986 01 926
Sep-94 1994-9 12.0484332534158
1997 Jan-97 5256
Q2 1970 235.5 4452 6.0 8.40112819419414






























II 9.4






Feb 04 101.572
Feb-05 99.7 124.377059686292 106.340512587824 105.912
1986 02 732
Oct-94 1994-10 14.0732894347407
Feb-97 5648
Q3 1970 238.4 4508 6.6 8.41360236841932






























III 11.5






Mar 04 101.665
Mar-05 100.2 124.613376099696 105.73159820352 105.263
1986 03 921
Nov-94 1994-11 19.2489030350725
Mar-97 4811
Q4 1970 242.4 4582 6.3 8.42999617819499






























IV 12.1






Apr 04 102.234
Apr-05 100.5 125.177874693428 104.019903182361 103.657
1986 04 1028
Dec-94 1994-12 20.7481842959234
Apr-97 5211
Q1 1971 250.7 4741 8.3 8.46396547825321






























V 14.2






May 04 103.373
May-05 100.9 126.323252246872 104.359097394773 104.295
1986 05 1125
Jan-95 1995-1 26.1725883084229
May-97 3810
Q2 1971 259.6 4908 10.3 8.49871801024405






























VI 13.7






Jun 04 104.405
Jun-05 98.8 124.809899684955 100.375646552362 100.431
1986 06 1167
Feb-95 1995-2 21.0909560328176
Jun-97 5345
Q3 1971 277.3 5244 16.3 8.56479708984237






























VII 14.9






Jul 04 104.612
Jul-05 98.3 122.629470737459 99.3863651551356 99.241
1986 07 1680
Mar-95 1995-3 20.7021406144705
Jul-97 4776
Q4 1971 292.6 5533 20.7 8.61839678106533






























VIII 14.1






Aug 04 104.615
Aug-05 99.4 121.90963574423 100.40339734536 100.461
1986 08 2048
Apr-95 1995-4 18.6961824999887
Aug-97 4569
Q1 1972 317.7 6008 26.7 8.70076777849846






























IX 13.9






Sep 04 104.412
Sep-05 100.6 122.656941811342 100.63344408026 101.025
1986 09 1337
May-95 1995-5 19.3227922496493
Sep-97 6686
Q2 1972 346.8 6557 33.6 8.78829581786073






























X 13.3






Oct 04 104.469
Oct-05 100.9 123.791518523097 100.446335721423 100.77
1986 10 1195
Jun-95 1995-6 24.0585950211983
Oct-97 6946
Q3 1972 391.1 7395 41.0 8.90860092294982






























XI 10.8






Nov 04 104.479
Nov-05 99.7 123.363199869007 99.3082973528974 99.461
1986 11 910
Jul-95 1995-7 19.9188184663537
Nov-97 7047
Q4 1972 416.7 7880 42.4 8.97203682130891






























XII 11.6






Dec 04 104.372
Dec-05 100.0 123.338527229033 98.6717373350826 98.671
1986 12 828
Aug-95 1995-8 20.1452484899098
Dec-97 13601
Q1 1973 444.0 8396 39.8 9.035472719668






























2003 I 10.5






Jan 05 103.741
Jan-06 100.3 123.739377442527 99.169934664471 99.132
1987 01 1038
Sep-95 1995-9 14.4154834866697
1998 Jan-98 7380
Q2 1973 467.1 8832 34.7 9.08614435193713






























II 9.8






Feb 05 103.571
Feb-06 100.3 124.12049472505 99.7937200301337 99.807
1987 02 678
Oct-95 1995-10 17.907356194073
Feb-98 5231
Q3 1973 485.7 9183 24.2 9.12511716193664






























III 12.1






Mar 05 103.378
Mar-06 99.8 123.83625879213 99.3763772944054 99.299
1987 03 925
Nov-95 1995-11 22.1498462856862
Mar-98 5366
Q4 1973 516.6 9767 24.0 9.18681073094198






























IV 12.1






Apr 05 103.011
Apr-06 100.7 124.648624649806 99.5772016061806 99.411
1987 04 1315
Dec-95 1995-12 32.3402492256978
Apr-98 5094
Q1 1974 525.1 9928 18.2 9.20309161654612






























V 13.6














May 05 102.475
May-06 101.3 126.313930275128 99.9926205416828 99.843
1987 05 1305
Jan-96 1996-1 37.3302863889237
May-98 5253
Q2 1974 530.3 10027 13.5 9.2130750605303






























VI 13.4














Jun 05 101.408
Jun-06 98.9 124.91942448489 100.087753295381 99.51
1987 06 1427
Feb-96 1996-2 28.0963201789347
Jun-98 5889
Q3 1974 536.7 10148 10.5 9.22501858897215






























VII 14.6














Jul 05 101.269
Jul-06 98.5 123.014403261496 100.313898870901 100.176
1987 07 1883
Mar-96 1996-3 24.0619348754029
Jul-98 5963
Q4 1974 539.9 10208 4.5 9.23089081538179






























VIII 13.6














Aug 05 101.622
Aug-06 100.7 123.875504084326 101.612561901359 101.755
1987 08 2228
Apr-96 1996-4 19.8182597985812
Aug-98 5478
Q1 1975 549.4 10388 4.6 9.24839471691067






























IX 14














Sep 05 101.805
Sep-06 100.6 124.67450108567 101.644879812373 102.381
1987 09 1507
May-96 1996-5 21.0815663265192
Sep-98 6466
Q2 1975 567.4 10728 7.0 9.28065412953735






























X 13.4














Oct 05 101.574
Oct-06 100.8 125.66316987928 101.511938280193 102.168
1987 10 1348
Jun-96 1996-6 25.332103196176
Oct-98 7370
Q3 1975 580.6 10978 8.2 9.30364364776205






























XI 11.2














Nov 05 101.006
Nov-06 100.2 125.968531382086 102.111919531794 102.213
1987 11 948
Jul-96 1996-7 24.7148629073075
Nov-98 7624
Q4 1975 597.0 11288 10.6 9.33150962362117






























XII 12.2














Dec 05 100.65
Dec-06 99.7 125.601962955764 101.835140874131 101.835
1987 12 963
Aug-96 1996-8 25.309867746499
Dec-98 13480
Q1 1976 609.2 11519 10.9 9.3517257773564
















































Jan 06 100.565
Jan-07 101.1 127.014985039017 102.647182864655 102.789
1988 01 1021
Sep-96 1996-9 21.3093586889075
1999 Jan-99 5198
Q2 1976 620.9 11739 9.4 9.37065275775695
















































Feb 06 100.674
Feb-07 100.7 127.947275029203 103.083117185949 103.219
1988 02 792
Oct-96 1996-10 22.8149906806519
Feb-99 5333
Q3 1976 634.6 11999 9.3 9.39255436055533
















































Mar 06 100.414
Mar-07 100.8 128.973412174937 104.148343492378 104.268
1988 03 964
Nov-96 1996-11 22.085647041518
Mar-99 5036
Q4 1976 645.7 12209 8.2 9.40995428225619
















































Apr 06 100.721
Apr-07 100.9 130.157388098703 104.41943379991 104.629
1988 04 1324
Dec-96 1996-12 33.3743423750595
Apr-99 4924
Q1 1977 656.3 12409 7.7 9.42621605635425
















































May 06 100.908
May-07 101.2 131.768736563365 104.318451873326 104.303
1988 05 1191
Jan-97 1997-1 31.5937123603043
May-99 5195
Q2 1977 671.1 12689 8.1 9.4485173169905
















































Jun 06 100.789
Jun-07 99.0 130.506392067088 104.47245702999 104.387
1988 06 1498
Feb-97 1997-2 24.7856400485016
Jun-99 6182
Q3 1977 686.0 12970 8.1 9.47040520646145
















































Jul 06 101.11
Jul-07 98.4 128.430035369301 104.402437409132 104.431
1988 07 1930
Mar-97 1997-3 21.9019666540849
Jul-99 6085
Q4 1977 695.5 13150 7.7 9.48420654414395
















































Aug 06 101.602
Aug-07 99.4 127.665876658854 103.059824137585 102.827464193389
1988 08 2084
Apr-97 1997-4 20.1536349693937
Aug-99 6014
Q1 1978 730.9 13820 11.4 9.53388260307346
















































Sep 06 101.558
Sep-07 102.4 130.788584001929 104.904036401202 105.090786999124
1988 09 1535
May-97 1997-5 16.8420569309583
Sep-99 6171
Q2 1978 766.4 14491 14.2 9.58127276570582
















































Oct 06 101.217
Oct-07 101.7 133.044687075962 105.874049814097 106.641681034977
1988 10 1366
Jun-97 1997-6 23.8649145732434
Oct-99 7723
Q3 1978 841.6 15912 22.7 9.67482571136078
















































Nov 06 101.421
Nov-07 101.5 135.045679169585 107.205885222211 107.639540241667
1988 11 1073
Jul-97 1997-7 22.5031118042895
Nov-99 8240
Q4 1978 889.7 16823 27.9 9.7304825711585
















































Dec 06 101.383
Dec-07 100.3 135.514287676303 107.891854941813 107.891802214932
1988 12 1021
Aug-97 1997-8 21.4353375852964
Dec-99 15878
Q1 1979 941.1 17793 28.7 9.7865689618755
















































Jan 07 101.591
Jan-08 101.1 137.002234554989 107.863048216637 107.819
1989 01 1132
Sep-97 1997-9 14.9690278130913
2000 Jan-00 5796
Q2 1979 1008.9 19075 31.6 9.85612327379167
















































Feb 07 101.877
Feb-08 100.2 137.236508376078 107.260204130768 107.327
1989 02 869
Oct-97 1997-10 18.4525974040114
Feb-00 6199
Q3 1979 1083.5 20485 28.7 9.9274707589731
















































Mar 07 102.453
Mar-08 100.4 137.819763536676 106.859050414003 106.956
1989 03 1336
Nov-97 1997-11 21.7775723611994
Mar-00 5977
Q4 1979 1161.8 21966 30.6 9.99726600058087
















































Apr 07 102.34
Apr-08 100.7 138.806553043599 106.645158658483 106.81
1989 04 1302
Dec-97 1997-12 26.4643915334528
Apr-00 5360
Q1 1980 1199.4 22677 27.4 10.0291010695986
















































May 07 102.314
May-08 101.2 140.415320993374 106.561939239549 106.977
1989 05 1388
Jan-98 1998-1 24.9475111780726
May-00 5955
Q2 1980 1234.8 23348 22.4 10.0582487581143
















































Jun 07 102.587
Jun-08 99.4 139.562999994945 106.939589536121 107.645
1989 06 1575
Feb-98 1998-2 24.607830788311
Jun-00 4991
Q3 1980 1249.7 23628 15.3 10.0702041491087
















































Jul 07 102.279
Jul-08 98.9 138.076654044998 107.51118587483 107.828
1989 07 2071
Mar-98 1998-3 24.1484175652541
Jul-00 6463
Q4 1980 1242.8 23497 7.0 10.0646481319174
















































Aug 07 101.52






1989 08 2257
Apr-98 1998-4 20.8777256666757
Aug-00 7147
Q1 1981 1255.1 23730 4.6 10.0744909287749
















































Sep 07 102.272






1989 09 1633
May-98 1998-5 22.5175998735792
Sep-00 6882
Q2 1981 1274.5 24098 3.2 10.0898831717303
















































Oct 07 102.977






1989 10 1448
Jun-98 1998-6 29.5835601341317
Oct-00 8442
Q3 1981 1279.3 24188 2.4 10.0936160588328
















































Nov 07 103.566






1989 11 1183
Jul-98 1998-7 21.1422726515854
Nov-00 9086
Q4 1981 1258.7 23798 1.3 10.0773651822506
















































Dec 07 103.957






1989 12 1145
Aug-98 1998-8 22.96688201584
Dec-00 15491
Q1 1982 1278.7 24177 1.9 10.0931453044402
















































Jan 08 103.978






1990 01 1184
Sep-98 1998-9 21.0637056460787
2001 Jan-01 9496
Q2 1982 1305.2 24679 2.4 10.1136901152897
















































Feb 08 104.187






1990 02 968
Oct-98 1998-10 18.2546718666067
Feb-01 7815
Q3 1982 1320.6 24969 3.2 10.1253843671053
















































Mar 08 104.11






1990 03 1171
Nov-98 1998-11 16.7143917457758
Mar-01 8444
Q4 1982 1352.9 25580 7.5 10.1495579036394
















































Apr 08 103.988






1990 04 1411
Dec-98 1998-12 26.7829637067979
Apr-01 8095
Q1 1983 1391.4 26307 8.8 10.1776061816523

























































1990 05 1482
Jan-99 1999-1 32.3357146319858
May-01 7064
Q2 1983 1448.4 27386 11.0 10.2177889758582

















































Źródło: obliczenia NBP na danych GUS






1990 06 1644
Feb-99 1999-2 21.094421577149
Jun-01 6702
Q3 1983 1490.2 28175 12.8 10.2462023064568

















































* inflacja netto: inflacja bazowa po wyłączeniu cen żywności i napojów bezalkoholowych oraz cen paliw






1990 07 2206
Mar-99 1999-3 21.9099786174016
Jul-01 8848
Q4 1983 1513.9 28623 11.9 10.2619696026395

























































1990 08 2309
Apr-99 1999-4 24.2705605610048
Aug-01 7962
Q1 1984 1569.5 29675 12.8 10.2980661451237

























































1990 09 1791
May-99 1999-5 23.8147489254503
Sep-01 7437
Q2 1984 1630.7 30833 12.6 10.3363261187413

























































1990 10 1524
Jun-99 1999-6 29.1234768180999
Oct-01 9068
Q3 1984 1653.0 31254 10.9 10.3498947650139

























































1990 11 1204
Jul-99 1999-7 28.9319413475879
Nov-01 10309
Q4 1984 1721.2 32543 13.7 10.3903172260965

























































1990 12 1123
Aug-99 1999-8 23.8866101274322
Dec-01 14727
Q1 1985 1755.9 33200 11.9 10.4103176041782

























































1991 01 1015
Sep-99 1999-9 20.6528611561952
2002 Jan-02 8355
Q2 1985 1807.4 34174 10.8 10.4392128839905

























































1991 02 786
Oct-99 1999-10 19.9402459575073
Feb-02 7501
Q3 1985 1835.3 34700 11.0 10.4545022274305

























































1991 03 1035
Nov-99 1999-11 18.585119243873
Mar-02 6007
Q4 1985 1874.2 35436 8.9 10.4754952615396

























































1991 04 1321
Dec-99 1999-12 22.0032599628892
Apr-02 7709
Q1 1986 1885.3 35647 7.4 10.4814208093729

























































1991 05 1474
Jan-00 2000-1 26.2535681871802
May-02 6013
Q2 1986 1957.7 37015 8.3 10.5190783387632

























































1991 06 1502
Feb-00 2000-2 25.2398768051222
Jun-02 7209
Q3 1986 2023.1 38251 10.2 10.551927685691

























































1991 07 2007
Mar-00 2000-3 23.0116659971591
Jul-02 5975
Q4 1986 2094.1 39593 11.7 10.5864193263682

























































1991 08 2281
Apr-00 2000-4 24.6300697444001
Aug-02 6904
Q1 1987 2162.2 40882 14.7 10.6184390369302

























































1991 09 1724
May-00 2000-5 25.7462273626096
Sep-02 6878
Q2 1987 2273.5 42987 16.1 10.6686492276849

























































1991 10 1484
Jun-00 2000-6 33.6618552324347
Oct-02 11023
Q3 1987 2350.1 44434 16.2 10.7017500999178

























































1991 11 1299
Jul-00 2000-7 29.6947089224607
Nov-02 9273
Q4 1987 2345.9 44355 12.0 10.6999764625356

























































1991 12 1197
Aug-00 2000-8 30.0358592169584
Dec-02 14748
Q1 1988 2384.8 45091 10.3 10.7164373903963

























































1992 01 1200
Sep-00 2000-9 21.903834401864
2003 Jan-03 9607
Q2 1988 2588.0 48932 13.8 10.7981892611014

























































1992 02 966
Oct-00 2000-10 23.7672077882419
Feb-03 9554
Q3 1988 2874.6 54352 22.3 10.9032337128574

























































1992 03 1179
Nov-00 2000-11 27.1845325103638
Mar-03 8492
Q4 1988 3027.7 57245 29.1 10.9551002114063

























































1992 04 1648
Dec-00 2000-12 37.2452903928588
Apr-03 9573
Q1 1989 3148.7 59534 32.0 10.9943094516189

























































1992 05 1594
Jan-01 2001-1 23.3706951933122
May-03 10524
Q2 1989 3292.0 62244 27.2 11.0388138666984

























































1992 06 1655
Feb-01 2001-2 26.4535571862993
Jun-03 18585
Q3 1989 3320.5 62782 15.5 11.0474184527222

























































1992 07 2037
Mar-01 2001-3 23.9734920316359
Jul-03 43492
Q4 1989 3252.4 61495 7.4 11.0267157393023

























































1992 08 2430
Apr-01 2001-4 19.9890330680521
Aug-03 6458
Q1 1990 3151.5 59587 0.1 10.9951854780194

























































1992 09 1721
May-01 2001-5 17.6516157137045
Sep-03 8174
Q2 1990 3119.5 58982 -5.2 10.9849921665734

























































1992 10 1483
Jun-01 2001-6 24.1605351170569
Oct-03 9548
Q3 1990 3027.7 57245 -8.8 10.9551002114063

























































1992 11 1235
Jul-01 2001-7 21.4514978962189
Nov-03 9214
Q4 1990 2904.6 54919 -10.7 10.9136171927305

























































1992 12 1385
Aug-01 2001-8 23.430903827366
Dec-03 19465
Q1 1991 2885.0 54547 -8.5 10.9068225921363

























































1993 01 1164
Sep-01 2001-9 32.0143250418074
2004 Jan-04 11187
Q2 1991 2931.0 55418 -6.0 10.9226680882764

























































1993 02 1153
Oct-01 2001-10 15.0761426334534
Feb-04 7557
Q3 1991 2903.8 54903 -4.1 10.9133278965095

























































1993 03 1294
Nov-01 2001-11

Mar-04 9492
Q4 1991 2836.7 53635 -2.3 10.8899595611112

























































1993 04 1724
Dec-01 2001-12

Apr-04 8337
Q1 1992 2760.1 52187 -4.3 10.8625814075219

























































1993 05 1801




May-04 7054
Q2 1992 2785.3 52663 -5.0 10.8716689554816

























































1993 06 1697




Jun-04 6602
Q3 1992 2763.1 52243 -4.8 10.8636620751488

























































1993 07 2290




Jul-04 7474
Q4 1992 2653.4 50168 -6.5 10.8231342600638

























































1993 08 2614




Aug-04 7191
Q1 1993 2651.3 50128 -3.9 10.82234266518

























































1993 09 1794




Sep-04 7138
Q2 1993 2745.9 51918 -1.4 10.8574235064772

























































1993 10 1582




Oct-04 9534
Q3 1993 2736.8 51746 -1.0 10.8541074571121

























































1993 11 1410




Nov-04 9612
Q4 1993 2700.0 51050 1.8 10.8405583516712

























































1993 12 1340




Dec-04 16939
Q1 1994 2714.6 51327 2.4 10.8459664676889

























































1994 01 1215




2005 Jan-05 11971
Q2 1994 2716.5 51362 -1.1 10.8466519737649

























































1994 02 1058




Feb-05 7561
Q3 1994 2736.0 51731 0.0 10.8538141382581

























































1994 03 1568




Mar-05 6968
Q4 1994 2756.3 52114 2.1 10.8611798568529

























































1994 04 1667




Apr-05 8926
Q1 1995 2701.8 51084 -0.5 10.8412275934262

























































1994 05 1725




May-05 7287
Q2 1995 2730.8 51633 0.5 10.8519162819381

























































1994 06 1876




Jun-05 6718
Q3 1995 2715.0 51334 -0.8 10.8461085796563

























































1994 07 2339




Jul-05 8838
Q4 1995 2693.7 50930 -2.3 10.8382074198787

























































1994 08 2555




Aug-05 9594
Q1 1996 2716.8 51367 0.6 10.8467512219117

























































1994 09 1998




Sep-05 9519
Q2 1996 2804.8 53032 2.7 10.8786507839212

























































1994 10 1799




Oct-05 10095
Q3 1996 2856.4 54008 5.2 10.8968874627217

























































1994 11 1531




Nov-05 10048
Q4 1996 2917.9 55169 8.3 10.9181564803092

























































1994 12 1461




Dec-05 16541
Q1 1997 2951.8 55810 8.6 10.9297083437825

























































1995 01 1482




2006 Jan-06 10192
Q2 1997 3088.9 58403 10.1 10.9751225373599

























































1995 02 1167




Feb-06 8754
Q3 1997 3213.2 60754 12.5 11.0145882026566

























































1995 03 1568




Mar-06 9338
Q4 1997 3270.1 61830 12.1 11.0321439625526

























































1995 04 2073




Apr-06 7319
Q1 1998 3326.9 62903 12.7 11.0493491363048

























































1995 05 1924




May-06 6603
Q2 1998 3449.5 65221 11.7 11.0855367819458

























































1995 06 1954




Jun-06 8155
Q3 1998 3510.1 66366 9.2 11.1029401561303

























































1995 07 2624




Jul-06 9545
Q4 1998 3507.2 66313 7.3 11.1021390612834

























































1995 08 2896




Aug-06 8508
Q1 1999 3568.8 67478 7.3 11.1195504288064

























































1995 09 2226




Sep-06 8167
Q2 1999 3702.8 70010 7.3 11.156391699082

























































1995 10 2077




Oct-06 11241
Q3 1999 3827.2 72362 9.0 11.1894390560289

























































1995 11 1842




Nov-06 11541
Q4 1999 3947.5 74638 12.6 11.2203997178862

























































1995 12 1704




Dec-06 15990
Q1 2000 4109.4 77698 15.1 11.2605807294399

























































1996 01 1526




2007 Jan-07 10186
Q2 2000 4294.7 81202 16.0 11.3046911342944

























































1996 02 1366




Feb-07 8717
Q3 2000 4280.6 80935 11.8 11.3014069668568

























































1996 03 1827




Mar-07 8076
Q4 2000 4317.3 81628 9.4 11.3099284431381

























































1996 04 2118




Apr-07 8756
Q1 2001 4441.5 83976 8.1 11.3382895828602

























































1996 05 2239




May-07 8489
Q2 2001 4635.1 87638 7.9 11.3809678750041

























































1996 06 2323




Jun-07 8680
Q3 2001 4815.5 91049 12.5 11.4191508586938

























































1996 07 2826




Jul-07 11527
Q4 2001 4894.0 92533 13.4 11.4353206166347

























































1996 08 2991




Aug-07 11559
Q1 2002 5043.3 95356 13.6 11.4653725351107

























































1996 09 2314




Sep-07 11038
Q2 2002 5474.1 103501 18.1 11.5473365534766

























































1996 10 2123




Oct-07 15983
Q3 2002 5861.7 110830 21.7 11.6157527747697

























































1996 11 1653




Nov-07 13548
Q4 2002 6132.0 115940 25.3 11.6608280948937

























































1996 12 1856




Dec-07 17219
Q1 2003 6343.4 119938 25.8 11.6947299791147

























































1997 01 1664




2008 Jan-08 12685
Q2 2003 6631.4 125382 21.1 11.7391194910421

























































1997 02 1377




Feb-08 11656
Q3 2003 6863.0 129761 17.1 11.7734481320364

























































1997 03 1899




Mar-08

Q4 2003 7082.0 133903 15.5 11.8048688773772

























































1997 04 2022




Apr-08

Q1 2004 7416.4 140225 16.9 11.8510016174443

























































1997 05 2194




May-08

Q2 2004 7852.1 148462 18.4 11.9080854542457

























































1997 06 2230




Jun-08

Q3 2004 8117.6 153482 18.3 11.9413379039902

























































1997 07 3000




Jul-08

Q4 2004 8063.7 152464 13.9 11.9346866943182

























































1997 08 2940




Aug-08

Q1 2005 8121.0 152790 9.0 11.9368210590689

























































1997 09 2228




Sep-08

Q2 2005 8371.0 157494 6.1 11.9671426077397

























































1997 10 2082




Oct-08

Q3 2005 8378.1 157627 2.7 11.9679879065468

























































1997 11 1820




Nov-08

Q4 2005 8365.3 157387 3.2 11.966464081391

























































1997 12 2059




Dec-08

Q1 2006 8521.1 160319 4.9 11.9849203504294

























































1998 01 1631








Q2 2006 8771.8 165035 4.8 12.013912473986

























































1998 02 1406








Q3 2006 8953.8 168460 6.9 12.0344529821853

























































1998 03 1767








Q4 2006 9100.4 172065 9.3 12.0556250110074

























































1998 04 2227








Q1 2007 9284.9 175554 9.5 12.075702236716

























































1998 05 2431








Q2 2007 9615.8 181810 10.2 12.1107197497799

























































1998 06 2176








Q3 2007 9738.6 184131 9.3 12.1234020984844

























































1998 07 2785








Q4 2007 9729.5 183959 6.9 12.1224676848099

























































1998 08 3002








Q1 2008 9486.4 179363 2.2 12.0971674591676

























































1998 09 2241







































































1998 10 2255







































































1998 11 1773







































































1998 12 2052







































































1999 01 1680







































































1999 02 1511







































































1999 03 1855







































































1999 04 2160







































































1999 05 2295







































































1999 06 2344







































































1999 07 2712







































































1999 08 3014







































































1999 09 2187







































































1999 10 2061







































































1999 11 1836







































































1999 12 1739







































































2000 01 1621







































































2000 02 1553







































































2000 03 1819







































































2000 04 2187







































































2000 05 2304







































































2000 06 2242







































































2000 07 2819







































































2000 08 2909







































































2000 09 2214







































































2000 10 2028







































































2000 11 1682







































































2000 12 1830







































































2001 01 1589







































































2001 02 1455







































































2001 03 1820







































































2001 04 2008







































































2001 05 2024







































































2001 06 2247







































































2001 07 2546







































































2001 08 2589







































































2001 09 1965







































































2001 10 1631







































































2001 11 1582







































































2001 12 1381







































































2002 01 1527







































































2002 02 1261







































































2002 03 1737







































































2002 04 2181







































































2002 05 1966







































































2002 06 2228







































































2002 07 2782







































































2002 08 2694







































































2002 09 2079







































































2002 10 2061







































































2002 11 1774







































































2002 12 1889







































































2003 01 1792







































































2003 02 1446







































































2003 03 1705







































































2003 04 1833







































































2003 05 1823







































































2003 06 2417







































































2003 07 2588







































































2003 08 2766







































































2003 09 2180







































































2003 10 2170







































































2003 11 2011







































































2003 12 1983







































































2004 01 1765







































































2004 02 1757







































































2004 03 1927







































































2004 04 2270







































































2004 05 2347







































































2004 06 2406







































































2004 07 2934







































































2004 08 3162







































































2004 09 2404







































































2004 10 2264







































































2004 11 2154







































































2004 12 2365







































































2005 01 2147







































































2005 02 1863







































































2005 03 2204







































































2005 04 2340







































































2005 05 2777







































































2005 06 2781







































































2005 07 3117







































































2005 08 3206







































































2005 09 2536







































































2005 10 2410







































































2005 11 2360







































































2005 12 2210














































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