technika do 50 roku

Erwisioning emerging technology

for 2012 and beyond

Understanding where technology is heading is morę than guesswork. Looking at emerging trends and research, one can predict and draw conclusions about how the technological sphere is developing, and which technologies should become mainstream in the coming years. Envisioning technology is meant to facilitate these observations by taking a step back and seeing the wider context.

By speculating about what lies beyond the horizon we can make better decisions of what to create today.

Research & visualization by Michell Zappa

» @envisioningtech <? [e-mail] <<$> envisioningtech.com

ARTIFICIAL

INTELLIGENCE

INTERNET

INTERFACES

SENSORS

UBICOMP

ROBOTICS

BIOTECH

MATERIALS

ENERGY

SPACE

GEOENGINEERING

QUANTITATIVE FORECASTS

2012

2013

2014

2015

High-frequency _ Cloud trading    computing

Software

agents

i

Cyber-

warfare

touc

^Depth

imaging

Tabfets-

-Rapid.pers.Qna..

gene sequencing

Additiye ma nura ct u ring

2012

Gesture

recognition

o

Near-field

communication

Volumetric (3D) screens

Appliance

robots

■0“

Self-healing

materials

lnductive

chargers

2013

Global online population: ± 2 billion Connected devices: ±10 billion

World population: 7 billion

Tidal turbines

2014

Speech

recognition

Pervasive

video

capture

Telematics

Flexible screens

Organ

printing

2015

Fuel cells

2016

iNacurai languagf interpretator!

Mesh

networking

Augmented

reality

Biometric

sensors

Smart

toys

2017

r
[ e	iraphen	^6 1
i		4

Commercial

spaceflight

2016

Global online population: ± 2.5 billion Connected devices: ±15 billion

Sources:

Intel - http://intel.ly/pV/bH04 InternetWorldStats - http://bif.ly/AKb05 Source: U.N. - http://bit.ly/7nq0kS

Photonics

4K

Bio-enhanced

fuels

2017

Robotic

surgery

Synthetic

blood

Modular computers

2018 /

Smart

power meters

Personal

fabricators

Machinę

translation

Virtual

currencies

Haptics

Biomarkers

Pico-

projectors

Self-driving

yehicles

Smart drugs

Multi-segmented smart grids

Sub-orbital

spaceflight

2019 /

2019

2020 /

/

/

/

/

/

/

/

2030

/

/

/

/

/

2040

Procedural story tel ling

Machinę vision

Powered

exoskeleton

r

L

VR-only

lifeforms

f		1
[^a	Machinę ugmentt cognitior	A
		A

◄ BITS O

RELATIVEIMP0RTANCE

The node size indicates the predicted importance of a technology.

Eyewear-embedded

screens

Photovoltaic

glass

Personalized

medicine

2020

Global online population: 4-5 billion Connected devices: 30-5G billion $150 Hard disk: ±200 Tb Standard RAM: ±750Gb

Sources:

Intel - http://intel.ly/pV/bH04 Ericsson - http://bit.ly/awVok Alan Conroy - http://bit.ly/pofHp5 FutureTimeline - http://bit.iy/qz4ben

Holography

0-

Reputation

economy

Inter

srplanetary

internet

r
N	Remote resenc
L		A

Context-av/are

computing

Telepresence

r
lmmersive yirtual reality J
L	A

Computational

photography

Fabric-embedded

screens

Reprogrammable

chips

Commercial

UAVs

r		1
[ ^S'	ynthet Diolog^	:ic /
L		J

Optical

invisibility cloaks

Carbon

nanotubes

i

Domestic

robots

Biomaterials

Piezo-

electricity

Biomechanical

harvesting

Weather

engineering

Vertical

farming

Petabyte storage standard

Source: http://bit.ly/r9BY0c

$ 1.000 Computer reaches the capacity or the human brain

(± 10'^s calculations per second)

Source: http://bit.ly/6MoOJc

World population: 8 billion

Source: U.N. - http://bit.ly/7nq0kS

Skin-embedded

screens

f		1
	Swarm -obotics	■ ]
L		A

Nano-

generators

BRICs GDP overtakes the G7

Source: Goldman Sachs - http://bit.ly/nc9Wqj

Artificial photosynthesis

2030

Terabit internet speed standard

Source: http://bit.ly/kPMKMb

Hybrid assisted limbs

r		1
V/	Traveling ave reach	Dr
L		A

Space-based solar power
L	A

Lunar outpost

W

r		1
€	Space jlevatoi	'
L		A

Carbon sequestration

r		i
A	r co logie	!S
L		A

2040

Exabyte storage standard

Source: http://bit.ly/kPMKMb

World population: 9 billion

Source: U.N. - http://bit.ly/7nq0kS

AT0MS ►

CONSUMERIMPACT

The outline of a node indicates a consumer impact larger than the technological novelty.

CLUSTER0F TECHNOLOGIES

A jagged outline indicates a cluster of simifar technologies grouped together.

CC

ł

BY

O

SA

Last updated: 2011-11-02