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R_t estimates have increased as lockdown measures have eased, but they still remain below 1.0 across the EU5 and confirmed cases continue to decline

Germany

U.K.

France

Italy

Spain

Number of confirmed cases* (12 Jun 2020) Thousands		Number of confirmed cases* (12 Jun 2020) Thousands		Number of confirmed cases* (12 Jun 2020) Thousands		Number of confirmed cases* Number of confirmed cases (12 Jun 2020) (12 Jun 2020) Thousands Thousands
^10		^10		^10		10	^10
8 ■		8 ■		8 ■		8	8 ■
6 •		6 ■		6 ■		6	6 •
4 •		4 ■		4 ■		4	4 ■
2 ■		2 ■		2 ■		2	2 ■
0 •		0 ■		0 ■		0

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun	Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun	Jan Feb Mar Apr I
Estimated Rt: 0.88	Estimated Rt: 0.95	Estimated R,: 0.67	Estimated R,: 0.73	Estimated R,: 0.84
(11 Jun 2020)	(3 Jun 2020)	(13 May 2020)	(28 May 2020)	(28 May 2020)

Notę:    ‘Data shown is the 7 day moving average of confirmed COVID-19 cases

Source: ECDC: Robert Koch Institute; Cambridge MRC Biostatics unit; Pasteur Institut; epiforecasts.io

13 O 2020 L E K. Consulting LLC