Przyklad z1c do wypełnienia aaaa


Overview

Arkusz1
Arkusz2
Arkusz3


Sheet 1: Arkusz1

Dane dotyczące zdarzeń operacyjnych














Dane z komórki: bankowość detaliczna, klienci, produkty i praktyki operacyjne


czestosc liczy narastajaco

Data zdarzenia Wartość straty rok
rok zliczenia # zdarzeń
1/1/2001 60027,00 2001
2001 19 19
3/1/2001 87633,00 2001
2002 46 27
6/1/2001 102720,00 2001
2003 68 22
5/1/2001 1284000,00 2001
2004 125 57
8/1/2001 93090,00 2001
2005 155 30
9/1/2001 2247000,00 2001
2006 211 56
10/1/2001 160500,00 2001
2007 302 91
11/1/2001 50076,00 2001
2008 386 84
1/1/2002 192600,00 2002



11/1/2001 48150,00 2001
średnia 48.25
2/1/2002 160500,00 2002
odchylenie 28.2122060716381
6/1/2001 170130,00 2001
wariancja

2/1/2002 121305,90 2002












3/1/2002 3049500,00 2002




trend trzeba usunąć






3/1/2002 1219800,00 2002




zmiennosc zw z trendem przejdzie nam w zmiennosc losowa






10/1/2001 41730,00 2001




nieusunięcie trendu spowoduje ze uzyskamy mniejsza dokladnosc wyników






3/1/2002 44940,00 2002




wyniki z trendem, a potem zastanowimy się jak zmienic postac by uzyskac lepsze wyniki






2/1/2002 176550,00 2002












11/1/2001 138993,00 2001












3/1/2002 300456,00 2002












6/1/2001 2279100,00 2001












7/1/2002 51360,00 2002












6/1/2002 1147575,00 2002












12/1/2001 77040,00 2001












4/1/2002 48150,00 2002












8/1/2001 57780,00 2001












8/1/2002 38520,00 2002












9/1/2002 691819,20 2002












8/1/2002 170130,00 2002












8/1/2002 69015,00 2002












7/1/2002 1466970,00 2002












4/1/2002 690150,00 2002












5/1/2001 95337,00 2001












1/1/2003 70299,00 2003












1/1/2003 86670,00 2003












11/1/2004 288900,00 2004












7/1/2002 642000,00 2002












2/1/2003 642000,00 2003












2/1/2003 71262,00 2003












2/1/2003 73830,00 2003












2/1/2003 642000,00 2003












2/1/2003 693360,00 2003












6/1/2003 51360,00 2003












6/1/2003 139314,00 2003












10/1/2003 118770,00 2003












11/1/2003 47829,00 2003












12/1/2003 224700,00 2003












11/1/2003 531576,00 2003












1/1/2004 80571,00 2004












2/1/2003 38520,00 2003












2/1/2004 34989,00 2004












2/1/2004 128400,00 2004












3/1/2004 53928,00 2004












4/1/2004 653235,00 2004












4/1/2004 72225,00 2004












6/1/2004 1944618,00 2004












4/1/2004 24717,00 2004












5/1/2004 3531,00 2004












12/1/2001 14766000,00 2001












6/1/2004 7062,00 2004












6/1/2004 8346,00 2004












7/1/2004 55533,00 2004












6/1/2004 37878,00 2004












6/1/2004 4815,00 2004












7/1/2004 3852,00 2004












5/1/2004 321000,00 2004












7/1/2004 5457,00 2004












5/1/2004 1284000,00 2004












5/1/2004 2247000,00 2004












3/1/2004 29853,00 2004












6/1/2004 417300,00 2004












7/1/2004 182970,00 2004












7/1/2004 44940,00 2004












8/1/2004 13482,00 2004












5/1/2004 121017,00 2004












8/1/2004 4815,00 2004












8/1/2004 4815,00 2004












9/1/2004 7062,00 2004












9/1/2004 1316100,00 2004












9/1/2004 140598,00 2004












9/1/2004 21828,00 2004












8/1/2004 215070,00 2004












10/1/2004 4173,00 2004












10/1/2004 37236,00 2004












6/1/2004 2086500,00 2004












6/1/2004 1348200,00 2004












10/1/2004 233367,00 2004












8/1/2004 32100,00 2004












10/1/2004 364014,00 2004












11/1/2004 42051,00 2004












2/1/2003 16050,00 2003












11/1/2004 3531,00 2004












12/1/2004 1631322,00 2004












12/1/2004 3852,00 2004












12/1/2004 11877,00 2004












12/1/2004 8025,00 2004












1/1/2001 30174,00 2001












12/1/2004 3210,00 2004












1/1/2005 24396,00 2005












8/1/2004 35310,00 2004












12/1/2004 516810,00 2004












12/1/2004 32100,00 2004












2/1/2005 56175,00 2005












7/1/2004 793191,00 2004












7/1/2004 1998225,00 2004












1/1/2005 6420,00 2005












2/1/2005 256800,00 2005












2/1/2005 3210,00 2005












2/1/2005 6420,00 2005












2/1/2005 6420,00 2005












2/1/2005 6420,00 2005












3/1/2005 674100,00 2005












4/1/2005 1139550,00 2005












4/1/2005 5778,00 2005












4/1/2005 4173,00 2005












4/1/2005 17013,00 2005












4/1/2005 17976,00 2005












5/1/2005 1540800,00 2005












1/1/2004 21507,00 2004












7/1/2005 401250,00 2005












5/1/2003 13482,00 2003












10/1/2005 8025,00 2005












11/1/2005 7383,00 2005












1/1/2006 12840,00 2006












4/1/2002 87954,00 2002












2/1/2006 950160,00 2006












3/1/2006 219243,00 2006












4/1/2006 8025,00 2006












5/1/2006 309765,00 2006












3/1/2006 30174,00 2006












2/1/2007 3531,00 2007












1/1/2005 27927,00 2005












6/1/2005 81534,00 2005












10/1/2004 990927,00 2004












5/1/2006 74793,00 2006












12/1/2002 48150,00 2002












2/1/2006 32100,00 2006












2/1/2006 32100,00 2006












5/1/2006 4494,00 2006












4/1/2006 18939,00 2006












5/1/2006 107535,00 2006












5/1/2006 136746,00 2006












9/1/2003 704274,00 2003












6/1/2006 802500,00 2006












5/1/2006 16050,00 2006












9/1/2003 25091607,00 2003












9/1/2002 3210,00 2002












6/1/2006 46545,00 2006












7/1/2006 370113,00 2006












7/1/2006 19260,00 2006












7/1/2006 9951,00 2006












7/1/2006 25680,00 2006












7/1/2006 7062,00 2006












7/1/2006 60348,00 2006












8/1/2006 4815,00 2006












8/1/2006 642000,00 2006












6/1/2006 7062,00 2006












8/1/2006 176550,00 2006












6/1/2006 51681,00 2006












7/1/2003 306234,00 2003












9/1/2006 7383,00 2006












9/1/2006 14766,00 2006












9/1/2006 106893,00 2006












10/1/2006 6420,00 2006












10/1/2006 32100,00 2006












2/1/2004 271566,00 2004












11/1/2006 36594,00 2006












10/1/2006 120054,00 2006












11/1/2006 19260,00 2006












11/1/2006 21507,00 2006












11/1/2006 208650,00 2006












10/1/2006 3531,00 2006












11/1/2006 9951,00 2006












11/1/2006 23433,00 2006












11/1/2006 3852,00 2006












11/1/2006 86670,00 2006












11/1/2006 11877,00 2006












12/1/2006 64200,00 2006












12/1/2006 8346,00 2006












12/1/2006 8346,00 2006












12/1/2006 8346,00 2006












12/1/2006 41730,00 2006












12/1/2006 15729,00 2006












1/1/2007 156006,00 2007












1/1/2007 85386,00 2007












10/1/2004 80250,00 2004












1/1/2007 56175,00 2007












12/1/2003 60027,00 2003












7/1/2001 210576,00 2001












1/1/2007 35310,00 2007












4/1/2002 4576497,00 2002












3/1/2004 327420,00 2004












1/1/2007 38841,00 2007












2/1/2007 34347,00 2007












2/1/2007 4815,00 2007












2/1/2007 61311,00 2007












2/1/2007 28890,00 2007












11/1/2002 67410,00 2002












3/1/2007 12198,00 2007












3/1/2007 898800,00 2007












3/1/2007 46545,00 2007












7/1/2005 3852,00 2005












6/1/2005 21186,00 2005












3/1/2007 944061,00 2007












4/1/2007 64200,00 2007












2/1/2007 3210,00 2007












4/1/2007 96300,00 2007












12/1/2006 19260,00 2006












12/1/2006 19260,00 2006












3/1/2003 3851037,00 2003












4/1/2007 4494,00 2007












3/1/2007 5457,00 2007












4/1/2007 15408,00 2007












4/1/2002 17013,00 2002












2/1/2007 340260,00 2007












12/1/2002 32100,00 2002












4/1/2002 8346,00 2002












7/1/2005 32100,00 2005












4/1/2007 256800,00 2007












5/1/2007 2147490,00 2007












5/1/2007 8025,00 2007












6/1/2007 28248,00 2007












7/1/2006 4173,00 2006












9/1/2005 10914,00 2005












3/1/2005 5778,00 2005












6/1/2007 5778,00 2007












7/1/2007 32100,00 2007












8/1/2006 8988,00 2006












6/1/2007 3852,00 2007












6/1/2007 3852,00 2007












6/1/2007 3852,00 2007












7/1/2007 108819,00 2007












1/1/2007 4173,00 2007












7/1/2007 177192,00 2007












4/1/2005 16371,00 2005












2/1/2007 105930,00 2007












3/1/2006 114918,00 2006












7/1/2007 11877,00 2007












2/1/2005 24075,00 2005












7/1/2007 18297,00 2007












7/1/2007 33705,00 2007












6/1/2007 25680,00 2007












8/1/2007 2358708,00 2007












8/1/2007 5700318,00 2007












6/1/2007 4173,00 2007












1/1/2003 24075,00 2003












8/1/2007 282159,00 2007












8/1/2007 27285,00 2007












11/1/2002 6099,00 2002












9/1/2007 11556,00 2007












9/1/2007 37878,00 2007












9/1/2007 67410,00 2007












8/1/2007 243960,00 2007












8/1/2007 415374,00 2007












8/1/2007 3531,00 2007












11/1/2006 38520,00 2006












9/1/2007 48150,00 2007












10/1/2007 16050000,00 2007












11/1/2007 3210,00 2007












7/1/2007 237219,00 2007












10/1/2007 5200200,00 2007












8/1/2007 8346,00 2007












8/1/2007 3852,00 2007












10/1/2007 130647,00 2007












10/1/2007 320358,00 2007












10/1/2007 80250,00 2007












10/1/2006 17991729,00 2006












10/1/2007 27606,00 2007












8/1/2007 9630,00 2007












1/1/2007 13321500,00 2007












3/1/2007 34026,00 2007












4/1/2007 45903,00 2007












11/1/2007 8025,00 2007












11/1/2007 72225000,00 2007












11/1/2007 28569,00 2007












11/1/2007 48792,00 2007












12/1/2007 36594,00 2007












12/1/2007 61311,00 2007












12/1/2007 94695,00 2007












12/1/2007 240750,00 2007












11/1/2007 96300,00 2007












12/1/2007 83460,00 2007












12/1/2007 218280,00 2007












2/1/2007 4815,00 2007












1/1/2008 6420,00 2008












12/1/2007 6741,00 2007












5/1/2005 21828,00 2005












1/1/2008 410880,00 2008












12/1/2007 6099,00 2007












2/1/2008 4815,00 2008












6/1/2007 436560,00 2007












6/1/2007 9630,00 2007












2/1/2008 8346,00 2008












2/1/2008 7062,00 2008












2/1/2008 17013,00 2008












3/1/2008 20544,00 2008












3/1/2008 176550,00 2008












3/1/2008 7383,00 2008












3/1/2008 11877,00 2008












3/1/2008 16050,00 2008












3/1/2008 10272,00 2008












3/1/2008 1579641,00 2008












2/1/2008 4494,00 2008












6/1/2007 6099,00 2007












11/1/2007 4815,00 2007












3/1/2008 62595,00 2008












2/1/2008 4815,00 2008












3/1/2008 4815,00 2008












3/1/2008 4494,00 2008












2/1/2008 1737894,00 2008












6/1/2007 139314,00 2007












7/1/2007 417300,00 2007












3/1/2008 1091400,00 2008












4/1/2008 545700,00 2008












4/1/2008 39162,00 2008












4/1/2008 3852,00 2008












4/1/2008 7756644,00 2008












4/1/2008 14445,00 2008












3/1/2008 32100,00 2008












4/1/2008 12840,00 2008












4/1/2008 12840,00 2008












11/1/2007 4815,00 2007












4/1/2008 5136,00 2008












4/1/2008 39804,00 2008












5/1/2008 59385,00 2008












2/1/2007 34668,00 2007












9/1/2007 26964,00 2007












1/1/2008 1644804,00 2008












5/1/2008 7704,00 2008












4/1/2008 13803,00 2008












6/1/2008 954654,00 2008












5/1/2008 280554,00 2008












6/1/2005 192921,00 2005












6/1/2008 128400,00 2008












7/1/2007 49113,00 2007












6/1/2008 23112,00 2008












6/1/2008 28890,00 2008












6/1/2008 4173,00 2008












6/1/2008 357915,00 2008












6/1/2008 236898,00 2008












6/1/2008 32100,00 2008












6/1/2008 46224,00 2008












6/1/2008 179439,00 2008












7/1/2008 34026,00 2008












1/1/2008 4173,00 2008












5/1/2008 5778,00 2008












7/1/2008 27285,00 2008












12/1/2007 112992,00 2007












7/1/2008 25038,00 2008












5/1/2008 12198,00 2008












8/1/2008 3210,00 2008












8/1/2008 483747,00 2008












7/1/2008 45261,00 2008












7/1/2008 38520,00 2008












8/1/2008 10272,00 2008












8/1/2008 4494,00 2008












8/1/2008 9309,00 2008












8/1/2008 598023,00 2008












7/1/2008 15408,00 2008












8/1/2008 88917,00 2008












8/1/2008 92448,00 2008












8/1/2008 20865,00 2008












8/1/2008 20865,00 2008












8/1/2008 12519,00 2008












8/1/2008 14766,00 2008












12/1/2005 21507,00 2005












8/1/2008 9309,00 2008












7/1/2008 4815,00 2008












8/1/2008 42693,00 2008












9/1/2008 113634,00 2008












9/1/2008 9630,00 2008












9/1/2008 187785,00 2008












9/1/2008 10593,00 2008












9/1/2008 55533,00 2008












9/1/2008 485994,00 2008












1/1/2008 24717,00 2008












10/1/2008 279270000,00 2008












10/1/2008 10593,00 2008












9/1/2008 7704,00 2008












10/1/2008 208650,00 2008












10/1/2008 27927,00 2008












10/1/2008 157932,00 2008












7/1/2007 60348,00 2007












7/1/2007 27606,00 2007












9/1/2008 6420,00 2008












10/1/2008 3210,00 2008













Sheet 2: Arkusz2

x rozklad normalny rozklad poisson












0 0.003273128981787 1.10991890364388E-21












0.1 0.003293027867106 1.10991890364388E-21












0.2 0.003313006066359 1.10991890364388E-21

0.3 0.003333063556764 1.10991890364388E-21
0.4 0.003353200312399 1.10991890364388E-21
0.5 0.003373416304189 1.10991890364388E-21
0.6 0.003393711499883 1.10991890364388E-21
0.7 0.003414085864039 1.10991890364388E-21
0.8 0.003434539358007 1.10991890364388E-21
0.9 0.003455071939913 1.10991890364388E-21
1 0.003475683564636 5.35535871008173E-20
1.1 0.003496374183799 5.35535871008173E-20
1.2 0.003517143745744 5.35535871008173E-20
1.3 0.003537992195523 5.35535871008173E-20
1.4 0.003558919474873 5.35535871008173E-20
1.5 0.003579925522206 5.35535871008173E-20
1.6 0.003601010272589 5.35535871008173E-20
1.7 0.003622173657729 5.35535871008173E-20
1.8 0.003643415605955 5.35535871008173E-20
1.9 0.003664736042204 5.35535871008173E-20
2 0.003686134888004 1.29198028880722E-18
2.1 0.003707612061455 1.29198028880722E-18
2.2 0.00372916747722 1.29198028880722E-18
2.3 0.003750801046501 1.29198028880722E-18
2.4 0.00377251267703 1.29198028880722E-18
2.5 0.003794302273051 1.29198028880722E-18
2.6 0.003816169735303 1.29198028880722E-18












2.7 0.003838114961009 1.29198028880722E-18












2.8 0.003860137843854 1.29198028880722E-18












2.9 0.00388223827398 1.29198028880722E-18












3 0.00390441613796 2.07793496449827E-17












3.1 0.003926671318794 2.07793496449827E-17












3.2 0.003949003695885 2.07793496449827E-17












3.3 0.003971413145032 2.07793496449827E-17












3.4 0.00399389953841 2.07793496449827E-17












3.5 0.004016462744561 2.07793496449827E-17












3.6 0.004039102628376 2.07793496449827E-17












3.7 0.004061819051083 2.07793496449827E-17












3.8 0.004084611870235 2.07793496449827E-17












3.9 0.004107480939693 2.07793496449827E-17












4 0.004130426109613 2.50650905092604E-16












4.1 0.004153447226438 2.50650905092604E-16












4.2 0.004176544132877 2.50650905092604E-16












4.3 0.004199716667898 2.50650905092604E-16












4.4 0.004222964666716 2.50650905092604E-16












4.5 0.004246287960774 2.50650905092604E-16












4.6 0.004269686377736 2.50650905092604E-16












4.7 0.004293159741476 2.50650905092604E-16












4.8 0.004316707872061 2.50650905092604E-16












4.9 0.004340330585741 2.50650905092604E-16












5 0.004364027694941 2.41878123414363E-15












5.1 0.004387799008244 2.41878123414363E-15












5.2 0.004411644330383 2.41878123414363E-15












5.3 0.004435563462228 2.41878123414363E-15












5.4 0.00445955620078 2.41878123414363E-15












5.5 0.004483622339151 2.41878123414363E-15












5.6 0.004507761666563 2.41878123414363E-15












5.7 0.004531973968331 2.41878123414363E-15












5.8 0.004556259025856 2.41878123414363E-15












5.9 0.004580616616616 2.41878123414363E-15












6 0.00460504651415 1.94510324245717E-14












6.1 0.004629548488058 1.94510324245717E-14












6.2 0.004654122303983 1.94510324245717E-14












6.3 0.004678767723606 1.94510324245717E-14












6.4 0.004703484504636 1.94510324245717E-14












6.5 0.004728272400803 1.94510324245717E-14












6.6 0.004753131161844 1.94510324245717E-14












6.7 0.004778060533503 1.94510324245717E-14












6.8 0.004803060257515 1.94510324245717E-14












6.9 0.004828130071602 1.94510324245717E-14












7 0.004853269709464 1.34073187783655E-13












7.1 0.004878478900773 1.34073187783655E-13












7.2 0.004903757371162 1.34073187783655E-13












7.3 0.004929104842224 1.34073187783655E-13












7.4 0.004954521031499 1.34073187783655E-13












7.5 0.004980005652469 1.34073187783655E-13












7.6 0.005005558414555 1.34073187783655E-13












7.7 0.005031179023105 1.34073187783655E-13












7.8 0.005056867179393 1.34073187783655E-13












7.9 0.005082622580612 1.34073187783655E-13












8 0.005108444919864 8.08628913820168E-13












8.1 0.005134333886161 8.08628913820168E-13












8.2 0.005160289164418 8.08628913820168E-13












8.3 0.005186310435445 8.08628913820168E-13












8.4 0.005212397375945 8.08628913820168E-13












8.5 0.005238549658511 8.08628913820168E-13












8.6 0.005264766951619 8.08628913820168E-13












8.7 0.005291048919624 8.08628913820168E-13












8.8 0.00531739522276 8.08628913820168E-13












8.9 0.00534380551713 8.08628913820168E-13












9 0.005370279454712 4.33514945464701E-12












9.1 0.005396816683346 4.33514945464701E-12












9.2 0.005423416846739 4.33514945464701E-12












9.3 0.005450079584459 4.33514945464701E-12












9.4 0.005476804531932 4.33514945464701E-12












9.5 0.005503591320444 4.33514945464701E-12












9.6 0.005530439577134 4.33514945464701E-12












9.7 0.005557348924998 4.33514945464701E-12












9.8 0.005584318982881 4.33514945464701E-12












9.9 0.005611349365485 4.33514945464701E-12












10 0.005638439683359 2.09170961186718E-11












10.1 0.005665589542906 2.09170961186718E-11












10.2 0.005692798546379 2.09170961186718E-11












10.3 0.005720066291879 2.09170961186718E-11












10.4 0.005747392373363 2.09170961186718E-11












10.5 0.005774776380635 2.09170961186718E-11












10.6 0.005802217899356 2.09170961186718E-11












10.7 0.005829716511036 2.09170961186718E-11












10.8 0.005857271793045 2.09170961186718E-11












10.9 0.005884883318605 2.09170961186718E-11












11 0.005912550656801 9.17499897932651E-11












11.1 0.005940273372577 9.17499897932651E-11












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76.1999999999989 0.008656588607611 5.19591545039888E-05












76.2999999999989 0.008626162790297 5.19591545039888E-05












76.3999999999989 0.008595735821868 5.19591545039888E-05












76.4999999999989 0.008565308470256 5.19591545039888E-05












76.5999999999989 0.008534881500696 5.19591545039888E-05












76.6999999999989 0.008504455675694 5.19591545039888E-05












76.7999999999989 0.008474031754999 5.19591545039888E-05












76.8999999999989 0.008443610495577 5.19591545039888E-05












76.9999999999989 0.008413192651579 5.19591545039888E-05












77.0999999999989 0.008382778974316 3.25588208417852E-05












77.1999999999989 0.008352370212231 3.25588208417852E-05












77.2999999999989 0.008321967110872 3.25588208417852E-05












77.3999999999989 0.008291570412864 3.25588208417852E-05












77.4999999999989 0.008261180857884 3.25588208417852E-05












77.5999999999989 0.008230799182632 3.25588208417852E-05












77.6999999999989 0.008200426120807 3.25588208417852E-05












77.7999999999989 0.008170062403083 3.25588208417852E-05












77.8999999999989 0.008139708757079 3.25588208417852E-05












77.9999999999989 0.008109365907336 3.25588208417852E-05












78.0999999999989 0.008079034575293 2.01405526361043E-05












78.1999999999989 0.008048715479263 2.01405526361043E-05












78.2999999999989 0.008018409334403 2.01405526361043E-05












78.3999999999989 0.007988116852697 2.01405526361043E-05












78.4999999999989 0.007957838742929 2.01405526361043E-05












78.5999999999989 0.00792757571066 2.01405526361043E-05












78.6999999999989 0.007897328458202 2.01405526361043E-05












78.7999999999988 0.007867097684601 2.01405526361043E-05












78.8999999999988 0.007836884085609 2.01405526361043E-05












78.9999999999988 0.007806688353664 2.01405526361043E-05












79.0999999999988 0.007776511177868 1.23010337302789E-05












79.1999999999988 0.007746353243965 1.23010337302789E-05












79.2999999999988 0.007716215234318 1.23010337302789E-05












79.3999999999988 0.007686097827892 1.23010337302789E-05












79.4999999999988 0.007656001700227 1.23010337302789E-05












79.5999999999988 0.007625927523425 1.23010337302789E-05












79.6999999999988 0.007595875966122 1.23010337302789E-05












79.7999999999988 0.007565847693473 1.23010337302789E-05












79.8999999999988 0.007535843367132 1.23010337302789E-05












79.9999999999988 0.007505863645231 1.23010337302789E-05












80.0999999999988 0.007475909182359 7.41906096857445E-06












80.1999999999988 0.007445980629551 7.41906096857445E-06












80.2999999999988 0.007416078634259 7.41906096857445E-06












80.3999999999988 0.007386203840343 7.41906096857445E-06












80.4999999999988 0.007356356888047 7.41906096857445E-06












80.5999999999988 0.007326538413985 7.41906096857445E-06












80.6999999999988 0.007296749051121 7.41906096857445E-06












80.7999999999988 0.007266989428755 7.41906096857445E-06












80.8999999999988 0.007237260172503 7.41906096857445E-06












80.9999999999988 0.007207561904284 7.41906096857445E-06












81.0999999999988 0.007177895242302 4.41937891029281E-06












81.1999999999988 0.007148260801028 4.41937891029281E-06












81.2999999999988 0.007118659191191 4.41937891029281E-06












81.3999999999988 0.007089091019756 4.41937891029281E-06












81.4999999999988 0.007059556889912 4.41937891029281E-06












81.5999999999988 0.007030057401059 4.41937891029281E-06












81.6999999999988 0.00700059314879 4.41937891029281E-06












81.7999999999988 0.006971164724879 4.41937891029281E-06












81.8999999999988 0.00694177271727 4.41937891029281E-06












81.9999999999988 0.006912417710059 4.41937891029281E-06












82.0999999999988 0.006883100283482 2.600427224654E-06












82.1999999999988 0.006853821013904 2.600427224654E-06












82.2999999999988 0.006824580473805 2.600427224654E-06












82.3999999999988 0.00679537923177 2.600427224654E-06












82.4999999999988 0.006766217852473 2.600427224654E-06












82.5999999999988 0.00673709689667 2.600427224654E-06












82.6999999999988 0.006708016921183 2.600427224654E-06












82.7999999999988 0.006678978478893 2.600427224654E-06












82.8999999999988 0.006649982118728 2.600427224654E-06












82.9999999999988 0.006621028385651 2.600427224654E-06












83.0999999999988 0.006592117820652 1.5116941396332E-06












83.1999999999988 0.006563250960736 1.5116941396332E-06












83.2999999999987 0.006534428338917 1.5116941396332E-06












83.3999999999988 0.006505650484205 1.5116941396332E-06












83.4999999999988 0.006476917921597 1.5116941396332E-06












83.5999999999987 0.006448231172073 1.5116941396332E-06












83.6999999999987 0.006419590752581 1.5116941396332E-06












83.7999999999987 0.006390997176035 1.5116941396332E-06












83.8999999999987 0.006362450951304 1.5116941396332E-06












83.9999999999987 0.006333952583203 1.5116941396332E-06












84.0999999999987 0.00630550257249 8.68324312348831E-07












84.1999999999987 0.006277101415856 8.68324312348831E-07












84.2999999999987 0.006248749605918 8.68324312348831E-07












84.3999999999987 0.006220447631215 8.68324312348831E-07












84.4999999999987 0.0061921959762 8.68324312348831E-07












84.5999999999987 0.006163995121236 8.68324312348831E-07












84.6999999999987 0.006135845542587 8.68324312348831E-07












84.7999999999987 0.006107747712418 8.68324312348831E-07












84.8999999999987 0.006079702098784 8.68324312348831E-07












84.9999999999987 0.006051709165631 8.68324312348831E-07












85.0999999999987 0.006023769372787 4.92901742009778E-07












85.1999999999987 0.005995883175962 4.92901742009778E-07












85.2999999999987 0.005968051026739 4.92901742009778E-07












85.3999999999987 0.005940273372577 4.92901742009778E-07












85.4999999999987 0.005912550656802 4.92901742009778E-07












85.5999999999987 0.005884883318606 4.92901742009778E-07












85.6999999999987 0.005857271793045 4.92901742009778E-07












85.7999999999987 0.005829716511037 4.92901742009778E-07












85.8999999999987 0.005802217899356 4.92901742009778E-07












85.9999999999987 0.005774776380636 4.92901742009778E-07












86.0999999999987 0.005747392373363 2.76540802929904E-07












86.1999999999987 0.00572006629188 2.76540802929904E-07












86.2999999999987 0.005692798546379 2.76540802929904E-07












86.3999999999987 0.005665589542907 2.76540802929904E-07












86.4999999999987 0.00563843968336 2.76540802929904E-07












86.5999999999987 0.005611349365485 2.76540802929904E-07












86.6999999999987 0.005584318982881 2.76540802929904E-07












86.7999999999987 0.005557348924998 2.76540802929904E-07












86.8999999999987 0.005530439577135 2.76540802929904E-07












86.9999999999987 0.005503591320444 2.76540802929904E-07












87.0999999999987 0.005476804531933 1.53368893578941E-07












87.1999999999987 0.005450079584459 1.53368893578941E-07












87.2999999999987 0.00542341684674 1.53368893578941E-07












87.3999999999987 0.005396816683346 1.53368893578941E-07












87.4999999999987 0.005370279454712 1.53368893578941E-07












87.5999999999987 0.005343805517131 1.53368893578941E-07












87.6999999999987 0.00531739522276 1.53368893578941E-07












87.7999999999987 0.005291048919625 1.53368893578941E-07












87.8999999999987 0.005264766951619 1.53368893578941E-07












87.9999999999987 0.005238549658512 1.53368893578941E-07












88.0999999999986 0.005212397375945 8.4091467217999E-08












88.1999999999986 0.005186310435445 8.4091467217999E-08












88.2999999999986 0.005160289164418 8.4091467217999E-08












88.3999999999986 0.005134333886161 8.4091467217999E-08












88.4999999999986 0.005108444919864 8.4091467217999E-08












88.5999999999986 0.005082622580612 8.4091467217999E-08












88.6999999999986 0.005056867179394 8.4091467217999E-08












88.7999999999986 0.005031179023105 8.4091467217999E-08












88.8999999999986 0.005005558414555 8.4091467217999E-08












88.9999999999986 0.00498000565247 8.4091467217999E-08












89.0999999999986 0.004954521031499 4.55889134075107E-08












89.1999999999986 0.004929104842225 4.55889134075107E-08












89.2999999999986 0.004903757371163 4.55889134075107E-08












89.3999999999986 0.004878478900773 4.55889134075107E-08












89.4999999999986 0.004853269709464 4.55889134075107E-08












89.5999999999986 0.004828130071602 4.55889134075107E-08












89.6999999999986 0.004803060257515 4.55889134075107E-08












89.7999999999986 0.004778060533504 4.55889134075107E-08












89.8999999999986 0.004753131161845 4.55889134075107E-08












89.9999999999986 0.004728272400803 4.55889134075107E-08












90.0999999999986 0.004703484504637 2.44407230212488E-08












90.1999999999986 0.004678767723606 2.44407230212488E-08












90.2999999999986 0.004654122303983 2.44407230212488E-08












90.3999999999986 0.004629548488059 2.44407230212488E-08












90.4999999999986 0.004605046514151 2.44407230212488E-08












90.5999999999986 0.004580616616616 2.44407230212488E-08












90.6999999999986 0.004556259025857 2.44407230212488E-08












90.7999999999986 0.004531973968331 2.44407230212488E-08












90.8999999999986 0.004507761666563 2.44407230212488E-08












90.9999999999986 0.004483622339151 2.44407230212488E-08












91.0999999999986 0.00445955620078 1.29589547887391E-08












91.1999999999986 0.004435563462229 1.29589547887391E-08












91.2999999999986 0.004411644330383 1.29589547887391E-08












91.3999999999986 0.004387799008244 1.29589547887391E-08












91.4999999999986 0.004364027694941 1.29589547887391E-08












91.5999999999986 0.004340330585742 1.29589547887391E-08












91.6999999999986 0.004316707872061 1.29589547887391E-08












91.7999999999986 0.004293159741477 1.29589547887391E-08












91.8999999999986 0.004269686377737 1.29589547887391E-08












91.9999999999986 0.004246287960774 1.29589547887391E-08












92.0999999999986 0.004222964666716 6.79640835387673E-09












92.1999999999986 0.004199716667899 6.79640835387673E-09












92.2999999999986 0.004176544132877 6.79640835387673E-09












92.3999999999986 0.004153447226438 6.79640835387673E-09












92.4999999999986 0.004130426109614 6.79640835387673E-09












92.5999999999986 0.004107480939693 6.79640835387673E-09












92.6999999999986 0.004084611870236 6.79640835387673E-09












92.7999999999986 0.004061819051084 6.79640835387673E-09












92.8999999999985 0.004039102628376 6.79640835387673E-09












92.9999999999985 0.004016462744561 6.79640835387673E-09












93.0999999999985 0.00399389953841 3.5260935814468E-09












93.1999999999985 0.003971413145032 3.5260935814468E-09












93.2999999999985 0.003949003695885 3.5260935814468E-09












93.3999999999985 0.003926671318794 3.5260935814468E-09












93.4999999999985 0.003904416137961 3.5260935814468E-09












93.5999999999985 0.00388223827398 3.5260935814468E-09












93.6999999999985 0.003860137843855 3.5260935814468E-09












93.7999999999985 0.003838114961009 3.5260935814468E-09












93.8999999999985 0.003816169735304 3.5260935814468E-09












93.9999999999985 0.003794302273052 3.5260935814468E-09












94.0999999999985 0.003772512677031 1.80993633302987E-09












94.1999999999985 0.003750801046501 1.80993633302987E-09












94.2999999999985 0.00372916747722 1.80993633302987E-09












94.3999999999985 0.003707612061456 1.80993633302987E-09












94.4999999999985 0.003686134888004 1.80993633302987E-09












94.5999999999985 0.003664736042205 1.80993633302987E-09












94.6999999999985 0.003643415605955 1.80993633302987E-09












94.7999999999985 0.003622173657729 1.80993633302987E-09












94.8999999999985 0.003601010272589 1.80993633302987E-09












94.9999999999985 0.003579925522206 1.80993633302987E-09












95.0999999999985 0.003558919474873 9.19257137565173E-10












95.1999999999985 0.003537992195523 9.19257137565173E-10












95.2999999999985 0.003517143745745 9.19257137565173E-10












95.3999999999985 0.003496374183799 9.19257137565173E-10












95.4999999999985 0.003475683564637 9.19257137565173E-10












95.5999999999985 0.003455071939913 9.19257137565173E-10












95.6999999999985 0.003434539358007 9.19257137565173E-10












95.7999999999985 0.003414085864039 9.19257137565173E-10












95.8999999999985 0.003393711499883 9.19257137565173E-10












95.9999999999985 0.003373416304189 9.19257137565173E-10












96.0999999999985 0.0033532003124 4.62022467578329E-10












96.1999999999985 0.003333063556764 4.62022467578329E-10












96.2999999999985 0.00331300606636 4.62022467578329E-10












96.3999999999985 0.003293027867106 4.62022467578329E-10












96.4999999999985 0.003273128981787 4.62022467578329E-10












96.5999999999985 0.003253309430063 4.62022467578329E-10












96.6999999999985 0.003233569228493 4.62022467578329E-10












96.7999999999985 0.003213908390553 4.62022467578329E-10












96.8999999999985 0.003194326926649 4.62022467578329E-10












96.9999999999985 0.003174824844142 4.62022467578329E-10












97.0999999999985 0.003155402147359 2.2982045423355E-10












97.1999999999985 0.003136058837617 2.2982045423355E-10












97.2999999999985 0.003116794913241 2.2982045423355E-10












97.3999999999985 0.003097610369576 2.2982045423355E-10












97.4999999999985 0.003078505199016 2.2982045423355E-10












97.5999999999984 0.003059479391011 2.2982045423355E-10












97.6999999999984 0.003040532932097 2.2982045423355E-10












97.7999999999984 0.003021665805905 2.2982045423355E-10












97.8999999999984 0.003002877993186 2.2982045423355E-10












97.9999999999984 0.002984169471827 2.2982045423355E-10












98.0999999999984 0.002965540216872 1.13151397109886E-10












98.1999999999984 0.002946990200538 1.13151397109886E-10












98.2999999999984 0.002928519392238 1.13151397109886E-10












98.3999999999984 0.002910127758595 1.13151397109886E-10












98.4999999999984 0.002891815263465 1.13151397109886E-10












98.5999999999984 0.002873581867958 1.13151397109886E-10












98.6999999999984 0.002855427530449 1.13151397109886E-10












98.7999999999984 0.002837352206608 1.13151397109886E-10












98.8999999999984 0.002819355849411 1.13151397109886E-10












98.9999999999984 0.002801438409163 1.13151397109886E-10












99.0999999999984 0.002783599833518 5.51470192985049E-11












99.1999999999984 0.002765840067495 5.51470192985049E-11












99.2999999999984 0.002748159053503 5.51470192985049E-11












99.3999999999984 0.002730556731354 5.51470192985049E-11












99.4999999999984 0.00271303303829 5.51470192985049E-11












99.5999999999984 0.002695587908995 5.51470192985049E-11












99.6999999999984 0.00267822127562 5.51470192985049E-11












99.7999999999984 0.002660933067802 5.51470192985049E-11












99.8999999999984 0.002643723212681 5.51470192985049E-11












99.9999999999984 0.002626591634923 5.51470192985049E-11












100.099999999998 0.002609538256736 2.66084368115286E-11












100.199999999998 0.002592562997895 2.66084368115286E-11












100.299999999998 0.002575665775757 2.66084368115286E-11












100.399999999998 0.002558846505284 2.66084368115286E-11












100.499999999998 0.002542105099062 2.66084368115286E-11












100.599999999998 0.002525441467318 2.66084368115286E-11












100.699999999998 0.002508855517945 2.66084368115286E-11












100.799999999998 0.00249234715652 2.66084368115286E-11












100.899999999998 0.002475916286322 2.66084368115286E-11












100.999999999998 0.002459562808352 2.66084368115286E-11













Sheet 3: Arkusz3


normal student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia






rozkłady z analizy danych dane dane pseudolosowe






2009 35 68 19 2001

normal student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia
nie zajdzie zdarznienie 1






2010 51 48 27 2002
średnia 47.11 48.38 48.25
zdarzneine jest albo nie ma czyli zajdzie albo raz albo dwa a nie jeden i pół






2011 38 42 22 2003
wariancja 714.182551528392 43.9641959798995 795.928571428571
im więcej symulacji tym nasze wyniki mniej by się różniły






2012 1 48 57 2004













2013 40 50 30 2005













2014 -21 63 56 2006













2015 10 51 91 2007

przedziały normal student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia







2016 89 44 84 2008

30 55 0 4







2017 76 53



50 101 126 4







2018 33 48



70 158 200 6







2019 45 46



90 192 200 7







2020 59 39



110 200 200 8







2021 85 47



130 200 200 8







2022 52 55















2023 -15 58















2024 68 41



przedziały normal student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia







2025 56 41



0-30 55 0 4







2026 6 34



30-50 46 126 0







2027 38 50



50-70 57 74 2







2028 86 53



70-90 34 0 1







2029 35 43



90-110 8 0 1







2030 34 38



110-130 0 0 0







2031 70 44















2032 37 49















2033 39 44



przedziały normal student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia
2034 61 43



0-30 27.5% 0.0% 50.0%
2035 45 47



30-50 23.0% 63.0% 0.0%
2036 11 52



50-70 28.5% 37.0% 25.0%
2037 51 46



70-90 17.0% 0.0% 12.5%
2038 59 45



90-110 4.0% 0.0% 12.5%
2039 82 60



110-130 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2040 26 56







2041 48 38







2042 20 46







2043 8 42







2044 76 60







2045 77 39







2046 103 48







2047 43 44







2048 26 49















2049 -17 43















2050 70 51















2051 55 50















2052 63 53















2053 47 43















2054 93 45















2055 37 49















2056 73 54















2057 65 59















2058 48 53















2059 70 51















2060 27 49















2061 36 60















2062 37 55















2063 70 48















2064 104 56















2065 49 60















2066 30 46















2067 24 32















2068 58 45















2069 70 50















2070 59 48















2071 52 51















2072 67 58















2073 64 49















2074 66 57















2075 70 40















2076 30 52















2077 62 49















2078 -1 55















2079 72 45















2080 39 45















2081 57 58















2082 72 48















2083 47 36















2084 43 57















2085 42 43















2086 32 48















2087 63 52















2088 16 46















2089 22 50















2090 57 40















2091 10 40















2092 9 53















2093 7 49















2094 -2 50















2095 34 40















2096 59 51















2097 62 36















2098 31 51















2099 19 56















2100 6 55















2101 76 60















2102 78 41















2103 56 46















2104 8 48















2105 68 52















2106 17 44















2107 -6 45















2108 82 54
















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