---

Overview

Arkusz1
Arkusz2
Arkusz3

---

Sheet 1: Arkusz1

Dane dotyczące zdarzeń operacyjnych
Dane z komórki:	bankowość detaliczna, klienci, produkty i praktyki operacyjne				czestosc liczy narastajaco
Data zdarzenia	Wartość straty	rok		rok	zliczenia	# zdarzeń
1/1/2001	60027,00	2001		2001	19	19
3/1/2001	87633,00	2001		2002	46	27
6/1/2001	102720,00	2001		2003	68	22
5/1/2001	1284000,00	2001		2004	125	57
8/1/2001	93090,00	2001		2005	155	30
9/1/2001	2247000,00	2001		2006	211	56
10/1/2001	160500,00	2001		2007	302	91
11/1/2001	50076,00	2001		2008	386	84
1/1/2002	192600,00	2002
11/1/2001	48150,00	2001		średnia	48.25
2/1/2002	160500,00	2002		odchylenie	28.2122060716381
6/1/2001	170130,00	2001		wariancja
2/1/2002	121305,90	2002
3/1/2002	3049500,00	2002						trend trzeba usunąć
3/1/2002	1219800,00	2002						zmiennosc zw z trendem przejdzie nam w zmiennosc losowa
10/1/2001	41730,00	2001						nieusunięcie trendu spowoduje ze uzyskamy mniejsza dokladnosc wyników
3/1/2002	44940,00	2002						wyniki z trendem, a potem zastanowimy się jak zmienic postac by uzyskac lepsze wyniki
2/1/2002	176550,00	2002
11/1/2001	138993,00	2001
3/1/2002	300456,00	2002
6/1/2001	2279100,00	2001
7/1/2002	51360,00	2002
6/1/2002	1147575,00	2002
12/1/2001	77040,00	2001
4/1/2002	48150,00	2002
8/1/2001	57780,00	2001
8/1/2002	38520,00	2002
9/1/2002	691819,20	2002
8/1/2002	170130,00	2002
8/1/2002	69015,00	2002
7/1/2002	1466970,00	2002
4/1/2002	690150,00	2002
5/1/2001	95337,00	2001
1/1/2003	70299,00	2003
1/1/2003	86670,00	2003
11/1/2004	288900,00	2004
7/1/2002	642000,00	2002
2/1/2003	642000,00	2003
2/1/2003	71262,00	2003
2/1/2003	73830,00	2003
2/1/2003	642000,00	2003
2/1/2003	693360,00	2003
6/1/2003	51360,00	2003
6/1/2003	139314,00	2003
10/1/2003	118770,00	2003
11/1/2003	47829,00	2003
12/1/2003	224700,00	2003
11/1/2003	531576,00	2003
1/1/2004	80571,00	2004
2/1/2003	38520,00	2003
2/1/2004	34989,00	2004
2/1/2004	128400,00	2004
3/1/2004	53928,00	2004
4/1/2004	653235,00	2004
4/1/2004	72225,00	2004
6/1/2004	1944618,00	2004
4/1/2004	24717,00	2004
5/1/2004	3531,00	2004
12/1/2001	14766000,00	2001
6/1/2004	7062,00	2004
6/1/2004	8346,00	2004
7/1/2004	55533,00	2004
6/1/2004	37878,00	2004
6/1/2004	4815,00	2004
7/1/2004	3852,00	2004
5/1/2004	321000,00	2004
7/1/2004	5457,00	2004
5/1/2004	1284000,00	2004
5/1/2004	2247000,00	2004
3/1/2004	29853,00	2004
6/1/2004	417300,00	2004
7/1/2004	182970,00	2004
7/1/2004	44940,00	2004
8/1/2004	13482,00	2004
5/1/2004	121017,00	2004
8/1/2004	4815,00	2004
8/1/2004	4815,00	2004
9/1/2004	7062,00	2004
9/1/2004	1316100,00	2004
9/1/2004	140598,00	2004
9/1/2004	21828,00	2004
8/1/2004	215070,00	2004
10/1/2004	4173,00	2004
10/1/2004	37236,00	2004
6/1/2004	2086500,00	2004
6/1/2004	1348200,00	2004
10/1/2004	233367,00	2004
8/1/2004	32100,00	2004
10/1/2004	364014,00	2004
11/1/2004	42051,00	2004
2/1/2003	16050,00	2003
11/1/2004	3531,00	2004
12/1/2004	1631322,00	2004
12/1/2004	3852,00	2004
12/1/2004	11877,00	2004
12/1/2004	8025,00	2004
1/1/2001	30174,00	2001
12/1/2004	3210,00	2004
1/1/2005	24396,00	2005
8/1/2004	35310,00	2004
12/1/2004	516810,00	2004
12/1/2004	32100,00	2004
2/1/2005	56175,00	2005
7/1/2004	793191,00	2004
7/1/2004	1998225,00	2004
1/1/2005	6420,00	2005
2/1/2005	256800,00	2005
2/1/2005	3210,00	2005
2/1/2005	6420,00	2005
2/1/2005	6420,00	2005
2/1/2005	6420,00	2005
3/1/2005	674100,00	2005
4/1/2005	1139550,00	2005
4/1/2005	5778,00	2005
4/1/2005	4173,00	2005
4/1/2005	17013,00	2005
4/1/2005	17976,00	2005
5/1/2005	1540800,00	2005
1/1/2004	21507,00	2004
7/1/2005	401250,00	2005
5/1/2003	13482,00	2003
10/1/2005	8025,00	2005
11/1/2005	7383,00	2005
1/1/2006	12840,00	2006
4/1/2002	87954,00	2002
2/1/2006	950160,00	2006
3/1/2006	219243,00	2006
4/1/2006	8025,00	2006
5/1/2006	309765,00	2006
3/1/2006	30174,00	2006
2/1/2007	3531,00	2007
1/1/2005	27927,00	2005
6/1/2005	81534,00	2005
10/1/2004	990927,00	2004
5/1/2006	74793,00	2006
12/1/2002	48150,00	2002
2/1/2006	32100,00	2006
2/1/2006	32100,00	2006
5/1/2006	4494,00	2006
4/1/2006	18939,00	2006
5/1/2006	107535,00	2006
5/1/2006	136746,00	2006
9/1/2003	704274,00	2003
6/1/2006	802500,00	2006
5/1/2006	16050,00	2006
9/1/2003	25091607,00	2003
9/1/2002	3210,00	2002
6/1/2006	46545,00	2006
7/1/2006	370113,00	2006
7/1/2006	19260,00	2006
7/1/2006	9951,00	2006
7/1/2006	25680,00	2006
7/1/2006	7062,00	2006
7/1/2006	60348,00	2006
8/1/2006	4815,00	2006
8/1/2006	642000,00	2006
6/1/2006	7062,00	2006
8/1/2006	176550,00	2006
6/1/2006	51681,00	2006
7/1/2003	306234,00	2003
9/1/2006	7383,00	2006
9/1/2006	14766,00	2006
9/1/2006	106893,00	2006
10/1/2006	6420,00	2006
10/1/2006	32100,00	2006
2/1/2004	271566,00	2004
11/1/2006	36594,00	2006
10/1/2006	120054,00	2006
11/1/2006	19260,00	2006
11/1/2006	21507,00	2006
11/1/2006	208650,00	2006
10/1/2006	3531,00	2006
11/1/2006	9951,00	2006
11/1/2006	23433,00	2006
11/1/2006	3852,00	2006
11/1/2006	86670,00	2006
11/1/2006	11877,00	2006
12/1/2006	64200,00	2006
12/1/2006	8346,00	2006
12/1/2006	8346,00	2006
12/1/2006	8346,00	2006
12/1/2006	41730,00	2006
12/1/2006	15729,00	2006
1/1/2007	156006,00	2007
1/1/2007	85386,00	2007
10/1/2004	80250,00	2004
1/1/2007	56175,00	2007
12/1/2003	60027,00	2003
7/1/2001	210576,00	2001
1/1/2007	35310,00	2007
4/1/2002	4576497,00	2002
3/1/2004	327420,00	2004
1/1/2007	38841,00	2007
2/1/2007	34347,00	2007
2/1/2007	4815,00	2007
2/1/2007	61311,00	2007
2/1/2007	28890,00	2007
11/1/2002	67410,00	2002
3/1/2007	12198,00	2007
3/1/2007	898800,00	2007
3/1/2007	46545,00	2007
7/1/2005	3852,00	2005
6/1/2005	21186,00	2005
3/1/2007	944061,00	2007
4/1/2007	64200,00	2007
2/1/2007	3210,00	2007
4/1/2007	96300,00	2007
12/1/2006	19260,00	2006
12/1/2006	19260,00	2006
3/1/2003	3851037,00	2003
4/1/2007	4494,00	2007
3/1/2007	5457,00	2007
4/1/2007	15408,00	2007
4/1/2002	17013,00	2002
2/1/2007	340260,00	2007
12/1/2002	32100,00	2002
4/1/2002	8346,00	2002
7/1/2005	32100,00	2005
4/1/2007	256800,00	2007
5/1/2007	2147490,00	2007
5/1/2007	8025,00	2007
6/1/2007	28248,00	2007
7/1/2006	4173,00	2006
9/1/2005	10914,00	2005
3/1/2005	5778,00	2005
6/1/2007	5778,00	2007
7/1/2007	32100,00	2007
8/1/2006	8988,00	2006
6/1/2007	3852,00	2007
6/1/2007	3852,00	2007
6/1/2007	3852,00	2007
7/1/2007	108819,00	2007
1/1/2007	4173,00	2007
7/1/2007	177192,00	2007
4/1/2005	16371,00	2005
2/1/2007	105930,00	2007
3/1/2006	114918,00	2006
7/1/2007	11877,00	2007
2/1/2005	24075,00	2005
7/1/2007	18297,00	2007
7/1/2007	33705,00	2007
6/1/2007	25680,00	2007
8/1/2007	2358708,00	2007
8/1/2007	5700318,00	2007
6/1/2007	4173,00	2007
1/1/2003	24075,00	2003
8/1/2007	282159,00	2007
8/1/2007	27285,00	2007
11/1/2002	6099,00	2002
9/1/2007	11556,00	2007
9/1/2007	37878,00	2007
9/1/2007	67410,00	2007
8/1/2007	243960,00	2007
8/1/2007	415374,00	2007
8/1/2007	3531,00	2007
11/1/2006	38520,00	2006
9/1/2007	48150,00	2007
10/1/2007	16050000,00	2007
11/1/2007	3210,00	2007
7/1/2007	237219,00	2007
10/1/2007	5200200,00	2007
8/1/2007	8346,00	2007
8/1/2007	3852,00	2007
10/1/2007	130647,00	2007
10/1/2007	320358,00	2007
10/1/2007	80250,00	2007
10/1/2006	17991729,00	2006
10/1/2007	27606,00	2007
8/1/2007	9630,00	2007
1/1/2007	13321500,00	2007
3/1/2007	34026,00	2007
4/1/2007	45903,00	2007
11/1/2007	8025,00	2007
11/1/2007	72225000,00	2007
11/1/2007	28569,00	2007
11/1/2007	48792,00	2007
12/1/2007	36594,00	2007
12/1/2007	61311,00	2007
12/1/2007	94695,00	2007
12/1/2007	240750,00	2007
11/1/2007	96300,00	2007
12/1/2007	83460,00	2007
12/1/2007	218280,00	2007
2/1/2007	4815,00	2007
1/1/2008	6420,00	2008
12/1/2007	6741,00	2007
5/1/2005	21828,00	2005
1/1/2008	410880,00	2008
12/1/2007	6099,00	2007
2/1/2008	4815,00	2008
6/1/2007	436560,00	2007
6/1/2007	9630,00	2007
2/1/2008	8346,00	2008
2/1/2008	7062,00	2008
2/1/2008	17013,00	2008
3/1/2008	20544,00	2008
3/1/2008	176550,00	2008
3/1/2008	7383,00	2008
3/1/2008	11877,00	2008
3/1/2008	16050,00	2008
3/1/2008	10272,00	2008
3/1/2008	1579641,00	2008
2/1/2008	4494,00	2008
6/1/2007	6099,00	2007
11/1/2007	4815,00	2007
3/1/2008	62595,00	2008
2/1/2008	4815,00	2008
3/1/2008	4815,00	2008
3/1/2008	4494,00	2008
2/1/2008	1737894,00	2008
6/1/2007	139314,00	2007
7/1/2007	417300,00	2007
3/1/2008	1091400,00	2008
4/1/2008	545700,00	2008
4/1/2008	39162,00	2008
4/1/2008	3852,00	2008
4/1/2008	7756644,00	2008
4/1/2008	14445,00	2008
3/1/2008	32100,00	2008
4/1/2008	12840,00	2008
4/1/2008	12840,00	2008
11/1/2007	4815,00	2007
4/1/2008	5136,00	2008
4/1/2008	39804,00	2008
5/1/2008	59385,00	2008
2/1/2007	34668,00	2007
9/1/2007	26964,00	2007
1/1/2008	1644804,00	2008
5/1/2008	7704,00	2008
4/1/2008	13803,00	2008
6/1/2008	954654,00	2008
5/1/2008	280554,00	2008
6/1/2005	192921,00	2005
6/1/2008	128400,00	2008
7/1/2007	49113,00	2007
6/1/2008	23112,00	2008
6/1/2008	28890,00	2008
6/1/2008	4173,00	2008
6/1/2008	357915,00	2008
6/1/2008	236898,00	2008
6/1/2008	32100,00	2008
6/1/2008	46224,00	2008
6/1/2008	179439,00	2008
7/1/2008	34026,00	2008
1/1/2008	4173,00	2008
5/1/2008	5778,00	2008
7/1/2008	27285,00	2008
12/1/2007	112992,00	2007
7/1/2008	25038,00	2008
5/1/2008	12198,00	2008
8/1/2008	3210,00	2008
8/1/2008	483747,00	2008
7/1/2008	45261,00	2008
7/1/2008	38520,00	2008
8/1/2008	10272,00	2008
8/1/2008	4494,00	2008
8/1/2008	9309,00	2008
8/1/2008	598023,00	2008
7/1/2008	15408,00	2008
8/1/2008	88917,00	2008
8/1/2008	92448,00	2008
8/1/2008	20865,00	2008
8/1/2008	20865,00	2008
8/1/2008	12519,00	2008
8/1/2008	14766,00	2008
12/1/2005	21507,00	2005
8/1/2008	9309,00	2008
7/1/2008	4815,00	2008
8/1/2008	42693,00	2008
9/1/2008	113634,00	2008
9/1/2008	9630,00	2008
9/1/2008	187785,00	2008
9/1/2008	10593,00	2008
9/1/2008	55533,00	2008
9/1/2008	485994,00	2008
1/1/2008	24717,00	2008
10/1/2008	279270000,00	2008
10/1/2008	10593,00	2008
9/1/2008	7704,00	2008
10/1/2008	208650,00	2008
10/1/2008	27927,00	2008
10/1/2008	157932,00	2008
7/1/2007	60348,00	2007
7/1/2007	27606,00	2007
9/1/2008	6420,00	2008
10/1/2008	3210,00	2008

---

Sheet 2: Arkusz2

x	rozklad normalny	rozklad poisson
0	0.003273128981787	1.10991890364388E-21
0.1	0.003293027867106	1.10991890364388E-21
0.2	0.003313006066359	1.10991890364388E-21
0.3	0.003333063556764	1.10991890364388E-21
0.4	0.003353200312399	1.10991890364388E-21
0.5	0.003373416304189	1.10991890364388E-21
0.6	0.003393711499883	1.10991890364388E-21
0.7	0.003414085864039	1.10991890364388E-21
0.8	0.003434539358007	1.10991890364388E-21
0.9	0.003455071939913	1.10991890364388E-21
1	0.003475683564636	5.35535871008173E-20
1.1	0.003496374183799	5.35535871008173E-20
1.2	0.003517143745744	5.35535871008173E-20
1.3	0.003537992195523	5.35535871008173E-20
1.4	0.003558919474873	5.35535871008173E-20
1.5	0.003579925522206	5.35535871008173E-20
1.6	0.003601010272589	5.35535871008173E-20
1.7	0.003622173657729	5.35535871008173E-20
1.8	0.003643415605955	5.35535871008173E-20
1.9	0.003664736042204	5.35535871008173E-20
2	0.003686134888004	1.29198028880722E-18
2.1	0.003707612061455	1.29198028880722E-18
2.2	0.00372916747722	1.29198028880722E-18
2.3	0.003750801046501	1.29198028880722E-18
2.4	0.00377251267703	1.29198028880722E-18
2.5	0.003794302273051	1.29198028880722E-18
2.6	0.003816169735303	1.29198028880722E-18
2.7	0.003838114961009	1.29198028880722E-18
2.8	0.003860137843854	1.29198028880722E-18
2.9	0.00388223827398	1.29198028880722E-18
3	0.00390441613796	2.07793496449827E-17
3.1	0.003926671318794	2.07793496449827E-17
3.2	0.003949003695885	2.07793496449827E-17
3.3	0.003971413145032	2.07793496449827E-17
3.4	0.00399389953841	2.07793496449827E-17
3.5	0.004016462744561	2.07793496449827E-17
3.6	0.004039102628376	2.07793496449827E-17
3.7	0.004061819051083	2.07793496449827E-17
3.8	0.004084611870235	2.07793496449827E-17
3.9	0.004107480939693	2.07793496449827E-17
4	0.004130426109613	2.50650905092604E-16
4.1	0.004153447226438	2.50650905092604E-16
4.2	0.004176544132877	2.50650905092604E-16
4.3	0.004199716667898	2.50650905092604E-16
4.4	0.004222964666716	2.50650905092604E-16
4.5	0.004246287960774	2.50650905092604E-16
4.6	0.004269686377736	2.50650905092604E-16
4.7	0.004293159741476	2.50650905092604E-16
4.8	0.004316707872061	2.50650905092604E-16
4.9	0.004340330585741	2.50650905092604E-16
5	0.004364027694941	2.41878123414363E-15
5.1	0.004387799008244	2.41878123414363E-15
5.2	0.004411644330383	2.41878123414363E-15
5.3	0.004435563462228	2.41878123414363E-15
5.4	0.00445955620078	2.41878123414363E-15
5.5	0.004483622339151	2.41878123414363E-15
5.6	0.004507761666563	2.41878123414363E-15
5.7	0.004531973968331	2.41878123414363E-15
5.8	0.004556259025856	2.41878123414363E-15
5.9	0.004580616616616	2.41878123414363E-15
6	0.00460504651415	1.94510324245717E-14
6.1	0.004629548488058	1.94510324245717E-14
6.2	0.004654122303983	1.94510324245717E-14
6.3	0.004678767723606	1.94510324245717E-14
6.4	0.004703484504636	1.94510324245717E-14
6.5	0.004728272400803	1.94510324245717E-14
6.6	0.004753131161844	1.94510324245717E-14
6.7	0.004778060533503	1.94510324245717E-14
6.8	0.004803060257515	1.94510324245717E-14
6.9	0.004828130071602	1.94510324245717E-14
7	0.004853269709464	1.34073187783655E-13
7.1	0.004878478900773	1.34073187783655E-13
7.2	0.004903757371162	1.34073187783655E-13
7.3	0.004929104842224	1.34073187783655E-13
7.4	0.004954521031499	1.34073187783655E-13
7.5	0.004980005652469	1.34073187783655E-13
7.6	0.005005558414555	1.34073187783655E-13
7.7	0.005031179023105	1.34073187783655E-13
7.8	0.005056867179393	1.34073187783655E-13
7.9	0.005082622580612	1.34073187783655E-13
8	0.005108444919864	8.08628913820168E-13
8.1	0.005134333886161	8.08628913820168E-13
8.2	0.005160289164418	8.08628913820168E-13
8.3	0.005186310435445	8.08628913820168E-13
8.4	0.005212397375945	8.08628913820168E-13
8.5	0.005238549658511	8.08628913820168E-13
8.6	0.005264766951619	8.08628913820168E-13
8.7	0.005291048919624	8.08628913820168E-13
8.8	0.00531739522276	8.08628913820168E-13
8.9	0.00534380551713	8.08628913820168E-13
9	0.005370279454712	4.33514945464701E-12
9.1	0.005396816683346	4.33514945464701E-12
9.2	0.005423416846739	4.33514945464701E-12
9.3	0.005450079584459	4.33514945464701E-12
9.4	0.005476804531932	4.33514945464701E-12
9.5	0.005503591320444	4.33514945464701E-12
9.6	0.005530439577134	4.33514945464701E-12
9.7	0.005557348924998	4.33514945464701E-12
9.8	0.005584318982881	4.33514945464701E-12
9.9	0.005611349365485	4.33514945464701E-12
10	0.005638439683359	2.09170961186718E-11
10.1	0.005665589542906	2.09170961186718E-11
10.2	0.005692798546379	2.09170961186718E-11
10.3	0.005720066291879	2.09170961186718E-11
10.4	0.005747392373363	2.09170961186718E-11
10.5	0.005774776380635	2.09170961186718E-11
10.6	0.005802217899356	2.09170961186718E-11
10.7	0.005829716511036	2.09170961186718E-11
10.8	0.005857271793045	2.09170961186718E-11
10.9	0.005884883318605	2.09170961186718E-11
11	0.005912550656801	9.17499897932651E-11
11.1	0.005940273372577	9.17499897932651E-11
11.2	0.005968051026739	9.17499897932651E-11
11.3	0.005995883175961	9.17499897932651E-11
11.4	0.006023769372787	9.17499897932651E-11
11.5	0.00605170916563	9.17499897932651E-11
11.6	0.006079702098784	9.17499897932651E-11
11.7	0.006107747712417	9.17499897932651E-11
11.8	0.006135845542587	9.17499897932651E-11
11.9	0.006163995121235	9.17499897932651E-11
12	0.0061921959762	3.68911417293754E-10
12.1	0.006220447631215	3.68911417293754E-10
12.2	0.006248749605918	3.68911417293754E-10
12.3	0.006277101415856	3.68911417293754E-10
12.4	0.00630550257249	3.68911417293754E-10
12.5	0.006333952583203	3.68911417293754E-10
12.6	0.006362450951304	3.68911417293754E-10
12.7	0.006390997176035	3.68911417293754E-10
12.8	0.006419590752581	3.68911417293754E-10
12.9	0.006448231172072	3.68911417293754E-10
13	0.006476917921597	1.36922891418643E-09
13.1	0.006505650484204	1.36922891418643E-09
13.2	0.006534428338917	1.36922891418643E-09
13.3	0.006563250960736	1.36922891418643E-09
13.4	0.006592117820651	1.36922891418643E-09
13.5	0.006621028385651	1.36922891418643E-09
13.6	0.006649982118728	1.36922891418643E-09
13.7	0.006678978478893	1.36922891418643E-09
13.8	0.006708016921183	1.36922891418643E-09
13.9	0.00673709689667	1.36922891418643E-09
14	0.006766217852473	4.71894965067824E-09
14.1	0.00679537923177	4.71894965067824E-09
14.2	0.006824580473805	4.71894965067824E-09
14.3	0.006853821013903	4.71894965067824E-09
14.4	0.006883100283481	4.71894965067824E-09
14.5	0.006912417710059	4.71894965067824E-09
14.6	0.00694177271727	4.71894965067824E-09
14.7	0.006971164724879	4.71894965067824E-09
14.8	0.007000593148789	4.71894965067824E-09
14.9	0.007030057401059	4.71894965067824E-09
15	0.007059556889912	1.5179288043015E-08
15.1	0.007089091019756	1.5179288043015E-08
15.2	0.007118659191191	1.5179288043015E-08
15.3	0.007148260801028	1.5179288043015E-08
15.4	0.007177895242301	1.5179288043015E-08
15.5	0.007207561904284	1.5179288043015E-08
15.6	0.007237260172503	1.5179288043015E-08
15.7	0.007266989428754	1.5179288043015E-08
15.8	0.007296749051121	1.5179288043015E-08
15.9	0.007326538413984	1.5179288043015E-08
16	0.007356356888047	4.57750405047171E-08
16.1	0.007386203840343	4.57750405047171E-08
16.2	0.007416078634259	4.57750405047171E-08
16.3	0.00744598062955	4.57750405047171E-08
16.4	0.007475909182359	4.57750405047171E-08
16.5	0.00750586364523	4.57750405047171E-08
16.6	0.007535843367132	4.57750405047171E-08
16.7	0.007565847693473	4.57750405047171E-08
16.8	0.007595875966122	4.57750405047171E-08
16.9	0.007625927523425	4.57750405047171E-08
17	0.007656001700227	1.29920335550153E-07
17.1	0.007686097827891	1.29920335550153E-07
17.2	0.007716215234318	1.29920335550153E-07
17.3	0.007746353243964	1.29920335550153E-07
17.4	0.007776511177868	1.29920335550153E-07
17.5	0.007806688353664	1.29920335550153E-07
17.6	0.007836884085609	1.29920335550153E-07
17.7	0.007867097684601	1.29920335550153E-07
17.8	0.007897328458202	1.29920335550153E-07
17.9	0.007927575710659	1.29920335550153E-07
18	0.007957838742929	3.48258677238604E-07
18.1	0.007988116852697	3.48258677238604E-07
18.2	0.008018409334402	3.48258677238604E-07
18.3	0.008048715479262	3.48258677238604E-07
18.4	0.008079034575293	3.48258677238604E-07
18.5	0.008109365907336	3.48258677238604E-07
18.6	0.008139708757078	3.48258677238604E-07
18.7	0.008170062403083	3.48258677238604E-07
18.8	0.008200426120807	3.48258677238604E-07
18.9	0.008230799182631	3.48258677238604E-07
19	0.008261180857883	8.84393746145403E-07
19.1	0.008291570412864	8.84393746145403E-07
19.2	0.008321967110872	8.84393746145403E-07
19.3	0.008352370212231	8.84393746145403E-07
19.4	0.008382778974316	8.84393746145403E-07
19.5	0.008413192651579	8.84393746145403E-07
19.6	0.008443610495577	8.84393746145403E-07
19.7	0.008474031754999	8.84393746145403E-07
19.8	0.008504455675694	8.84393746145403E-07
19.9	0.008534881500696	8.84393746145403E-07
20	0.008565308470256	2.13359991257579E-06
20.1	0.008595735821868	2.13359991257579E-06
20.2	0.008626162790297	2.13359991257579E-06
20.3	0.008656588607611	2.13359991257579E-06
20.4	0.008687012503206	2.13359991257579E-06
20.5	0.008717433703838	2.13359991257579E-06
20.6	0.008747851433653	2.13359991257579E-06
20.7	0.008778264914216	2.13359991257579E-06
20.8	0.008808673364539	2.13359991257579E-06
20.9	0.008839076001118	2.13359991257579E-06
21	0.008869472037955	4.90219979913246E-06
21.1	0.008899860686596	4.90219979913246E-06
21.2	0.008930241156161	4.90219979913246E-06
21.3	0.008960612653371	4.90219979913246E-06
21.4	0.008990974382586	4.90219979913246E-06
21.5	0.009021325545833	4.90219979913246E-06
21.6	0.009051665342839	4.90219979913246E-06
21.7	0.009081992971066	4.90219979913246E-06
21.8	0.009112307625739	4.90219979913246E-06
21.9	0.009142608499885	4.90219979913246E-06
22	0.009172894784361	1.07514154685519E-05
22.1	0.009203165667891	1.07514154685519E-05
22.2	0.009233420337097	1.07514154685519E-05
22.3	0.009263657976536	1.07514154685519E-05
22.4	0.009293877768734	1.07514154685519E-05
22.5	0.009324078894217	1.07514154685519E-05
22.6	0.00935426053155	1.07514154685519E-05
22.7	0.009384421857369	1.07514154685519E-05
22.8	0.009414562046419	1.07514154685519E-05
22.9	0.009444680271586	1.07514154685519E-05
23	0.009474775703937	2.2554599841636E-05
23.1	0.009504847512751	2.2554599841636E-05
23.2	0.00953489486556	2.2554599841636E-05
23.3	0.009564916928182	2.2554599841636E-05
23.4	0.009594912864759	2.2554599841636E-05
23.5	0.009624881837794	2.2554599841636E-05
23.6	0.009654823008186	2.2554599841636E-05
23.7	0.009684735535272	2.2554599841636E-05
23.8	0.009714618576858	2.2554599841636E-05
23.9	0.009744471289262	2.2554599841636E-05
24	0.00977429282735	4.53441434316224E-05
24.1	0.009804082344573	4.53441434316224E-05
24.2	0.009833838993007	4.53441434316224E-05
24.3	0.009863561923392	4.53441434316224E-05
24.4	0.009893250285168	4.53441434316224E-05
24.5	0.009922903226516	4.53441434316224E-05
24.6	0.009952519894397	4.53441434316224E-05
24.7	0.009982099434592	4.53441434316224E-05
24.8	0.010011640991738	4.53441434316224E-05
24.9	0.010041143709373	4.53441434316224E-05
25	0.010070606729971	8.75141968230311E-05
25.1	0.010100029194986	8.75141968230311E-05
25.2	0.010129410244888	8.75141968230311E-05
25.3	0.010158749019208	8.75141968230311E-05
25.4	0.010188044656575	8.75141968230311E-05
25.5	0.010217296294759	8.75141968230311E-05
25.6	0.010246503070713	8.75141968230311E-05
25.7	0.010275664120607	8.75141968230311E-05
25.8	0.010304778579881	8.75141968230311E-05
25.9	0.010333845583276	8.75141968230311E-05
26	0.01036286426488	0.00016240615372
26.1	0.01039183375817	0.00016240615372
26.2	0.010420753196055	0.00016240615372
26.3	0.010449621710913	0.00016240615372
26.4	0.01047843843464	0.00016240615372
26.5	0.010507202498687	0.00016240615372
26.6	0.010535913034105	0.00016240615372
26.7	0.010564569171588	0.00016240615372
26.8	0.010593170041514	0.00016240615372
26.9	0.01062171477399	0.00016240615372
27	0.010650202498893	0.00029022581174
27.1	0.010678632345915	0.00029022581174
27.1999999999999	0.010707003444606	0.00029022581174
27.3	0.010735314924416	0.00029022581174
27.3999999999999	0.01076356591474	0.00029022581174
27.4999999999999	0.010791755544962	0.00029022581174
27.5999999999999	0.010819882944498	0.00029022581174
27.6999999999999	0.01084794724284	0.00029022581174
27.7999999999999	0.010875947569599	0.00029022581174
27.8999999999999	0.010903883054552	0.00029022581174
27.9999999999999	0.010931752827684	0.00029022581174
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28.1999999999999	0.010987291759733	0.000500121264873
28.2999999999999	0.011014959180062	0.000500121264873
28.3999999999999	0.011042557411484	0.000500121264873
28.4999999999999	0.011070085585693	0.000500121264873
28.5999999999999	0.011097542834861	0.000500121264873
28.6999999999999	0.011124928291679	0.000500121264873
28.7999999999999	0.011152241089404	0.000500121264873
28.8999999999999	0.011179480361907	0.000500121264873
28.9999999999999	0.011206645243711	0.000500121264873
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29.1999999999999	0.011260748376877	0.000832098311384
29.2999999999999	0.011287684900975	0.000832098311384
29.3999999999999	0.011314543579941	0.000832098311384
29.4999999999999	0.011341323552258	0.000832098311384
29.5999999999999	0.01136802395734	0.000832098311384
29.6999999999999	0.011394643935573	0.000832098311384
29.7999999999999	0.011421182628362	0.000832098311384
29.8999999999999	0.011447639178178	0.000832098311384
29.9999999999999	0.011474012728603	0.000832098311384
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30.2999999999999	0.011552626836953	0.001338291450808
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30.4999999999999	0.011604605598683	0.001338291450808
30.5999999999999	0.011630463235911	0.001338291450808
30.6999999999999	0.011656231913753	0.001338291450808
30.7999999999999	0.011681910786322	0.001338291450808
30.8999999999999	0.011707499009254	0.001338291450808
30.9999999999999	0.011732995739752	0.001338291450808
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31.3999999999999	0.011834050938972	0.002082985887145
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31.7999999999999	0.011933575274644	0.002082985887145
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31.9999999999999	0.011982746759263	0.002082985887145
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32.7999999999998	0.012175341491174	0.003140752157962
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33.3999999999998	0.012315310306232	0.004592160352171
33.4999999999998	0.012338251343346	0.004592160352171
33.5999999999998	0.012361079675837	0.004592160352171
33.6999999999998	0.012383794520525	0.004592160352171
33.7999999999998	0.012406395097072	0.004592160352171
33.8999999999998	0.012428880628026	0.004592160352171
33.9999999999998	0.012451250338865	0.004592160352171
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34.5999999999998	0.01258299338856	0.00651681579389
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34.7999999999998	0.012625946560653	0.00651681579389
34.8999999999998	0.012647239542246	0.00651681579389
34.9999999999998	0.012668409129343	0.00651681579389
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35.7999999999998	0.012833235633021	0.008983896058719
35.8999999999998	0.012853261820329	0.008983896058719
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38.6999999999997	0.013358488372816	0.019937415061508
38.7999999999997	0.013374456064453	0.019937415061508
38.8999999999997	0.013390274461268	0.019937415061508
38.9999999999997	0.013405942988623	0.019937415061508
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39.5999999999997	0.013496775346465	0.024666160941481
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39.7999999999997	0.013525828610235	0.024666160941481
39.8999999999997	0.013540123286987	0.024666160941481
39.9999999999997	0.01355426262748	0.024666160941481
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100.199999999998	0.002592562997895	2.66084368115286E-11
100.299999999998	0.002575665775757	2.66084368115286E-11
100.399999999998	0.002558846505284	2.66084368115286E-11
100.499999999998	0.002542105099062	2.66084368115286E-11
100.599999999998	0.002525441467318	2.66084368115286E-11
100.699999999998	0.002508855517945	2.66084368115286E-11
100.799999999998	0.00249234715652	2.66084368115286E-11
100.899999999998	0.002475916286322	2.66084368115286E-11
100.999999999998	0.002459562808352	2.66084368115286E-11

---

Sheet 3: Arkusz3

	normal	student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson	student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia								rozkłady z analizy danych dane dane pseudolosowe
2009	35	68	19	2001			normal	student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson	student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia		nie zajdzie zdarznienie 1
2010	51	48	27	2002		średnia	47.11	48.38	48.25		zdarzneine jest albo nie ma czyli zajdzie albo raz albo dwa a nie jeden i pół
2011	38	42	22	2003		wariancja	714.182551528391	43.9641959798995	795.928571428571		im więcej symulacji tym nasze wyniki mniej by się różniły
2012	1	48	57	2004
2013	40	50	30	2005
2014	-21	63	56	2006
2015	10	51	91	2007			przedziały	normal	student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson	student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia
2016	89	44	84	2008			30	55	0	4
2017	76	53					50	101	126	4
2018	33	48					70	158	200	6
2019	45	46					90	192	200	7
2020	59	39					110	200	200	8
2021	85	47					130	200	200	8
2022	52	55
2023	-15	58
2024	68	41					przedziały	normal	student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson	student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia
2025	56	41					0-30	55	0	4
2026	6	34					30-50	46	126	0
2027	38	50					50-70	57	74	2
2028	86	53					70-90	34	0	1
2029	35	43					90-110	8	0	1
2030	34	38					110-130	0	0	0
2031	70	44
2032	37	49
2033	39	44					przedziały	normal	student: ile powinno być znarzeń w kolejnych latach poisson	student: wartości obezrwowane z roku Historia
2034	61	43					0-30	27.5%	0.0%	50.0%
2035	45	47					30-50	23.0%	63.0%	0.0%
2036	11	52					50-70	28.5%	37.0%	25.0%
2037	51	46					70-90	17.0%	0.0%	12.5%
2038	59	45					90-110	4.0%	0.0%	12.5%
2039	82	60					110-130	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2040	26	56
2041	48	38
2042	20	46
2043	8	42
2044	76	60
2045	77	39
2046	103	48
2047	43	44
2048	26	49
2049	-17	43
2050	70	51
2051	55	50
2052	63	53
2053	47	43
2054	93	45
2055	37	49
2056	73	54
2057	65	59
2058	48	53
2059	70	51
2060	27	49
2061	36	60
2062	37	55
2063	70	48
2064	104	56
2065	49	60
2066	30	46
2067	24	32
2068	58	45
2069	70	50
2070	59	48
2071	52	51
2072	67	58
2073	64	49
2074	66	57
2075	70	40
2076	30	52
2077	62	49
2078	-1	55
2079	72	45
2080	39	45
2081	57	58
2082	72	48
2083	47	36
2084	43	57
2085	42	43
2086	32	48
2087	63	52
2088	16	46
2089	22	50
2090	57	40
2091	10	40
2092	9	53
2093	7	49
2094	-2	50
2095	34	40
2096	59	51
2097	62	36
2098	31	51
2099	19	56
2100	6	55
2101	76	60
2102	78	41
2103	56	46
2104	8	48
2105	68	52
2106	17	44
2107	-6	45
2108	82	54
	44	47
	76	41
	53	65
	57	39
	33	44
	73	42
	3	52
	26	34
	62	53
	84	34
	42	52
	82	58
	58	57
	58	49
	78	47
	-10	55
	27	55
	54	44
	98	48
	72	49
	82	54
	103	52
	70	54
	29	43
	36	58
	60	43
	18	46
	13	54
	24	45
	91	40
	42	54
	22	45
	88	50
	21	63
	55	45
	52	41
	41	53
	81	50
	33	54
	42	50
	53	50
	26	40
	39	44
	62	45
	53	50
	45	49
	63	47
	45	48
	67	41
	38	49
	83	42
	27	34
	80	47
	32	54
	53	49
	97	55
	22	47
	55	43
	75	50
	16	52
	39	55
	36	58
	52	53
	51	57
	28	40
	100	42
	32	50
	27	38
	12	51
	69	52
	24	49
	29	40
	55	51
	80	44
	-23	41
	51	54
	25	44
	54	52
	28	52
	66	53
	82	34
	84	51
	69	52
	22	61
	26	42
	71	49
	-4	45
	84	38
	51	36
	37	52
	75	59
	78	43
	41	47
	24	46
	12	38
	28	46
	69	57
	37	50
	54	48
	4	48