Ch 03-17 Build a Model Solution |
|
|
|
|
|
3/4/2001 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chapter 3. Solution to Ch 03-17 Build a Model |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cumberland Industries' December 31 Balance Sheets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
$91,450 |
$74,625 |
|
|
Short-term investments |
|
|
$11,400 |
$15,100 |
|
|
Accounts Receivable |
|
|
$103,365 |
$85,527 |
|
|
Inventories |
|
|
$38,444 |
$34,982 |
|
|
Total current assets |
|
|
$244,659 |
$210,234 |
|
|
Fixed assets |
|
|
$67,165 |
$42,436 |
|
|
Total assets |
|
|
$311,824 |
$252,670 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities and equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accounts payable |
|
|
$30,761 |
$23,109 |
|
|
Accruals |
|
|
$30,477 |
$22,656 |
|
|
Notes payable |
|
|
$16,717 |
$14,217 |
|
|
Total current liabilities |
|
|
$77,955 |
$59,982 |
|
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
$76,264 |
$63,914 |
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
$154,219 |
$123,896 |
|
|
Common stock |
|
|
$100,000 |
$90,000 |
|
|
Retained Earnings |
|
|
$57,605 |
$38,774 |
|
|
Total common equity |
|
|
$157,605 |
$128,774 |
|
|
Total liabilities and equity |
|
|
$311,824 |
$252,670 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cumberland Industries December 31 Income Statements |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(in thousands of dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Sales |
|
|
$455,150 |
$364,120 |
|
Expenses excluding depr. and amort. |
|
|
$386,878 |
$321,109 |
EBITDA |
|
|
$68,272 |
$43,011 |
Depreciation and Amortization |
|
|
$7,388 |
$6,752 |
EBIT |
|
|
$60,884 |
$36,259 |
Interest Expense |
|
|
$8,575 |
$7,829 |
EBT |
|
|
$52,309 |
$28,430 |
Taxes (40%) |
|
|
$20,924 |
$11,372 |
|
|
Due to rounding, the numbers calculated in the Chapter 2 problem may differ slightly from these.
Net Income |
|
|
$31,385 |
$17,058 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common dividends |
|
|
$12,554 |
$6,823 |
|
|
Addition to retained earnings |
|
|
$18,831 |
$10,235 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Data |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Year-end Stock Price |
|
|
$17.25 |
$14.75 |
|
|
# of shares (in thousands) |
|
|
10,000 |
9,000 |
|
|
Lease payment |
|
|
$75,000 |
$75,000 |
|
|
Sinking fund payment |
|
|
$0 |
$0 |
|
|
Tax rate |
|
|
40% |
40% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ratio Analysis |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
Industry Avg |
|
Liquidity Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current Ratio |
|
|
3.14 |
3.50 |
N |
|
Quick Ratio |
|
|
2.65 |
2.92 |
O |
|
Asset Management Ratios |
|
|
|
|
T |
|
Inventory Turnover |
|
|
11.84 |
10.41 |
|
|
Days Sales Outstanding |
|
|
81.76 |
84.56 |
A |
|
Fixed Assets Turnover |
|
|
6.78 |
8.58 |
V |
|
Total Assets Turnover |
|
|
1.46 |
1.44 |
A |
|
Debt Management Ratios |
|
|
|
|
I |
|
Debt Ratio |
|
|
49.46% |
49.03% |
L |
|
Times-interest-earned ratio |
|
|
7.10 |
4.63 |
A |
|
EBITDA coverage ratio |
|
|
1.71 |
1.42 |
B |
|
Profitability Ratios |
|
|
|
|
L |
|
Profit Margin |
|
|
6.90% |
4.68% |
E |
|
Basic Earning Power |
|
|
19.53% |
14.35% |
|
|
Return on Assets |
|
|
10.06% |
6.75% |
|
|
Return on Equity |
|
|
19.91% |
13.25% |
|
|
Market Value Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share |
|
|
$3.14 |
$1.90 |
|
|
Price-to-earnings ratio |
|
|
5.50 |
7.78 |
|
|
Cash flow per share |
|
|
$3.88 |
$2.65 |
|
|
Price-to-cash flow ratio |
|
|
4.45 |
5.58 |
|
|
Book Value per share |
|
|
$15.76 |
$14.31 |
|
|
Market-to-book ratio |
|
|
1.09 |
1.03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Generally, we would have industry average data which could be used for comparative purposes, but such |
|
|
|
|
|
|
data is not available for this problem. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
a. Has Cumberland's liquidity position improved or worsened? Explain. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Since the current ratio decreased from 3.50 to 3.14, and the quick ratio from 2.92 to 2.65, we conclude that |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cumberland's liquidity position has deteriorated. If industry average data were available, we would |
|
|
|
|
|
|
compare Cumberland with those averages. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
b. Has Cumberland's ability to manage its assets improved or worsened? Explain. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Results of Cumberland's asset management ratios are inconclusive. The inventory turnover ratio and day's |
|
|
|
|
|
|
sales outstanding both improved, which suggests better management. However, the fixed and total asset |
|
|
|
|
|
|
turnover ratios both worsened. Therefore, it is impossible to say definitively if asset management improved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
or declined. Again, industry average data would be useful. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
c. How has Cumberland's profitability changed during the last year? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cumberland's profitability greatly improved in the year 2001. All profit measures increased greatly. As we |
|
|
|
|
|
|
shall see from the DuPont analysis below, the primary reason for this improvement was that costs increased |
|
|
|
|
|
|
less rapidly than sales, i.e., the company's cost controls were good. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
d. Perform an extended Du Pont analysis for Cumberland for 2000 and 2001. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ROE = |
PM x |
TA Turnover x Equity Multiplier |
|
|
|
2000 |
19.91% |
6.90% |
1.46 |
1.98 |
|
|
1999 |
13.25% |
4.68% |
1.44 |
1.96 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Here we see that the TA turnover and Equity Multiplier were both essentially unchanged, while the Profit |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Margin improved substantially. That improvement in the PM led to the sizeable increase in the ROE. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
With only two years of data, it is not worthwhile constructing graphs, but if we had several more years of |
|
|
|
|
|
|
data, we would make some graphs to facilitate interpreting the results. Similarly, if we had industry average |
|
|
|
|
|
|
data, we would surely compare Cumberland with its peers. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
e. Perform a common size analysis. What has happened to the composition |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(that is, percentage in each category) of assets and liabilities? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common Size Balance Sheets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
29.3% |
29.5% |
|
|
Short-term investments |
|
|
3.7% |
6.0% |
|
|
Accounts Receivable |
|
|
33.1% |
33.8% |
|
|
Inventories |
|
|
12.3% |
13.8% |
|
|
Total current assets |
|
|
78.5% |
83.2% |
|
|
Fixed assets |
|
|
21.5% |
16.8% |
|
|
Total assets |
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities and equity |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Accounts payable |
|
|
9.9% |
9.1% |
|
|
Accruals |
|
|
9.8% |
9.0% |
|
|
Notes payable |
|
|
5.4% |
5.6% |
|
|
Total current liabilities |
|
|
25.0% |
23.7% |
|
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
24.5% |
25.3% |
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
49.5% |
49.0% |
|
|
Common stock |
|
|
32.1% |
35.6% |
|
|
Retained Earnings |
|
|
18.5% |
15.3% |
|
|
Total common equity |
|
|
50.5% |
51.0% |
|
|
Total liabilities and equity |
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common Size Income Statements |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Sales |
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
|
|
Expenses excluding depr. and amort. |
|
|
85.0% |
88.2% |
|
|
EBITDA |
|
|
15.0% |
11.8% |
|
|
Depreciation and Amortization |
|
|
1.6% |
1.9% |
|
|
EBIT |
|
|
13.4% |
10.0% |
|
|
Interest Expense |
|
|
1.9% |
2.2% |
|
|
EBT |
|
|
11.5% |
7.8% |
|
|
Taxes (40%) |
|
|
4.6% |
3.1% |
|
|
Net Income |
|
|
6.9% |
4.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common size analysis shows that the composition of assets has not changed |
|
|
|
|
|
|
very much, with all percentages roughly the same in each year. However, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
expenses are much lower in 2001. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
f. Perform a percent change analysis. What does this tell you about the change in profitability |
|
|
|
|
|
|
and asset utilization? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percent Change Balance Sheets |
|
|
|
Base |
|
|
Assets |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents |
|
|
22.5% |
0.0% |
|
|
Short-term investments |
|
|
-24.5% |
0.0% |
|
|
Accounts Receivable |
|
|
20.9% |
0.0% |
|
|
Inventories |
|
|
9.9% |
0.0% |
|
|
Total current assets |
|
|
16.4% |
0.0% |
|
|
Fixed assets |
|
|
58.3% |
0.0% |
|
|
Total assets |
|
|
23.4% |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Base |
|
|
Liabilities and equity |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Accounts payable |
|
|
33.1% |
0.0% |
|
|
Accruals |
|
|
34.5% |
0.0% |
|
|
Notes payable |
|
|
17.6% |
0.0% |
|
|
Total current liabilities |
|
|
30.0% |
0.0% |
|
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
19.3% |
0.0% |
|
|
Total liabilities |
|
|
24.5% |
0.0% |
|
|
Common stock |
|
|
11.1% |
0.0% |
|
|
Retained Earnings |
|
|
48.6% |
0.0% |
|
|
Total common equity |
|
|
22.4% |
0.0% |
|
|
Total liabilities and equity |
|
|
23.4% |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Base |
|
|
Percent Change Income Statements |
|
|
2001 |
2000 |
|
|
Sales |
|
|
25.0% |
0.0% |
|
|
Expenses excluding depr. and amort. |
|
|
20.5% |
0.0% |
|
|
EBITDA |
|
|
58.7% |
0.0% |
|
|
Depreciation and Amortization |
|
|
9.4% |
0.0% |
|
|
EBIT |
|
|
67.9% |
0.0% |
|
|
Interest Expense |
|
|
9.5% |
0.0% |
|
|
EBT |
|
|
84.0% |
0.0% |
|
|
Taxes (40%) |
|
|
84.0% |
0.0% |
|
|
Net Income |
|
|
84.0% |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percent change analysis shows that sales have increased at a rate of 25%, but |
|
|
|
|
|
|
expenses have increased by only 20.5%. Also, assets have increased at 23.4%, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
a rate slightly less than sales. In summary, this shows that profitability has |
|
|
|
|
|
|
improved quite a bit, while asset utilization has improved slightly (since assets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
did not grow as much as sales.) |
|
|
|
|
|
|