Ch03 17

Ch 03-17 Build a Model Solution




3/4/2001







Chapter 3. Solution to Ch 03-17 Build a Model







Cumberland Industries' December 31 Balance Sheets





(in thousands of dollars)












Assets

2001 2000

Cash and cash equivalents

$91,450 $74,625

Short-term investments

$11,400 $15,100

Accounts Receivable

$103,365 $85,527

Inventories

$38,444 $34,982

Total current assets

$244,659 $210,234

Fixed assets

$67,165 $42,436

Total assets

$311,824 $252,670








Liabilities and equity





Accounts payable

$30,761 $23,109

Accruals

$30,477 $22,656

Notes payable

$16,717 $14,217

Total current liabilities

$77,955 $59,982

Long-term debt

$76,264 $63,914

Total liabilities

$154,219 $123,896

Common stock

$100,000 $90,000

Retained Earnings

$57,605 $38,774

Total common equity

$157,605 $128,774

Total liabilities and equity

$311,824 $252,670








Cumberland Industries December 31 Income Statements





(in thousands of dollars)








2001 2000

Sales

$455,150 $364,120
Expenses excluding depr. and amort.

$386,878 $321,109
EBITDA

$68,272 $43,011
Depreciation and Amortization

$7,388 $6,752
EBIT

$60,884 $36,259
Interest Expense

$8,575 $7,829
EBT

$52,309 $28,430
Taxes (40%)

$20,924 $11,372

Due to rounding, the numbers calculated in the Chapter 2 problem may differ slightly from these. Net Income

$31,385 $17,058








Common dividends

$12,554 $6,823

Addition to retained earnings

$18,831 $10,235








Other Data

2001 2000

Year-end Stock Price

$17.25 $14.75

# of shares (in thousands)

10,000 9,000

Lease payment

$75,000 $75,000

Sinking fund payment

$0 $0

Tax rate

40% 40%








Ratio Analysis

2001 2000 Industry Avg
Liquidity Ratios





Current Ratio

3.14 3.50 N
Quick Ratio

2.65 2.92 O
Asset Management Ratios



T
Inventory Turnover

11.84 10.41

Days Sales Outstanding

81.76 84.56 A
Fixed Assets Turnover

6.78 8.58 V
Total Assets Turnover

1.46 1.44 A
Debt Management Ratios



I
Debt Ratio

49.46% 49.03% L
Times-interest-earned ratio

7.10 4.63 A
EBITDA coverage ratio

1.71 1.42 B
Profitability Ratios



L
Profit Margin

6.90% 4.68% E
Basic Earning Power

19.53% 14.35%

Return on Assets

10.06% 6.75%

Return on Equity

19.91% 13.25%

Market Value Ratios





Earnings per share

$3.14 $1.90

Price-to-earnings ratio

5.50 7.78

Cash flow per share

$3.88 $2.65

Price-to-cash flow ratio

4.45 5.58

Book Value per share

$15.76 $14.31

Market-to-book ratio

1.09 1.03








Generally, we would have industry average data which could be used for comparative purposes, but such





data is not available for this problem.












a. Has Cumberland's liquidity position improved or worsened? Explain.





Since the current ratio decreased from 3.50 to 3.14, and the quick ratio from 2.92 to 2.65, we conclude that





Cumberland's liquidity position has deteriorated. If industry average data were available, we would





compare Cumberland with those averages.












b. Has Cumberland's ability to manage its assets improved or worsened? Explain.





Results of Cumberland's asset management ratios are inconclusive. The inventory turnover ratio and day's





sales outstanding both improved, which suggests better management. However, the fixed and total asset





turnover ratios both worsened. Therefore, it is impossible to say definitively if asset management improved





or declined. Again, industry average data would be useful.












c. How has Cumberland's profitability changed during the last year?





Cumberland's profitability greatly improved in the year 2001. All profit measures increased greatly. As we





shall see from the DuPont analysis below, the primary reason for this improvement was that costs increased





less rapidly than sales, i.e., the company's cost controls were good.












d. Perform an extended Du Pont analysis for Cumberland for 2000 and 2001.






ROE = PM x TA Turnover x Equity Multiplier


2000 19.91% 6.90% 1.46 1.98

1999 13.25% 4.68% 1.44 1.96








Here we see that the TA turnover and Equity Multiplier were both essentially unchanged, while the Profit





Margin improved substantially. That improvement in the PM led to the sizeable increase in the ROE.












With only two years of data, it is not worthwhile constructing graphs, but if we had several more years of





data, we would make some graphs to facilitate interpreting the results. Similarly, if we had industry average





data, we would surely compare Cumberland with its peers.












e. Perform a common size analysis. What has happened to the composition





(that is, percentage in each category) of assets and liabilities?












Common Size Balance Sheets





Assets

2001 2000

Cash and cash equivalents

29.3% 29.5%

Short-term investments

3.7% 6.0%

Accounts Receivable

33.1% 33.8%

Inventories

12.3% 13.8%

Total current assets

78.5% 83.2%

Fixed assets

21.5% 16.8%

Total assets

100.0% 100.0%








Liabilities and equity

2001 2000

Accounts payable

9.9% 9.1%

Accruals

9.8% 9.0%

Notes payable

5.4% 5.6%

Total current liabilities

25.0% 23.7%

Long-term debt

24.5% 25.3%

Total liabilities

49.5% 49.0%

Common stock

32.1% 35.6%

Retained Earnings

18.5% 15.3%

Total common equity

50.5% 51.0%

Total liabilities and equity

100.0% 100.0%








Common Size Income Statements

2001 2000

Sales

100.0% 100.0%

Expenses excluding depr. and amort.

85.0% 88.2%

EBITDA

15.0% 11.8%

Depreciation and Amortization

1.6% 1.9%

EBIT

13.4% 10.0%

Interest Expense

1.9% 2.2%

EBT

11.5% 7.8%

Taxes (40%)

4.6% 3.1%

Net Income

6.9% 4.7%








Common size analysis shows that the composition of assets has not changed





very much, with all percentages roughly the same in each year. However,





expenses are much lower in 2001.



















f. Perform a percent change analysis. What does this tell you about the change in profitability





and asset utilization?












Percent Change Balance Sheets


Base

Assets

2001 2000

Cash and cash equivalents

22.5% 0.0%

Short-term investments

-24.5% 0.0%

Accounts Receivable

20.9% 0.0%

Inventories

9.9% 0.0%

Total current assets

16.4% 0.0%

Fixed assets

58.3% 0.0%

Total assets

23.4% 0.0%












Base

Liabilities and equity

2001 2000

Accounts payable

33.1% 0.0%

Accruals

34.5% 0.0%

Notes payable

17.6% 0.0%

Total current liabilities

30.0% 0.0%

Long-term debt

19.3% 0.0%

Total liabilities

24.5% 0.0%

Common stock

11.1% 0.0%

Retained Earnings

48.6% 0.0%

Total common equity

22.4% 0.0%

Total liabilities and equity

23.4% 0.0%












Base

Percent Change Income Statements

2001 2000

Sales

25.0% 0.0%

Expenses excluding depr. and amort.

20.5% 0.0%

EBITDA

58.7% 0.0%

Depreciation and Amortization

9.4% 0.0%

EBIT

67.9% 0.0%

Interest Expense

9.5% 0.0%

EBT

84.0% 0.0%

Taxes (40%)

84.0% 0.0%

Net Income

84.0% 0.0%








Percent change analysis shows that sales have increased at a rate of 25%, but





expenses have increased by only 20.5%. Also, assets have increased at 23.4%,





a rate slightly less than sales. In summary, this shows that profitability has





improved quite a bit, while asset utilization has improved slightly (since assets





did not grow as much as sales.)






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