Analiza otrzymanych materiałów |
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HOMEWORK: TAT i MK (wzory na dole) |
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DYNAMIKA YoY |
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STRUKTURA |
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ISTOTNOŚĆ ZMIAN |
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2014 |
2013 |
2012 |
2011 |
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14/13 |
13/12 |
12/11 |
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2014 |
2013 |
2012 |
2011 |
12/11 |
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14/13 |
13/12 |
12/11 |
Przychody (tys. PLN) |
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Sales |
58,407 |
53,193 |
50,486 |
47,195 |
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9.8% |
5.4% |
7.0% |
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97.5% |
96.7% |
97.6% |
98.1% |
6.84 |
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91% |
81% |
91% |
Other operating |
1,207 |
1,590 |
1,006 |
702 |
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-24.1% |
58.1% |
43.3% |
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2.0% |
2.9% |
1.9% |
1.5% |
0.63 |
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7% |
18% |
8% |
Financial |
319 |
197 |
236 |
234 |
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61.9% |
-16.5% |
0.9% |
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0.5% |
0.4% |
0.5% |
0.5% |
0.00 |
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2% |
1% |
0% |
Extraordinary |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
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0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
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0% |
0% |
0% |
Total |
59,933 |
54,980 |
51,728 |
48,131 |
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9.0% |
6.3% |
7.5% |
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7.47 |
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DYNAMIKA YoY |
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STRUKTURA |
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ISTOTNOŚĆ ZMIANY KOSZTÓW |
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Koszty (tys. PLN) |
2014 |
2013 |
2012 |
2011 |
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14/13 |
13/12 |
12/11 |
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2014 |
2013 |
2012 |
2011 |
12/11 |
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14/13 |
13/12 |
12/11 |
COGS |
39,813 |
36,509 |
33,568 |
30,045 |
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9.0% |
8.8% |
11.7% |
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77.7% |
78.4% |
75.0% |
72.2% |
8.47 |
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70% |
61% |
68% |
Sales cost |
7,184 |
6,261 |
7,448 |
6,938 |
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14.7% |
-15.9% |
7.4% |
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14.0% |
13.4% |
16.6% |
16.7% |
1.23 |
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20% |
25% |
10% |
G&A cost |
3,423 |
3,324 |
2,953 |
3,322 |
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3.0% |
12.6% |
-11.1% |
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6.7% |
7.1% |
6.6% |
8.0% |
0.89 |
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2% |
8% |
7% |
Other operating cost |
762 |
416 |
653 |
1,269 |
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83.2% |
-36.3% |
-48.5% |
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1.5% |
0.9% |
1.5% |
3.1% |
1.48 |
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7% |
5% |
12% |
Financial cost |
79 |
57 |
162 |
30 |
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38.6% |
-64.8% |
440.0% |
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0.2% |
0.1% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.32 |
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0% |
2% |
3% |
Koszty działalności gospodarczej |
51,261 |
46,567 |
44,784 |
41,604 |
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10.08% |
3.98% |
7.64% |
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12.38 |
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Koszty są mniejsze od przychodów. Pozytywne, bo mamy hajsiwo na papierze. |
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Wzrost kosztów w latach 11/12 i 13/14 był podobny do wzrostu przychodów. W latach 12/13 wzrost przychodów był zauważalnie wiekszy niż wzrost kosztów, co przełożyło się na większe zyski przedsiębiorstwa. |
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Koszt sprzedanych produktów i materiałów jest dominującym kosztem działalności gospodarczej, jego udział stanowił 72.2% w 2011 i na przestrzeni analizowanych lat rośnie do poziomu 77.7%. |
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Dynamika wzrostu tych kosztów jest stosunkowo wysoka i wynosi 12% w 2012, 8.8% w 2013 i 9% w 2014. W efekcie koszty te rosną szybciej niż przychody ze sprzedaży. Wzrost kosztów czynników wytwórczych nie jest całkowicie rekompensowany wzrostem cen. Wystepuje tu problem z elastyczności cenową produkowanych produktów. |
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Zmniejszenie kosztów sprzedazy w 2012/2013 roku jest przejawem zarządzania kosztami w przedsiębiorstwie. Przedsiębiorstwo wzrost COGS stara się kompensować cięciem innych kosztów. W 2011/2012 ogólnego zarządu a w 2012/2013 kosztów sprzedaży. |
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Koszty ogólnego zarządu w 2011 wynoszą ok. 8% w strukturze kosztów i następnie maleją do 6.6% po czym utrzymują się na względnie stałym poziomie 7%. |
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Benchmark G&A cost -> 10% i 13%. Dobrze aby nie przekraczały 10%. Dobrze aby nie przekraczały 13% w sektorze publicznym. |
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Koszty finansowe - odestki i inne koszty związane z obsługą długu. W przedsiębiorstwie nie są istotne. |
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Wzrost pozostałych kosztów operacyjnych spowodowany jest działalnością księgowych i związany jest z przeszacowaniem aktywów niefinansowych. |
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Koszty wg rodzaju |
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Amortisation |
7214 |
6701 |
5328 |
5104 |
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7.7% |
25.8% |
4.4% |
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12.9% |
12.9% |
11.1% |
10.2% |
0.45 |
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12% |
22% |
4% |
Materials&Energy |
26522 |
25177 |
21595 |
24862 |
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5.3% |
16.6% |
-13.1% |
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47.3% |
48.6% |
44.8% |
49.8% |
6.54 |
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32% |
56% |
64% |
External services |
3861 |
3171 |
3857 |
3211 |
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21.8% |
-17.8% |
20.1% |
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6.9% |
6.1% |
8.0% |
6.4% |
1.29 |
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16% |
11% |
13% |
Fees&taxes |
151 |
118 |
143 |
237 |
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28.0% |
-17.5% |
-39.7% |
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0.3% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
0.19 |
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1% |
0% |
2% |
Workforce |
13123 |
12085 |
12346 |
11929 |
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8.6% |
-2.1% |
3.5% |
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23.4% |
23.3% |
25.6% |
23.9% |
0.84 |
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25% |
4% |
8% |
Insurance |
2742 |
2530 |
2540 |
2153 |
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8.4% |
-0.4% |
18.0% |
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4.9% |
4.9% |
5.3% |
4.3% |
0.78 |
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5% |
0% |
8% |
Other |
1213 |
1018 |
1197 |
1215 |
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19.2% |
-15.0% |
-1.5% |
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2.2% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
2.4% |
0.04 |
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5% |
3% |
0% |
travels |
357 |
299 |
336 |
326 |
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19.4% |
-11.0% |
3.1% |
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0.6% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.7% |
0.02 |
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1% |
1% |
0% |
marketing |
618 |
486 |
665 |
668 |
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27.2% |
-26.9% |
-0.4% |
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1.1% |
0.9% |
1.4% |
1.3% |
0.01 |
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3% |
3% |
0% |
insurances |
238 |
233 |
196 |
221 |
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2.1% |
18.9% |
-11.3% |
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0.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.05 |
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0% |
1% |
0% |
other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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n/a |
n/a |
n/a |
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0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
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0% |
0% |
0% |
Total |
56039 |
51818 |
48203 |
49926 |
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10.20 |
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WSKAŹNIKI!!! |
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Koszty wg miejsc powstawania |
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COGS |
39,813 |
36,509 |
33,568 |
30,045 |
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Sales cost |
7,184 |
6,261 |
7,448 |
6,938 |
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G&A cost |
3,423 |
3,324 |
2,953 |
3,322 |
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Głównymi kosztami są koszty sprzedanych produktów, towarów i materiałów. Stanowią one w 2011 63% w odniesieniu do przychodów, natomiast w latach następnych ich poziom rośnie do 68%. |
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Wzrost kosztów sprzedanych produktów, towarów i materiałów jest wynikiem wzrostu kosztów czynników produkcji. Przedsiębiorstwo nie jest wstanie przerzucić wzrostu tych kosztów na klienta w efekcie czego poziom tych kosztów rośnie o 3 p.p. a w 2013 o kolejne 2 p.p. Jest to jeden z przejawów ryzyka operacyjnego. wynika z braku elastyczności cenowej. |
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Przedsiębiorstwo stara się kompensować wzrost poziomu COGS cięciem kosztów ogólnego zarządu zwłaszcza w 2012 roku i kosztó sprzedaży w 2013 roku. |
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COGS/Sales |
68.2% |
68.6% |
66.5% |
63.7% |
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Sales cost/Sales |
12.3% |
11.8% |
14.8% |
14.7% |
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G&A cost/Sales |
5.9% |
6.2% |
5.8% |
7.0% |
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Total |
86.3% |
86.7% |
87.1% |
85.4% |
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Koszty rodzajowe |
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Amortisation |
7214 |
6701 |
5328 |
5104 |
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12.04% |
11.18% |
8.89% |
8.52% |
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1.07655573794956 |
1.2576951951952 |
0 |
1.07655573794956 |
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Materials&Energy |
26522 |
25177 |
21595 |
24862 |
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44.25% |
42.01% |
36.03% |
41.48% |
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1.0534217738412 |
1.16587172956703 |
0 |
1.0534217738412 |
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External services |
3861 |
3171 |
3857 |
3211 |
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6.44% |
5.29% |
6.44% |
5.36% |
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1.21759697256386 |
0.822141560798548 |
0 |
1.21759697256386 |
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Fees&taxes |
151 |
118 |
143 |
237 |
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0.25% |
0.20% |
0.24% |
0.40% |
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1.27966101694915 |
0.825174825174825 |
0 |
1.27966101694915 |
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Workforce |
13123 |
12085 |
12346 |
11929 |
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21.90% |
20.16% |
20.60% |
19.90% |
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1.08589160115846 |
0.978859549651709 |
0 |
1.08589160115846 |
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Insurance |
2742 |
2530 |
2540 |
2153 |
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4.58% |
4.22% |
4.24% |
3.59% |
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1.08379446640316 |
0.996062992125984 |
0 |
1.08379446640316 |
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Other |
1213 |
1018 |
1197 |
1215 |
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2.02% |
1.70% |
2.00% |
2.03% |
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1.19155206286837 |
0.850459482038429 |
0 |
1.19155206286837 |
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travels |
357 |
299 |
336 |
326 |
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marketing |
618 |
486 |
665 |
668 |
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insurances |
238 |
233 |
196 |
221 |
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other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
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Amortisation/Sales |
12.4% |
12.6% |
10.6% |
10.8% |
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Materials&Energy/Sales |
45.4% |
47.3% |
42.8% |
52.7% |
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External services/Sales |
6.6% |
6.0% |
7.6% |
6.8% |
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Fees&taxes/Sales |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.3% |
0.5% |
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Workforce/Sales |
22.5% |
22.7% |
24.5% |
25.3% |
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Insurance/Sales |
4.7% |
4.8% |
5.0% |
4.6% |
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Other /Sales |
2.1% |
1.9% |
2.4% |
2.6% |
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travels/Sales |
0.6% |
0.6% |
0.7% |
0.7% |
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marketing/Sales |
1.1% |
0.9% |
1.3% |
1.4% |
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insurances/Sales |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.4% |
0.5% |
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other/Sales |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
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Koszty amortyzacji rosną. Początkowo są na poziomie 10.8% po czym wzrastają do 12.4% w 2014 roku. |
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Wyższa amortyzacje jest związana z inwestycjami głównie w intangible assets. |
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Koszty usług obcych oscylują w granicach 6-7% przychodów ze sprzedaży. |
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ZYSKI |
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Zysk brutto ze sprzedaży |
18,594 |
16,684 |
16,918 |
17,150 |
|
11.4% |
-1.4% |
-1.4% |
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Zysk ze sprzedaży |
7,987 |
7,099 |
6,517 |
6,890 |
|
12.5% |
8.9% |
-5.4% |
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EBIT |
8,432 |
8,273 |
6,870 |
6,323 |
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1.9% |
20.4% |
8.7% |
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EBITDA |
15,646 |
14,974 |
12,198 |
11,427 |
|
4.5% |
22.8% |
6.7% |
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Zysk z dz. gosp. |
8,672 |
8,413 |
6,944 |
6,527 |
|
3.1% |
21.2% |
6.4% |
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Zysk brutto |
8,672 |
8,413 |
6,944 |
6,527 |
|
3.1% |
21.2% |
6.4% |
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Zysk netto |
8,026 |
7,563 |
6,374 |
6,068 |
|
6.1% |
18.7% |
5.0% |
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Zysk zatrzymany |
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Podatek dochodowy |
646 |
850 |
570 |
459 |
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Zysk brutto ze sprzedaży rośnie jedynie w 2014 roku. Do 2013 rokrocznie maleje odpowiednio o 1.4% w 2012 i 1.4% w 2013 w porównaniu do 2012. |
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MARŻA |
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ZMIANA W P.P. |
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sprzedażowa |
13.7% |
13.3% |
12.9% |
14.6% |
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0.3 |
0.4 |
-1.7 |
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EBIT |
14.4% |
15.6% |
13.6% |
13.4% |
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-1.1 |
1.9 |
0.2 |
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EBITDA |
26.8% |
28.2% |
24.2% |
24.2% |
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-1.4 |
4.0 |
-0.1 |
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netto (ROS) |
13.4% |
13.8% |
12.3% |
12.6% |
|
-0.4 |
1.4 |
-0.3 |
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RENTOWNOŚĆ |
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Aktywa razem |
81,155 |
76,630 |
74,847 |
72,974 |
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Średni stan aktywów |
78,893 |
75,739 |
73,911 |
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ROA |
10.69% |
10.92% |
9.30% |
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-0.24 |
1.63 |
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Pasywa razem |
81,155 |
76,630 |
74,847 |
72,974 |
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Średnie pasywa razem |
78,893 |
75,739 |
73,911 |
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Odsetki |
12 |
21 |
16 |
8 |
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Zysk netto + odestki*(1-T) |
8,036 |
7,580 |
6,387 |
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Podatek dochodowy |
19% |
19% |
19% |
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ROC |
10.19% |
10.01% |
8.64% |
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0.18 |
1.37 |
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Kapitały własne |
68,181 |
64,355 |
62,952 |
62,178 |
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Kapitały własne przeciętnie |
66,268 |
63,654 |
62,565 |
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ROE |
13.09% |
13.22% |
11.10% |
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-0.13 |
2.12 |
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TAT (wskaźnik rotacji aktywów) |
74.0% |
70.2% |
68.3% |
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MK (mnożnik kapitałowy) |
1.19 |
1.19 |
1.18 |
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WK (wskaźnik kapitałowy; odwrotność MK) |
0.84 |
0.84 |
0.85 |
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Mnoznik kapitałowy - niska wartość. |
Tak niska wartość tego wskaźnika wskazuje na bardzo małe zadłużenie, gdyż zobowiązania i rezerwy nie przekraczają 1/5 kapitałów własnych |
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MODEL DU PONT'A |
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ROE |
11.80% |
11.50% |
9.94% |
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ROS |
13.4% |
13.8% |
12.3% |
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TAT |
74.0% |
70.2% |
68.3% |
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MK |
1.19 |
1.19 |
1.18 |
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DU PONT |
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WPLYW POSZCZEGOLNYCH CZYNNIKOW |
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2014 |
2013 |
2012 |
2011 |
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METODA PODSTAWIEN LANCUCHOWYCH |
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Zysk netto |
|
8026 |
7563 |
6374 |
6068 |
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ODCHYLENIE |
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Przychody ogółem |
|
59933 |
54980 |
51728 |
48131 |
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Stan aktywów |
|
81155 |
76630 |
74847 |
72974 |
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ROE = ROS * TAT * MK |
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kapitał własny |
|
68181 |
64355 |
62952 |
62178 |
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ROE 2013 |
11.88% |
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Zysk netto |
|
8026 |
7563 |
6374 |
6068 |
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ROE 2013' |
11.57% |
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Zysk z działalności op |
|
8432 |
8273 |
6870 |
6323 |
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ROE 2013'' |
12.10% |
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PRZEC AKTYWA |
|
78892.5 |
75738.5 |
73910.5 |
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ROE 2013''' |
12.11% |
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PRZEC KAP WL |
|
66268 |
63653.5 |
62565 |
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ODCHYLENIA |
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R ROS |
-0.31% |
RENTOWNOSC KAPITALOW WLASNYCH MIEDZY 14/13 MALEJE O 0.31, ZE WZGLĘDU NA MALEJACA RENTOWOSC SPRZEDAZY |
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R TAT |
0.54% |
ROTACJA AKTYWOW WPLYWA NAJLEPIEJ NA RENTOWNOSC KAPITALOW WLASNYCH, ROSNIE O 0,54 |
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2014 |
2013 |
2012 |
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R MK |
0.01% |
ZADLUZENIE MINIMALNIE ROSNIE |
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ROS |
13.39% |
13.76% |
12.32% |
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R |
0.23% |
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MK |
1.19050673024688 |
1.1898560173439 |
1.1813394070167 |
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TAT |
0.759679310454099 |
0.725918786350403 |
0.699873495646762 |
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ROE |
12.11% |
11.88% |
10.19% |
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ROA |
10.69% |
10.92% |
9.30% |
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