BIG MIKE’S

REDNAPP BET

THE ULTIMATE EXPERIENCE IN

FOOTBALL TRADING

By Mike Marsland

CONTENTS

Foreword

1. Glossary of commonly used terms

2.

Background to the System

- a) Correct score betting
- b) Harry Redknapp
- c) Live advice/ Keeping in touch

3. The Redknapp Bet – The theory

i) Part 1- before Kick Off
- a) correct score, 0-0
- b) other correct scores
- c) INSURANCE!!!!

ii) Part 2 – in-running! (After Kick-Off)

4. The Redknapp Bet – The Real-time
Example!

5.Example Number 2

6. Summary of further trades

7. Extra plays



i) Foreword

The betting exchanges, betfair, and, to a lesser extent, betdaq, have taken
gambling to a new level. We are now able to actually TRADE on these
websites as city traders do, but not on markets such as oil and gold. We
can trade horse racing, cricket and football for example. And with betfair
introducing ‘in-running’ markets on many sports, we can trade in and out
of these markets depending on how an event progresses, while watching
them live.

As Prime Minister Harold Macmillan once said, ‘we have never had it so
good’ Absolutely true.

We now have the opportunity to set up a trading position before, or even
after, the Kick off in a football match (as that is what we will concentrate
on in this book). With volatile markets, we can even trade in and out and
make a profit before the start.

In the past year, the ‘Football cash generator’ system has taken the
football trading market by storm. With a combination of clever marketing
and an affiliate scheme, the initial reaction of buyers is that they have
found their ‘Holy Grail’ to betting, yet it still has its detractors. The two
main criticisms I have of the system are:

i.

the outright liability, and

ii.

the bet is not played COMPETITIVELY in running.

I have actively traded live football matches on betfair for a few years
now, and advised many of my clients in the way I approach a game. The
time is now right, with liquidity on betfair at an all time high, to reveal
my secrets, in the ULTIMATE football trading system!

1.Glossary of commonly used terms

Back – place a bet on an event to happen. i.e. if you think a team will
win, back them to win.

Betfair – website we use to trade these bets.

Betdaq – alternative to betfair, but not as much liquidity

Green Screen – same as a win/win situation, all outcomes will
produce a profit.

Lay – place a bet on an event not to happen. i.e. if you think a team
will lose, lay them.

MSN messenger/Windows Messenger – free download from
Microsoft allowing users to ‘chat’ on line

Trade – process of backing and laying with the aim of getting into a
win/win situation

Win/win – the aim of trading, to be in a position of profiting on an
event whatever the outcome.

Mine – An expression I use to place lays in running at lower odds.
The idea is to use these levels for the lay to be matched instead of
constantly watching the screen.

Peg – The reverse of the `mine`. In effect bets which are placed at a
higher level than existing at present in a market.

Keep – A brilliant new innovation by betfair. Simply you can insert
all your proposed mines and pegs before the match and walk away

without having to watch the game! Cery useful in Sports taking
place on another Continent!

2.Background to the System

a) Correct score betting

I have played the correct score markets for many years and have tried to
specialise in tight games where both sides seemed very evenly matched –
both sides having decent defences, but also players who can turn a game
at any time. 2 things then happened

1) Sky also appear to chose games using a similar criteria
2) Betfair now have ‘in-running’ markets on all live games

So, my correct score bets have evolved into the Redknapp trading bet on
live games. How many times have you missed placing a correct score bet
on a game? Not any more, with the exchanges, we can bet on these
markets in-running and trade them as well.

b) Harry Redkapp

The name of the bet came from the first game I advised my private clients
on which was Latvia versus Wales in 2004. (Note: long before the
‘Football Cash Generator’ was released to the public!) The game was
tight for an hour which was sufficient for us to pull out with an excellent

profit BUT, the twitchiness of the members also trading the match
cemented the title for the bet! Anyone who has seen Harry Redknapp in
the dug out or stands when watching the teams under his control will
understand exactly what he goes through during the course of the 90
minutes! Members were going through the same traumatic situations with
any attack by the teams in question!

After this match I decided to bring in some more alterations and gradually
over the next games and months, continued to make strategic changes to
the bet so that it has become what it is today. It is now less volatile as
when commenced, profits are now more consistent instead of swings
from one extreme to the other.

Last season there were 60 games traded, with 41 games producing profits,
6 breaking even and 13 losing trades. Total profit is well in excess of
£1000, with £100 staked on each match, BUT, the NET LIABILITY on
any match was only £30 due to the clever way we staked across different
markets which encompassed the `First Goals Market` - which is the time
of the first goal in any game.

Some members played the trades with many more times the stake
advised, thus making a much bigger profit, and often once members had
understood the trade they would play in many more matches a week than
the ones I advised. Remember always though that the key element is to
find relatively even matches. SO important.

c) Live advice / Keeping in touch

Some of you may be wondering how I could advise a trading bet if it was
played in running. Through the use of the MSN/Windows Messenger
systems available free to download from the internet, I was able to advise
an opening trading position via email then, after Kick off, advise clients
which trades to make during the game. With practice however, many
members were able to trade other matches in exactly the same way as I
did so making consistently large profits all season. The best 2 Messenger
systems found were the MSN & also Windows Messenger should you
require to download.

The interactivness has produced some excellent information passed
between members, enabling me to fine tune the bet even further to what it
is today. I would go so far as to say that this trading bet would stand the
test of time in any continent where two teams of reasonably equal ability

contest the event. It will also give a lot of fun with little financial
downside.

As part of your purchase of this ebook, you are entitled to join in on 5
‘live’ games via the Messenger. In addition you will also receive a full
months subscription to my daily email service and also be able to join in
discussions on my forum on

www.bigmikebetting.co.uk/forum

You will

be able to interact with myself, other buyers of the book, some of my full
members, and also 3maybe a couple of my senior members. These senior
members have not only helped develop the bet to what it is today, but will
also give you as much help and guidance in this bet as you need. Once the
5 games have elapsed, you will have an option to join my sports betting
service which includes the interactive link on many live games, or, as
many members do, ‘go it alone’! I can assure you that you will have more
than enough knowledge to trade this bet after 5 games, however, many
members like the community feel of the messenger and often join in for
the ‘social’side!

The choice is yours.

3.The Redknapp Bet

Part 1- before Kick Off

The best way to explain this bet is with an example. No need to
complicate things too much! Here we go:

Take the Chelsea/Arsenal game last season, a game where either side
could win, either side could score goals, and, most importantly, BOTH
sides could defend. In addition – and a point not to be missed – 2 top
goalkeepers. Add the ingredients of a local derby, high intensity, huge
media interest, pride and passion etc. so it is an ideal `Redknapp` target.

Correct Score, 0-0

The gross outlay for the whole bet is £100, and the biggest initial bet is on
the ‘next goals’ market for ‘no goals’, or the ‘0-0’ on the correct score

market. If you can play the `First Goalscorer` Market instead of the
Correct Score Market you will gain an advantage of course should the
only goal of the game be an `own` goal as bets will be settled as a 0-0
scoreline. However you will need a lot of capital here as simply you will
be betting on a different market to the market you are laying – so take
care in such circumstances.

(hint : always look to the major bookmakers on big games like this, they
often offer excellent ‘extras’ on correct score markets. For example, if a
game ends 1-0 and a particular bookmaker (Paddy Power & VC bet often
the two to watch here) offers money back if such and such a player scores
then do take advantage.

However for the purpose of this illustration we have placed a £40 bet on
the game to be 0-0 via the Betfair Correct Score Market.

The 2 markets, ‘next goal, bet no goal’ and ‘correct score, 0-0’ are
essentially the same bet, and betting correct score 0-0 is certainly easier
to follow when you see the next step, however, when you get more adept,
the ‘next goal market’ moves faster and, more importantly, there is a
bigger volume of money traded on it. So it’s a market to watch.

Other Correct Scores

We then cover a few more correct scores. This being a tight match (we
hope!) we bet £6 on the scores 1-0, 0-1 and 1-1. Depending on the game
we expect, we may go for a 2-0 scoreline, but, remember, this is a live
trading bet, and by not betting the scores, 2-1 or 1-2 for example, we can
still bet on these scores ‘live’ depending on how the game develops.

So, we have £40 on the 0-0 scoreline, and £6 each on 3 other score lines,
making a total of £58.so where is the other £42???

INSURANCE!

It is not a well-known fact, but surprisingly, a high percentage of
Premiership goals are scored in the first 10 minutes of a match.
Accordingly, I have developed the bet to make sure we benefit from these
early strikes. The remaining £42 is spread among the time of the first goal
market on betfair or left as a small extra balance to play in running. It’s
a fluid bet so you must have some liquidity.

IMPORTANT:

The market used for Insurance is the `First Goals Market` & remember it
does not go ‘live’ and in-running when the match commences so any bets
have to be placed before Kick off.

I will usually place a bet on the minutes:

0-10
11-20
21-30
31-40

and perhaps, if I expect a tight match

41-51 and
81-90 to catch any last minute goals.

You can of course go `full cover` by betting all the segments – certainly
sensible when trading as a `newbie`.

The odds on this market are quite high, so usually I will perhaps spread
£32 over the 6 different times, leaving me £10 in hand to bet and trade as
is needed on the live markets later on.

The emphasis will always be on the early goal. 0-10 and 11-20 minutes
are therefore heavily bet as the whole bet revolves around the early goal.
There is an awful lot of solace if the first goal is scored in those first 20
minutes when the Insurance is in place.

Another point re goal minutes. 41-50 minutes and 81-90 minutes are also
very useful for trading. Remember unlike Rugby League the clock
doesn’t stop when there is an injury on the field of play. Therefore the
time added on is a bonus when evaluating the whole of the bet. Often if 5
minutes is added on we are getting – in effect – a 50% bonus for trading.

So let’s re-cap: Assuming a match which looks to be evenly contested I
would suggest the following initial bets to be placed before Kick off :-

£40 on correct score 0-0 (or on the next goal market)
£6 on correct score 1-0
£6 on correct score 0-1
£6 on correct score 1-1

A total of £58

The Insurance (First Goal Market)

£13 0-10 mins
£6 11-20 mins
£4 21-30 mins
£3 31-40 mins
£4 41-50 mins
£2 81-90 mins
A total of £32

In Hand I still have £10 for further `plays`.


After Kick off!

Part 2 – In Running (After Kick Off)

The first thing to remember is that we are involved in a `time erosion`
market where the price on the current score will only fall as the minutes
tick away.

As soon as the games commences, I place a set amount of ‘lays’ on the
correct score market, and specifically on the 0-0 scoreline. (remember,
we placed a £40 on the 0-0 score. I place the lays in this order :

Lets assume we backed the scores at these prices :-

0-0

@ 12.0

1-0

@ 8

0-1

@ 8

1-1 @ 8

For the first 9 ½ minutes I tend to do nothing. Knowing in effect that I
am covered by the Insurance of the first 10 minutes. So lets assume the
price on the 0-0 line after this time is 10.0 to lay. I will then put in my
first lay of £4 @ 10.0 and then systematically £4 @ 9.4, 8.8, 8.2, & 7.6.
– then I alter the lay stake to £5 @ 7.0, 6.4, 5.8 & 5.2. At THIS point we
have bet £40 and Laid £40 on the 0-0- line and the only negative would
be the 3 x £6 bets on other scores. Hopefully we should soon be showing
a net green on the 0-0. This is the time to look at the other lines we have
backed at the start. All will be showing decent gree levels but as there

can only be one score in any match it is prudent to now lay back on the
other lines. Lets assume prices for the 3 levels we have backed are now
6.0. So its wise to take some profit there. For this example we shall just
lay back £6 on each line @ 6.0.

The resultant picture will look like this :-

0-0

line

The Bet was for £40 @ 12.0 so + £440
The Lays for £40 cost £258
The original bets on the other scores were - £18
The adjusted lays on these lines netted + £18

So we should have a net green screen on this scoreline of £182.

On each of 1-0, 0-1 & 1-1 the starter position was - £10 (£42 less £52
staked elsewhere. After all the Lays for £6 @ 6.0 the position on each of
these lines would be +£12 as we will have laid £52 back on the 0-0
scoreline and the other two scores).

So at this point our overall position is quite good :-


0-0would be +£182
1-0would be +£12
0-1would be + £12
1-1would be +£12
others scores would be £0

YET

The match has a long way to go AND we have the Insurance to pay for
and also 3 segments where we have NO insurance.

I would continue to lay the 0-0 line – certainly until the Half Time whistle
blows when I would then look at the overall position. Hopefully we
would be in a decent position with heavy green on all scores giving me
the opportunity to load up on other scores to ensure we come away with a
decent profit. Remember also that as the match progresses the 0-0
scoreline price falls so giving you greater chances to lay with the object
of `averaging` on all scores at about the £70 mark. When you take the

`insurance into account we are therefore looking for a return of about £40
NO MATTER the scoreline.

We have good cover until the 50

th

minute then we are in uncovered

territory. As I said at the start – until you are fully into the bet I would
suggest covering for say a token £2 on each of the 3 uninsured segments.

The flexibility of the uninvested £10 is always useful in matches where
goals are scored early. You can use to cover 2-0, 2-1 and 1-2 etc etc to
give yourself a great chance of coming away all green.

This all may sound very complicated, it isn’t! By the time you have
participated in 5 ‘live’ sessions on the MSN/Windows Messenger, you
will have all the skill required to make this one of your most profitable
weapons in making betting pay!

To further illustrate this great bet, I will now take you through, step-by-
step, an example from this season.

It was the first live English game shown. I make no apologies for
repeating the steps taken – you have the theory above, this is what
actually happened, What I advised to my clients, and how we came out of
the game a lot wealthier than when we started!!!

Sit back, pour a nice glass of wine, try to get the gist of the bet, then,
when there is the next live game on television, have a crack at the
Redknapp.

4.The Redknapp Bet – The Real-time Example!

To illustrate the I have provided a worked Redknapp bet in the match
between Southampton v Wolves on the opening day of the 2006/7 season.

I chose the match because I felt it would be tight and because of the
intense feeling in the game especially with regard to former Southampton
Manager Glenn Hoddle.

In addition we were blessed with Harry Redknapp himself and of course
quite a large media interest.

Part 1 – Pre Kick Off Bets made :-

1) Correct Score 0-0

The gross outlay for the whole Redknapp bet is based on a bet of £100.
The initial bet was for £40 on the 0-0 Correct Score. The similar market
on betfair is the Next Goal Market so I will illustrate using that market.

On this page of the `Next Goal` Market you will see 3 possibilities. In
this case we have Southampton at the top (home team), Wolves in the
middle (away team) and No Goal at the bottom (Big Mikes Team!) . As
we are betting that there will be no goals in the match I have placed a bet
of £40 on the No Goals line and taken the available 12.0 though there are
times when the price drifts before the start so a late decision is often
advised.

At this stage the Site would read as follows: -

Southampton –40 (in Red on Betfair)
Wolves -40 (ditto)

No Goals + 440 (in Green on Betfair)

Our opening position is established.

There are several markets to place the 0-0 or No Goalscorer on Betfair. I
have chosen the Next Goal No Goals market as generally prices move
faster than the others markets and generally there is much more volume in
this particular market. Volume of money available is VERY important

2) Other Correct Scores

The next step is to cover more scores. Remember we budget £100 on
each game so a broad spread of scores in expected tight games is always
prudent. This match is expected to be particularly tight so the extra bets
are as follows: -

£2 on 0-1 @ 12.0
£5 on 1-0 @ 9.0
£6 on 1-1 @ 7.2
£2 on 2-1 @ 10.5

At this stage we have invested £55 of the £100 pot.

3) `Insurance` - The First Goal Odds Market on Betfair

In this match I have decided to play the Insurance as follows: -

£11 @ 0-10 minutes @ 5.5
£10 @ 11-20 mins @ 5.8
£5 @ 21-30 mins @ 7
£4 @ 31-40 mins @ 8
£3 @ 41-50 mins @ 9.4
£2 @ 81-90 mins @ 25

N.B.As mentioned, beware as this market does not turn in running and all
bets have to be `on` before the match starts.

Big Mikes Hint :- Put up the prices rather than take whats offered `willy
nilly` .

The Insurance in this match has totalled £35 so we now have £90 of the
initial £100 invested.

4) I always try & retain a small Cash Reserve for moves during the game
just in case we need to `fix` problem areas or indeed sometimes increase
profitable positions.

In this game our Cash in hand Reserve to use during the game is £10.

That’s how the initial £100 is staked.


After Kick Off

This particular match, with it being the first of the season, was played live
via the `Messenger` system and 7 members were present playing on the
same lines as myself.

The game was pretty uninspired with a lot of side to side football but the
biggest problem was a paucity of liquidity on the exchange sites. Maybe
because so many events were being played – such as evening horse
racing, cricket and other sports but even so the lack of liquidity remained
a problem throughout the match & I suppose we were fortunate that the
game was dire.

My first move was to place lays on the no goals site as follows :-

£4 at 11.0 (remember, first lay 1 point less than we backed 0-0 at)
£4 at 10.0
£4 at 8.6
£5 at 7.6
£5 at 6.6
£8 at 5.5
£7 at 4.2
£8 at 3.85

All these bets were matched by the end of the first half with the exception
of the last bet.

At the same time I have access to the true price of the 0-0 score at any
time. This true price is calculated using arithmetical formula and takes
away the emotional element of the calculation which is very important.
Sometimes – as in this particular match – the true price bore no
resemblance to the market price and therefore I was able to manoeuvre
into a better trading position for members.

So at half time we had very little insurance left but our position on the
next goals market wasn’t looking too bad. It was as follows: -

Southampton -£3
Wolves -£3
No Goals + £221

I made no alterations to the correct score bets other than 0-0 during the
first half. The cash reserve was still in place too.

The true price at half time of the 0-0 scoreline was 3.85 yet the trading
price on the exchanges was 4.1 so in effect it was nearly 10% too high. I
was still concerned that with only a few minutes left of the 41-50 minutes
`Insurance` we may not get into the `all green` position on the trading
line. Indeed after 50 minutes the £8 at 3.85 was still not matched so I
had a couple of minutes of nervous anxiety (you wonder why its called
the Redknapp bet?) before the `all green` position was achieved.

The green light galvanised me into a very positive outlook on the bet as I
then instructed the members to lay at 3.2 for £10 and simultaneously also
make further bets on the correct scores to – in effect – produce a
secondary insurance element in the match period between the 51

st

Minute

and 80

th

Minute when we had no insurance cover.

The extra bets were made as follows :-

£3 on 0-1 @ 6.0
£2 on 1-0 @ 5.8
£3 on 2-0 @ 14.0

This little bet is an excellent `reassurance` and gives us even more trading
possibilities should goals be scored.

After placing these trades the No Goals price in the Next Goals Market
had fallen substantially as other punters also had the opinion that there
were unlikely to be many goals in the match. The market was
responding to this gloom and prices were falling fast. Our members
continued to take advantage of this fall and lays were made for £10 at 2.6,
2.5 and other points down to 1.85 all by the all-important 80

th

minute.

The 80

th

minute is a VERY important milestone. Basically if we reach

that target time we KNOW we have made a substantial profit. Indeed as

the season progresses and net profits are made it is my intention to try &
bring the 80

th

minute `Sanctuary` forward to hopefully the 70

th

Minute or

– even the 60

th

minute. `Newbies` should invest £2 on these lines from

the start in my view.

The game continued to be dull and only interrupted by bouts of fisticuffs
especially when Mr Denis Wise entered the fray to add his subtle touches.
On the 80

th

minute members were in an excellent position generalised as

follows: -

Southampton +90
Wolves + 90
No Goals + 114

The net loss on the Correct Scores totalled £23 (£15 initially & £8 later)
& the Insurance Costs totalled £35 of which only £2 was still `live`. So
at this stage should we decide to cease play the net profit before exchange
commission was £56. This figure was worked out as follows: -


No Goals Profit

+ 114

Less Correct Score bets

- 23

Less Insurance Costs

- 35

Net profit thus far

+ 56

BUT

I hear you say we still have another 10 minutes - plus 4 minutes as it
happened – of injury time still to play.

HOWEVER

You may remember we took extra Insurance out at the start to cover the
81-90 minute `First Goal`. Because we have this little Treasure Chest
still available we KNOW that the profit is secure and on top of that we
can also increase our profit a little bit too. On the 80

th

Minute I

instructed the members to LAY BOTH Southampton and Wolves on the
next goal market site for £5 each @ 4.5 & 4.8 prevailing respectively.
By doing so we increased our NET profit as in effect we were covered for
this little move by the extra Insurance of the First Goal being Scored
between 81 & 90 minutes. A little extra never did anybody any harm.

So the final Net Profit worked out as follows :-

No Goals Profit

+ 124

Less Correct Score bets

- 23

Less Insurance Costs

- 35

Net profit for the match

+ 66

Conclusion

Although this particular match ended goalless and therefore should have
provided a decent profit anyway the very fact I put in so many little extras
to nullify any big losses surely is attractive to punters. When betting you
must always consider the DOWNSIDE & members know that I cherish
net profits and abhor big losses so maybe it pays to be conservative for
once in a punting career.

I do have extra plays of course if goals are scored and these will only
profitably be understood should you join the Messenger Experience of the
Redknapp Bet. It’s a sound bet and one which WILL produce profits
over the season. Last season we did not win on every match – of course
things go wrong occasionally and freak results occur but in each game
our DOWNSIDE liability is limited.

5.Second Example

As stated previously, I wanted to choose matches which we believe will
be tightly contested. Manchester United travelled to take on Villareal,
who themselves are hard to beat in La Liga. I expected a tight game, but
still covered the position with the insurance. The opening positions were
as follows :


Villareal v Man Utd

£40 on 0-0 @ 10.5
£ 3 on 1-0 @ 9.2
£ 4 on 0-1 @ 9
£ 3 on 1-1 @ 7.4
£2 on 1-2 @ 12.5

Insurance (First Goals market)
£12 on 0-10 mins @ 5.8
£10 on 11-20 mins @ 5.8
£7 on 21-30 mins @ 7.0
£6 on 31-40 mins @ 8.6
£3 on 41-50 mins @ 9.6
£2 on 71-80 mins @ 22
£2 on 81-Full Time @ 25
In hand £6

The scores chosen reflected what I believed would be a tight match.

After Kick-off

In total, 7 experienced ‘Redknapping’ members joined me on MSN
Messenger and another 4 new members, in total, 12 of us to trade the
match.

Once the game was under way, we then began to place lays on the 0-0
correct score market, as follows :

£4 at 9.4
£4 at 8.8
£4 at 8.2
£4 at 7.6
£4 at 7
£3 at 6.4
£3 at 6
£4 at 5.6
£4 at 5.2
£5 at 4.8

At this stage the 0-0 price was falling fast, with Green appearing on other
scores that had been backed, so, to even up some of the positions that we
started with, the next move was to lay ;

£2 at 5.0 on the 0-1 scoreline
£2 at 7.0 on the 1-1 scoreline
£2 at 6.0 on the 1-1 scoreline

35 minutes had gone and our positions were looking good, a tight game
with very few chances. We then laid some more on the 0-0 as follows :

£4 at 4.3
£4 at 4.0

By Half-time all members had every score on the correct score page
green – a green/green screen!!! During the half time period the 0-0
scoreline continued to fall, and as we had insurance up until the 50

th

minute, the next lays were as follows :

£5 at 3.3 on 0-0 scoreline
£5 at 2.9 on 0-0 scoreline
£5 at 2.5 on 0-0 scoreline
£2 at 7.2 on 1-1 scoreline

The positions now on the correct score screen were as follows :

Score

+/-£

0-0

+75

1-0

+30

0-1

+40

1-1

+25

1-2

+37

others

+12

With the game looking very poor and very few chances we were in a
good position. We did have the insurance in place but not for between the
50

th

minute until the 70

th

minute, so still a bit of tinkering to do in

between these minutes.

The following lays were advised:

£4 at 2.2 on the 0-0 scoreline
£2 at 5.0 on the 1-1 scoreline
£2 at 4.5 on the 0-1 scoreline

The game was heading our way, and as we closed in on the next
insurance slot of 71 minutes, Rooney managed to get sent off, making it
even better for us.

Once the 71 minute had been reached we were in a win/win situation all
round – Positions were now :

Score

+/-£

0-0

+66

1-0

+30

0-1

+42
1-1

+21

1-2

+52

others

+27

If the game had stayed at 0-0 then the profit would have been +66 on the
correct score, but a loss of –36 on the insurance. Profit £30

If there was a goal we had the profit from the insurance and the profit
from the correct score screen, whatever the result. Even a goal-fest would
mean profit.

Obviously, the best result would be the 2-1 to Manchester score, as we
didn’t lay any of that score back. This was because the odds were just too
high from our original position when we backed the score.

At this point, with 15 minutes to go, many members logged off after
another fine redknapp. The game petered out to a 0-0, a good result for
us!

Profits ranged from £20 up to £45 depending on how members had
played the last few minutes. Some chose to leave it, others chose to
‘equalise’ profits across all scores.

As you become more adept with the Redknapp, you will chose either to
hit a profit point and sit back, or tinker away to try to gain extra profit. By
joining in on the MSN Messenger you will soon get to see exactly how a
live game works, not just trying to visualise it by reading this!

6.Summary of further trades

By now you will be getting a good feel of how the Redknapp operates,
and hopefully you will have had a dabble as well. The key to its success
is choosing the right match. Tight games with 2 evenly matched sides.
Sky is our biggest friend in helping us chose, they want games that fit this
description.

These are some more games, and the results, from the past few weeks :

1.Liverpool v Manchester United, 18

th

September.

Opening position :
£40 on No Goalscorer
£5 on 0-1
£5 on 1-0
£5 on 1-1

In hand £10

First Goals Odds Line (Insurance)

£11 on 0-10 mins @ 5.9
£8 on 11-20 mins @ 6
£5 on 21-30 mins @ 7.2
£4 on 31-40 mins @ 8.4
£3 on 41-50 mins @ 9.6
£2 on 71-80 mins @ 21
£2 on 81-FT @ 25


A big game, and perfect for us! Another 0-0 scoreline ensures a good
profit for all, this time over £50.

2.Doncaster v Man City

Scores to cover

£40 on 0-0 @ 14
£2 on 1-0 @ 24
£7 on 0-1 @ 8
£6 on 1-1 @ 9.4
£3 on 0-2 @ 9

In hand £7

Insurance ( First Goals Market)

£11 on 0-10 mins @ 5.2
£8 on 11-20 mins @ 5.2
£5 on 21-30 mins @ 6
£4 on 31-40 mins @ 7.8
£3 on 41-50 mins @ 9.6
£2 on 71-80 mins @ 23
£2 on 81-FT @ 26

An interesting game with City being the hot favourites, but not according
to us. The game plodded along and ended 0-0 at fulltime. Profits were
once again big, one new member clearing £75!

3.Manchester United vs Lille

Scores to cover :

£40 0-0 @ 12.5
£5 1-0 @ 6.6
£4 1-1 @ 9.4
£2 0-1 @21
£3 2-0 @ 6.4
£3 any unquoted


£12 on 0-10 mins @ 5.4
£8 on 11-20 mins @ 5.1
£5 on 21-30 mins @ 6
£4 on 31-40 mins @ 8.4
£3 on 41-50 mins @ 9.6
£2 on 61-70 mins @ 20
£2 on 71-80 mins @ 25
£2 on 81-FT @ 28

With shot-shy Man u desperate for a win, some might have thought this
wasn’t the best game to get involved with. However, a 0-0 FT result
ensured once again we all finished well in profit.

7) EXTRA PLAYS

a)

In the back of your mind remember that in professional soccer the
average number of goals in each game hovers around 2.7. Its an
important statistic.

The Redknapp features when it’s a low scoring game and also does
extremely well when an early goal is scored as the First Goals `Insurance`
provides the bonus.

In such games you really must remember the 2.7 goals statistic. Simply a
goal should be scored every 33 minutes. An early goal therefore gives
you extra time to play a quick `in and out` trade which in fairness to Mr
Redknapp we have termed the `Harry Kari` or the HK when we have a
Conference on the Messenger.

Let`s assume a goal in the first 10 minutes and it’s a game where
defences seem handy. This play is not for the fainthearted by the way.

Bet £20 on the 1-0 or 0-1 score whichever is appropriate (in other words
the current score). Lets assume the price appertaining is 10.0

Put in 3 Lays of £7 each at 9.6, 9.2 and 8.8.

Stay alert.

The next bet is £20

as soon as the 9.2 is matched.

So for just a

few moments you will be `bull` of £26 on the correct score (the £20 HK
and the balance from the first HK).

Put in 3 Lays of £7 each at 8.4, 8 & 7.6

Stay alert.

The next bet is £20

as soon as the 8.0 is matched.

Again you

will be a major `bull` at this stage for £25 on the correct score (the £20
HK and the balance from the second HK).

Put in 5 lays of £5 this time at 7.2, 6.8, 6.4 6.0 & 5.6

Sit back and await all levels to be laid.

The theory behind this move is to be to reduce liability or increase profit.
By staging just 3 Harry Karis you are maintaining a goal every 33
minutes statistic in the back of your mind. You are in effect betting £60
and laying £67 at lower levels.

By all means repeat the HK if and when you like BUT always have the
third leg as your repayment leg.

b)

Extra scores.

If the game is going our way and there are few threats on goal it is a
sensible ploy to use some of the profit coming from laying the 0-0 score
to use on other scores. Certainly 0-1 and 1-0 as those scores of course
will come first if there is to be a goal. I also like to bet – using the
excellent Gruss software – just a few pennies on the `daft` scores of 2-2,
2-3, etc as you can always use them to hedge if there is to be a goal glut.
Remember try and get into `green` on all scores as soon as possible.

c)

Lay the team scoring first

A nice little ploy in initially equally contested games. Its often a sound
way to recover losses and an excellent trading tool. Punters always over
react and you will find a team say initially 4.0 could fall to 1.7 ish should
an early goal be scored – sometimes fortuitously as well.

Conclusion

Ensure you download MSN Messenger log in email me on
[e-mail] - and I will invite you down to the next
match.

As has been said, compared to other, more expensive systems, which start
off with massive liabilities, this trade sees very low risk involved due to
the way the £100 is spread over various markets. Combining this with the
selective nature of games chosen, it is clear to see why so many of my
members now increase stakes many times over. Start off small and build
up, and by the time you have joined in with a few ‘live’ games and the
messenger chats you will see how to play each game.

I look forward to welcoming you aboard!!!!

Always email me with individual queries.

Happy Trading,

Big Mike.